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FBI wants public help solving encrypted notes from murder mystery

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Re: FBI wants public help solving encrypted notes from murder mystery

#51
post #40

I thought this could be a fun 'challenge'... I'm inclined to believe that this is potentially ciphered in English, due to, what look to be stiking similarities between the alphabetic character frequencies of the notes: http://d122.com/murdermystery/freq.png and the frequencies of characters in English: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:English_letter_frequency_(... If anyone else wants to have a play here is my (roug…

I would guess that he is using "E" as a separator, since it seems to occur at almost all end-of-lines and before punctuation/numbers. And maybe the letter just before "E" has some significance, as there is only a small set of letters that appears there, with "SE" extremely frequent. It's possible that he is stripping out vowels as a kind of shorthand.

Indeed, if you examine the scanned notes, there are subtle gaps after most of the "E"s

Re: FBI wants public help solving encrypted notes from murder mystery

#53
post #47
post #23

Anybody have a copy of the legible characters so each of us doesn't need to transcribe the same text?

That's assuming that a copy of the legible characters wouldn't lose any of the original information -- the way words are written could matter.

Precisely my thinking. It would have been helpful if there were higher resolution scans of these images.

I had difficulties reconciling 5's and S's, or the various ways in which the letter "B" was written (it really looked like there were two "B"'s in the document, though that would be difficult to tell even with higher-res photos as anything handwritten is subject to whatever surface it was written on).

Re: FBI wants public help solving encrypted notes from murder mystery

#54

I thought this could be a fun 'challenge'... I'm inclined to believe that this is potentially ciphered in English, due to, what look to be stiking similarities between the alphabetic character frequencies of the notes: http://d122.com/murdermystery/freq.png and the frequencies of characters in English: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:English_letter_frequency_(... If anyone else wants to have a play here is my (roug…

Your text files appear to be missing the indention that was in the original note. Any Python developer could tell you that whitespace can be extremely important. ;-)

When I trying to convert from hand-writing to upper-case text, I couldn't help but think about the loss of fidelity.

It's an important point. It may have meant something, or it may have meant that he was writing on a piece of paper against a surface that wasn't large enough, so he had to shift the paper around (I wonder why the second page has a bunch of circles around text, while the first page does not).

Re: FBI wants public help solving encrypted notes from murder mystery

#55
post #45

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I guess, isn't it weird that nearly matches the graph for English? If each letter moved to the right 8 places closely matched the expected value of that letter that would suggest that that you would be on to something. Doesn't this point to it might be a fraud as you wouldn't expect an encrypted message to contain the exact same distribution as expected unless they just switched letters of near the same frequency aro…

That's a valid point. I appreciate that it may be nothing, but that won't discourage me from having a little play with it. Here's a CSV containing the frequency of all words from 2 upto 10 letters http://d122.com/murdermystery/words.csv if anyone's interested. "rcbrnse" five times?!

I don't want to discourage you, but I just wanted to make sure I wasn't missing something. I know there are a lot of people smarter than me, and I am no expert here so I thought you might know something I don't.

Re: FBI wants public help solving encrypted notes from murder mystery

#56

I thought this could be a fun 'challenge'... I'm inclined to believe that this is potentially ciphered in English, due to, what look to be stiking similarities between the alphabetic character frequencies of the notes: http://d122.com/murdermystery/freq.png and the frequencies of characters in English: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:English_letter_frequency_(... If anyone else wants to have a play here is my (roug…

Excellent. I personally love this sort of thing, though I'm rarely successful. I was typing out the letters as I saw them, and I noticed that I interpreted many of your "S" as the number 5, but after looking at the way he wrote "S", it appears relatively consistent throughout the text. So letter groupings became interesting: SE - 66 matches RSE - 18 matches In the first document TFNRE appears twice. Here's my interpr…

Ahh great, thanks for sharing.

I've added a few bits to a git repo:

https://github.com/d122/Murder-Mystery

Just some basic python code in there for now.

I'll have a look at the differences in our transcriptions when I get back from work tomorrow, and maybe try and think of some more angles to approach this.

Re: FBI wants public help solving encrypted notes from murder mystery

#57
post #40

I thought this could be a fun 'challenge'... I'm inclined to believe that this is potentially ciphered in English, due to, what look to be stiking similarities between the alphabetic character frequencies of the notes: http://d122.com/murdermystery/freq.png and the frequencies of characters in English: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:English_letter_frequency_(... If anyone else wants to have a play here is my (roug…

I would guess that he is using "E" as a separator, since it seems to occur at almost all end-of-lines and before punctuation/numbers. And maybe the letter just before "E" has some significance, as there is only a small set of letters that appears there, with "SE" extremely frequent. It's possible that he is stripping out vowels as a kind of shorthand.

I wonder if he might be using a gendered language. Which would explain a high level of xE or even yxE at the end of sentences.

Re: FBI wants public help solving encrypted notes from murder mystery

#58

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Your text files appear to be missing the indention that was in the original note. Any Python developer could tell you that whitespace can be extremely important. ;-)

When I trying to convert from hand-writing to upper-case text, I couldn't help but think about the loss of fidelity. It's an important point. It may have meant something, or it may have meant that he was writing on a piece of paper against a surface that wasn't large enough, so he had to shift the paper around (I wonder why the second page has a bunch of circles around text, while the first page does not).

I love python (I did this in python):

https://github.com/d122/Murder-Mystery

But you are both correct, the indentation, circling etc. may be important, but I just wanted to get the letters down initially. Start with the basics and work up!

Re: FBI wants public help solving encrypted notes from murder mystery

#59
post #45

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's just a frequency count of the letters in the transcriptions I did. Obviously my transcript may not be perfect, but I was pretty confident with most of the letters. This was just my first observation and I thought it was interesting enough to post.

I guess, isn't it weird that nearly matches the graph for English? If each letter moved to the right 8 places closely matched the expected value of that letter that would suggest that that you would be on to something. Doesn't this point to it might be a fraud as you wouldn't expect an encrypted message to contain the exact same distribution as expected unless they just switched letters of near the same frequency aro…

It could just mean that it's a transposition-only cipher.

Re: FBI wants public help solving encrypted notes from murder mystery

#60

Earlier quoted context omitted.

A bit of pedantry: it is "on the lam" not "on the lamb" but that is a common enough misconception that I feel pointing it out is actually productive rather than nit-picky.

Thanks for the clarification. To me, as an idiomatic expression goes, it always made sense to be on the "lamb". I thought the expression had originated from shepherding--like a shepherd chasing after a loose sheep.

The online etymology dictionary (http://www.etymonline.com/index.php?term=lam) says it's of uncertain origin, but does not mention ovines.
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