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Busted retailers use bankruptcy to break leases by the thousands

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241–250 of 278 posts

Re: Busted retailers use bankruptcy to break leases by the thousands

#241

Earlier quoted context omitted.

We can't have large investors losing money on any of their (inherently risky) investments. How will the market work if investors can lose money?

They bail out mom and pop, too. They bailed out hunrdreds of thousands of people who thought they could make money flipping condos during the 2008 housing bubble.

Weren’t they just bailing the banks servicing the debt and not the borrowers?

Re: Busted retailers use bankruptcy to break leases by the thousands

#242

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Just to clarify, both TARP and Emergency Economic Stabilization Act were signed into law in October 2008 before Obama was even elected president. Not saying he wouldn't have also signed the acts but the crisis was well underway by the time Obama was in the White House.

obama did vote for TARP as a senator, so it's likely he would have supported it (or a variation) as president.

The point he was making was the thanks obama doesnt make cents. Thank bush for the economic catastrophe for obama to inherit.

Re: Busted retailers use bankruptcy to break leases by the thousands

#243

Man, with (currently) four comments mentioning that this is "what bankruptcy is for", I think the point of the article might have been missed. This isn't some sneaky "one weird trick", and that's not the reason Bloomberg is reporting on it. In fact, the tone of the article to me is, "yup, companies do it all the time, but..." And the "but" is: But the moves threaten to upend huge swaths of the real estate market and…

Sounds like "too big to fail" all over again.

Re: Busted retailers use bankruptcy to break leases by the thousands

#244
I feel like somewhere in the next year or two, Western capitalist economies really need to come up with a sweeping plan to pause everything. Because this is probably not the last major crisis like this we’ll see in our lifetimes (unless we are near the ends of them), and having banks continue to collect on mortgages despite on and off rent freezes across the country is a pretty obvious route to a giant mess.

Re: Busted retailers use bankruptcy to break leases by the thousands

#245
post #163
post #126

The US has too much retail space. Per capita, it has 5x as much as Europe (23.5 sq ft in the US vs 3-4 sq ft in most European countries) and 8-10x as much as Asia (2-3 sq ft). We may be looking at a permanent decrease as a result of this pandemic. But even if it goes down by 20%, the US will still have way more than anywhere else. I think we'll be better off when we use the excess retail space for something else whet…

I’m not sure if retail space alone is a good measure. The US (and Canada) love massive stores like Costco, Home Depot, Walmart. And there are a LOT of Walmart’s. Those stores seem to be doing just fine during the pandemic (HD has been packed when I went). Would be more useful to see a breakdown by retail size. Say 10000 sq ft. I’d suggest the small places are the ones at high risk (just thinking about typical tenants…

I agree, NA has massive stores because they have the space, e.g. population density is much lower than in Europe or Asia

Re: Busted retailers use bankruptcy to break leases by the thousands

#246

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> If Fedex & UPS were to be forced to sell off package delivery in NYC Then the market will adjust. If you can't get packages delivered in NYC, you will have to get your goods through some other means. Maybe all of NYC is a bubble. Maybe that many people shouldn't live on a handful of tiny islands, importing their food from the mid west and their goods from China. Maybe everyone's in the wrong place.

Maybe. But if that's true, is the correct solution to crash-and-burn from the current scenario to some version of a "better" one?

Creative destruction is how capitalism is supposed to work. Bankruptcy is a vital part of the system - and far from "crash-and-burn" it's a well-regulated process with a lot of safeguards in place. If you stop allowing companies to go bankrupt then you end up with a crony capitalism that's not much different from oligarchy.

Re: Busted retailers use bankruptcy to break leases by the thousands

#247

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The correct thing to do is let the market decide. If it's profitable to do something, people will do it.

This seems profoundly naive to me. "If it's profitable do something" is beyond simplistic. Profitable compared to what? Profitable for whom? Profitable based on what assumptions? Profitable by what metric? Dollars accrued to capital? Dollars accrued to GDP? Quality of life index? Happiness index? Life expectancy numbers? Infant mortality? Profitable with what externalities forced to be part of cost-factoring? What is…

To refuse to decide is even more simplistic. The free market offers a clear way to decide where resources are invested. If you're going to override that and prop up failing companies, what grounds are you going to use to decide, and why do you believe your process will be better? Letting the market decide at least ensures that completely useless companies go to the wall, and companies that people are willing to spend a lot on get to continue (and, notably, it does this in a nondiscriminatory way - anyone's money is as good as anyone else's). Can your process - which is, what, Trump picks and chooses which companies don't go bankrupt? - guarantee that much?

Re: Busted retailers use bankruptcy to break leases by the thousands

#248
The question here is the same as the question when unemployment numbers come up: what will the bounce back look like? If the same people go back to the same jobs in the same locations at the same companies (maybe renamed for bankruptcy purposes) then it will make no difference. If they don't then it will. But there is no way of knowing that until the bounce back begins. And that's a few months (a figure pulled from my arse) away.

Re: Busted retailers use bankruptcy to break leases by the thousands

#249
post #77

Man, with (currently) four comments mentioning that this is "what bankruptcy is for", I think the point of the article might have been missed. This isn't some sneaky "one weird trick", and that's not the reason Bloomberg is reporting on it. In fact, the tone of the article to me is, "yup, companies do it all the time, but..." And the "but" is: But the moves threaten to upend huge swaths of the real estate market and…

Lots of things were already ghost towns. Even before covid, I am always seeing people with no buildings, and buildings with no people. I'm in SF now, but I have seen this in cities and small towns, red states and blue states: empty malls, hobo jungles down the block from me, friends with minimum wage jobs sleeping in cars, squatters getting the bum’s rush. I imagine there are good reasons to have less than %100 perce…

> If capitalism does what it says on the tin, I don’t get why can't we have a market cleaning price for buildings. Are we doing too much capitalism, or not enough? Is this just all very efficient but I’m not smart enough to figure out how?

Mostly too little capitalism - buildings are very heavily regulated. Zoning, property tax, planning laws, rent control, and habitability laws are big factors. For example maybe it's illegal to rent out the building because the kitchens are too small, and renovating it would not only cost a lot up-front but also push up the property taxes, so you'd have to be confident of getting a return - and maybe you're intending to knock it down and build a replacement as soon as you get planning approval.

Re: Busted retailers use bankruptcy to break leases by the thousands

#250
post #156

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's not an easy thing to find out who did what - trying to figure out which managers and owners were purposefully over-inflating equity to secure larger loans (or whatever) from those who were duped by the other managers and were just trying to keep the ship afloat is a really hard problem. And, in this fun world, you might find a terribly over-leveraged business where no one ever tried to act fraudulently but some…

That’s why the above poster suggests all owners forfeit equity. The company survives but it is nationalized, at least temporarily. In practice, I think we will see companies being sold off the friends of the sitting president, and powerful senators. Today, at least they must at least pretend to be equal in their bailouts, which gives non affiliated companies a chance to receive money.

Yes I think that's reasonable. From an economic perspective what matters is the employment, goods and services the enterprise generates. Good management should be rewarded with equity and profits, bad management or poorly exercised ownership loses out. Nobody is owed a profit, but if they get the job right they are entitled to it.
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