>Just as the sheep wander about the plots of land in the farm, these packets of energy randomly shuffle among the atoms in the solid.
this would mean that any "packet" of energy is equally likely to be in any of the buckets and the "packets" are independent of each other. so we have an equal distribution on the product space with 6^6 elements.
but then later
> Now, let’s assume the sheep are equally likely to be in any of these 462 arrangements. (Since they move randomly, there's no reason to prefer one arrangement over another.)
under the prior assumptions these arrangements would not be equally likely. e.g. "all sheeps in plot 1" would be far less likely than "each sheep in a different plot" am I missing something here?
in any case the same conclusions can be drawn in both cases, only that the concentration around 3 is already more pronounced in the "6 sheep, 6 plots" case using the product space model.