Live data from Hacker News

Busted retailers use bankruptcy to break leases by the thousands

bnnbloomberg.ca

81–90 of 278 posts

Re: Busted retailers use bankruptcy to break leases by the thousands

#81
post #60

Earlier quoted context omitted.

On the other hand: what would they go do about it then? It the business fails it fails. It's not like you can pretend it is not failing and have them pay rent with their non-existent money.

isn't this the plot to the movie '2008'

if that's a movie, it's impossible to google

Re: Busted retailers use bankruptcy to break leases by the thousands

#82
post #21

I know this is commercial, but can be good if it drives down property prices and rents. I honestly think a lot of the benefits people want from universal basic income would equally come from just having lower commercial and residential rents. I recognize that's a big "just".

There are actually very simple tax schemes that go quite bit further. A high Land Value Tax + low tax on improvements (eg buildings) means the portion of rent due to the landlord’s actions/investments generally get kept by that landlord, but the portion of rent not due to his/her actions (eg good schools/restaurants/transit/employers nearby) get recouped as tax.

You should look into LVT, you’re right that would be huge for people.

Re: Busted retailers use bankruptcy to break leases by the thousands

#83
post #37

Man, with (currently) four comments mentioning that this is "what bankruptcy is for", I think the point of the article might have been missed. This isn't some sneaky "one weird trick", and that's not the reason Bloomberg is reporting on it. In fact, the tone of the article to me is, "yup, companies do it all the time, but..." And the "but" is: But the moves threaten to upend huge swaths of the real estate market and…

>But the moves threaten to upend huge swaths of the real estate market and the half-trillion dollar market for commercial mortgage-backed securities. I wouldn't worry about that. I fully expect the federal reserve to "fix" this by buying the toxic assets with printed money.

We can't have large investors losing money on any of their (inherently risky) investments. How will the market work if investors can lose money?

Re: Busted retailers use bankruptcy to break leases by the thousands

#84
post #57

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The property management company isn't really a company per se; it's more like a conduit for money, an instrument. If that instrument defaults, it's not of so much concern that a property management company will die; but rather, that the companies who were on either side of it, relying on it as a conduit for money to flow through, will end up illiquid, unable to exchange through that instrument. On one side, that's la…

And yet again the cleanest method would be to not bail out the banks and let the assets be actioned to the highest bidder. Everything else is trading off long term efficient ressource allocation in favor of short term stability.

Funny how it's a moral hazard to bail out individuals weighed down by debt, but an economic necessity to bail out millionaires and billionaires who didn't do their risk analysis.

Re: Busted retailers use bankruptcy to break leases by the thousands

#85

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I hope it ends up causing residential real estate prices to fall as a consequence. Maybe then millennials will be able to afford homes. I understand some people treat their home as savings but that's bad in every way for society and for the homeowner. I have a home and the only return I expect on it is to be able to continue living there. I'm certainly not going to depend on it for my retirement, as that would be rea…

> I understand some people treat their home as savings but that's bad in every way for society and for the homeowner. I have a home and the only return I expect on it is to be able to continue living there. I'm certainly not going to depend on it for my retirement, as that would be really unwise. How else can we think about an expense of hundreds of thousands of dollars? It's ludicrous to spend that much on something…

From a public policy perspective, encouraging home ownership was arguably a mistake, but that is a seperate issue.

Rental properties are normally cash-flow positive, including payments on their mortgage. This means that buying a comparable unit that depriciates to $0 over a period of 30 years is still expected to be a net positive.

Re: Busted retailers use bankruptcy to break leases by the thousands

#86

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> This is exactly why we have bankruptcy! You're not wrong, and under normal circumstances this would be a blip on the radar. However, the hundreds if not thousands of locations each of these companies plan to shutter will have an unprecedented effect on the commercial real estate market. Within months we will have thousands of property owners suddenly unable to pay their mortgages because they no longer have tenants…

Won't somebody please think of the landlords and banks

I think you missed my point, that eventually the pain will trickle down to the rest of us at the bottom. I should have continued the domino metaphor to this conclusion to avoid misunderstanding, I'm sorry.

And to be fair, I and likely many other "regular Joes" benefited initially from the 2008/9 downturn; I was able to buy my first home, humble as it is, at less than half its usual market value. I'm still enjoying that benefit today, with a monthly house payment less than most people's car payment even on a used vehicle.

I think this time around it will be much different; this is approaching a true depression, not just a downturn. We are at 30 million jobs lost due to the pandemic, on top of the existing unemployment not related to it. We are on a dark road.

Re: Busted retailers use bankruptcy to break leases by the thousands

#87
post #50

Man, with (currently) four comments mentioning that this is "what bankruptcy is for", I think the point of the article might have been missed. This isn't some sneaky "one weird trick", and that's not the reason Bloomberg is reporting on it. In fact, the tone of the article to me is, "yup, companies do it all the time, but..." And the "but" is: But the moves threaten to upend huge swaths of the real estate market and…

Oh no, not the poor poor commercial real estate developers! Anyway all the malls died like decades ago. Have you been to a mall lately? As far as I can tell the only people who go are folks engaged in drug transactions and busloads of tourists from SE Asia.

Malls are also a place to walk, shop, and play for families during winter. In colder areas it's often dark sooner so outdoor activities are more limited.

Re: Busted retailers use bankruptcy to break leases by the thousands

#88
post #60

Earlier quoted context omitted.

isn't this the plot to the movie '2008'

if that's a movie, it's impossible to google

This is the only movie I could find with the literal title "2008": https://www.imdb.com/title/tt10882960/ And Wikipedia doesn't have an article on any.

Re: Busted retailers use bankruptcy to break leases by the thousands

#89
post #50

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Oh no, not the poor poor commercial real estate developers! Anyway all the malls died like decades ago. Have you been to a mall lately? As far as I can tell the only people who go are folks engaged in drug transactions and busloads of tourists from SE Asia.

Malls are also a place to walk, shop, and play for families during winter. In colder areas it's often dark sooner so outdoor activities are more limited.

They used to be. That all stopped in the 1990's.

Re: Busted retailers use bankruptcy to break leases by the thousands

#90
post #88

Earlier quoted context omitted.

if that's a movie, it's impossible to google

This is the only movie I could find with the literal title "2008": https://www.imdb.com/title/tt10882960/ And Wikipedia doesn't have an article on any.

Preeeeeetty sure that's a joke, likening the events of the previous big crash to a film.

Speaking of films about the previous big crash, you could try "Margin Call" if you want a very straight-faced (to say nothing of po-faced) take, or "The Big Short" if you prefer something that, while no more genuinely incisive, is at least willing to pretend as though it were.

Post reply on HN