Earlier quoted context omitted.
I'd take the other side of that bet. According to the article and other related ones, both the Xe graphics architecture and the 10++ nodes are substantial bumps. But it'll be a close race, which is a piece of awesomeness we've never had in laptops before. The Ryzen 4000 is a 2019 vintage. Slightly losing against Intel's 2021 design is no shame. Comparing Tiger Lake against the Ryzen 5000 is a fairer comparison. And t…
AMD has little stopping them from moving to 5nm or 6nm TSMC next year, possibly sooner than Intel can ship this. AMD could do a small run to win on both paper and ground. The real factor here is the third competitor, Apple, walking in with what is expected to be a 5nm 'no cost limits' CPU that they will ship on every machine based on A14 architecture. Because they own the design and just have TSMC do Fab it's likely…
This may be my lack of knowledge in CPU manufacturing, but from what I understand larger dies get you more performance not more efficiency, so considering their inability to build adequate cooling solutions and fondness for reducing thickness even if they chucked a 32core bohemeth in there it won't be running very fast.
On top of that, since AMD are using the same nodes I don't really see how they wouldn't be able to compete. Especially considering Apple probably won't be selling their CPUs separately, leaving out large parts of the market.