Live data from Hacker News

Rolling blackouts in California have power experts stumped

nytimes.com

141–150 of 357 posts

Re: Rolling blackouts in California have power experts stumped

#141
post #3

as someone who apprenticed as a lineman briefly, this isnt at all unexpected. Just because you have generating capacity, does not always mean you have capacity in the duty cycle for your transmission infrastructure. Many substations are older, and were never designed to handle high duty and load during climate-change driven weather events. These substations suffer from underreporting as they often dont have remote mo…

> but because NIMBY groups frequently oppose building or augmenting existing substations. Wild claims related to electromagnetism basically kill the project at every level. Can you elaborate? A substation is about to start construction just across the (narrow) street from my child's elementary school.

Please review the Epri document EMF and your health. Document number 3002016508. It's free on Epris website.

Re: Rolling blackouts in California have power experts stumped

#142
post #20
post #3

as someone who apprenticed as a lineman briefly, this isnt at all unexpected. Just because you have generating capacity, does not always mean you have capacity in the duty cycle for your transmission infrastructure. Many substations are older, and were never designed to handle high duty and load during climate-change driven weather events. These substations suffer from underreporting as they often dont have remote mo…

> Wild claims related to electromagnetism basically kill the project at every level. Serious question, why is the answer to this not a slightly-but-not-much-more-polite version of "That's ridiculous, be quiet." and moving forward?

Please review the Epri document EMF and your health. Document number 3002016508. It's free on Epris website.

Re: Rolling blackouts in California have power experts stumped

#143
post #20

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Wild claims related to electromagnetism basically kill the project at every level. Serious question, why is the answer to this not a slightly-but-not-much-more-polite version of "That's ridiculous, be quiet." and moving forward?

Because they can vote. Yes, stupid people can vote. This is the main vulnerability of democracy.

To be clear, the US is a constitutional republic and not a democracy, and the constant use of the word democracy dilutes this fact.

Re: Rolling blackouts in California have power experts stumped

#144
post #130

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yes but the sun is up right now and they are already shedding loads (the dashboard is bouncing off a ceiling of 45 GW).

That is likely natural fluctuations in demand. The grid operator has not announced any load shedding (they have not even announced any imminent need to shed load) and there's still another 5GW of available capacity according to the dashboard.

It doesn't seem very likely that the actual behavior of a large-scale stochastic system and the hour-ahead forecast of that system would part ways to the extent we're seeing, just by coincidence. If it wasn't an intentional curtailment of demand, perhaps there is simply an outage somewhere?

Re: Rolling blackouts in California have power experts stumped

#145

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I do think the recent fires have nudged things towards more undergrounding. I'm familiar with some of the dialogue in similarly rural/affluent peninsula towns, and it's mostly a debate about safety versus cost to underground. There's an effort to underground the utilities near Foothill College by tapping into Santa Clara County Fire's funds for improved fire safety, since they're allowed to use these funds in that sp…

The justification is that there's a particularly high density and quantity of wiring around that fire station (one of two for LAH, IIRC) and that Moody is a major access route for emergency services and evacuation. A giant bundle of wires coming down across the road would strangle a response. A simplistic napkin math computation says that the cost delta in electricity between what Santa Clara pays and what PG&E custo…

I've kinda wondered this for a while -- why is SVP (Santa Clara) cheaper than PG&E?

Re: Rolling blackouts in California have power experts stumped

#147
post #143

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Because they can vote. Yes, stupid people can vote. This is the main vulnerability of democracy.

To be clear, the US is a constitutional republic and not a democracy, and the constant use of the word democracy dilutes this fact.

I feel that's nitpicking. The values of democracy are constantly advertised in all political discourse in this country.

Re: Rolling blackouts in California have power experts stumped

#148
post #47

Every year you hear about horrible heat waves and fires in California but I'm here to tell you from my first-hand experience that This Time It's Different. I've lived on the SF peninsula for 10 years. We bought a brand new spec house. It was built without air conditioning. The developer said we wouldn't need it. We installed it anyway because we came from LA and a house in California without A/C did not fit into our…

Not my experience at all. I've lived in Marin county for 30 years, and this doesn't feel like anything extreme. I can recall many, many similar heat waves in my life. My bet is that the bay area has many micro-climates, and people's experiences can differ wildly. It's hard to extrapolate a trend from this kind of anecdota.

Edit: The summer rain/thunderstorm we had yesterday, now that is rare.

Re: Rolling blackouts in California have power experts stumped

#149
post #3

as someone who apprenticed as a lineman briefly, this isnt at all unexpected. Just because you have generating capacity, does not always mean you have capacity in the duty cycle for your transmission infrastructure. Many substations are older, and were never designed to handle high duty and load during climate-change driven weather events. These substations suffer from underreporting as they often dont have remote mo…

I'm curious about how you became an apprentice then decided it wasn't for you? These are not easy to get into I've heard. What made you consider it and what made you leave?

I can't speak for OP, but one of my coworkers used to be a lineman. He saw the old guys in the job and didn't want to end up like them and also got sick of working outside in extreme weather and became a programmer.

Re: Rolling blackouts in California have power experts stumped

#150
post #136
post #124

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Well, they're not entirely wrong about the 5G. I understand many in this forum won't agree with me. From https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/observations/we-have-no... > We Have No Reason to Believe 5G Is Safe > The World Health Organization's International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) classified RFR as "possibly carcinogenic to humans" in 2011. Last year, a $30 million study conducted by the U.S. National T…

Not a great source. Science is based on evidence, not lack of evidence. A rebuttal to that article appears in the same publication, and adroitly takes apart it's claims: https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/observations/dont-fall-...

Thanks, I didn't know about this article. I'm not heavily one way or the other, but I think it's important to put all the information out there.
Post reply on HN