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Apple announces it will switch to its own processors for future Macs

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Re: Apple announces it will switch to its own processors for future Macs

#471

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> So, I’m predicting an MBP 13 - 16 range with an extra three hours of battery life+f I predict they'll have the same battery life. Any savings will be used to reduce the battery size.

I think without Ive they'll take the battery life and market it as the incredible win of moving away from Intel.

Agreed. I think this is especially likely given their decision to increase the battery size in the iPhone 11 lineup last year.

Re: Apple announces it will switch to its own processors for future Macs

#472

Earlier quoted context omitted.

If the PowerPC to Intel transition was any indication, they'll do just fine. Most consumers won't care, or will want to wait until Apple works out the kinks. To put it a different way: the initial sales of the ARM-based chips won't be as strong as you think they might be, or as wide spread. Having both Intel and ARM based systems in the market will even out the sales. History is repeating itself, it's worth reviewing…

With the powerpc to x86 transition Apple was moving towards where everyone else already was. It was one less thing developers had to worry about when supporting Mac. With this migration it's the opposite, and MacOS is still a very small slice of the desktop/laptop market.

I remember Apple's m68k to PowerPC transition. Platform changes were a much bigger deal back then because it determined what kinds of apps you could run, but even so it went without a hitch. We lived with fat binaries for a while but otherwise it wasn't a big deal.

Apple's focus has always been the consumer market, and for most consumers, they're not likely to notice the platform change.

One might say, Apple gained a huge developer demographic when it moved to x64 from PowerPC, won't this matter to them? But most of those developers were creative types that don't work at the binary level anyway. If you're doing front-end web dev on VS Code and almost never fire up gcc/clang, your life isn't going to be impacted significantly.

Those whose lives were impacted (e.g. scientific computing folks who struggled to get certain Linux-specific software to compile on what was a BSD-ish platform) have probably moved off the Apple platform and on to Intel Linux years ago or at least they're likely to be running a Linux VM on their Macbook Pros. (homebrew doesn't really cut it)

Also unlike back in the day when most people were still running desktop apps, so much of what we do on a daily basis is on the browser nowadays. Calendar? Cloud-based. Email? Cloud-based. Word processor/spreadsheet/presentation? Cloud-based -- and Microsoft Office is being ported to ARM. We're living in much more platform-agnostic world than we were even 10 years ago.

I expect the x64 to ARM transition to be seamless to most people who are currently on the macOS platform.

A bunch of Python wheels might need to be recompiled though.

Re: Apple announces it will switch to its own processors for future Macs

#473
Now Apple has reached the integration that Commodore had: they made all the processors (CPU, graphics chip, sound chip, interface adapters) for their Commodore 64 and other 8-bit machines, and for the AMIGA.

I’m worried it will bring even more close control by them of what we run and how we run it on those computers, but having lots of custom chips (many of them in one package) for all kinds of things with a unified memory architecture is amazing, a modern AMIGA.

Re: Apple announces it will switch to its own processors for future Macs

#474

Tim Cook just said they have new intel macs in the pipeline. Those will go over like a lead balloon.

I was waiting for Craig to say that every Mac with a T-series chip could be used as a dev platform, since they're pretty strong on their own. Oh well. Maybe to smooth things over they'll ship an A-series co-processor with those Macs. Apple released a bunch of PPC Macs after they announced the switch to Intel, so this isn't unprecedented.

The T-series CPUs are a bit weak, to be honest…

Re: Apple announces it will switch to its own processors for future Macs

#475
post #258

Apple ported many Pro Apps to ARM , especially their Logic Pro, Photoshop and they were showcasing Maya on ARM. That is about as Pro as it gets for Mac. That reads to me Apple isn't going to have Intel for some high end Pro machine. They intended to go all in with ARM. i.e There will be a Mac Pro with High TDP ARM Chip. I wonder what are the owner of Mac Pro feeling now having just spend a $5K+ Mac Pro with Intel. Qu…

> What happens to GPU? Having their own GPU for iMac and Mac Pro as well? Dual GPU options where Apple GPU for power efficiency? This feels like additional complexity. I think GPU scaling will be much harder than CPU, so whereas Apple can surpass Intel CPUs for all but the highest segments, putting together a standalone GPU will be hard and very interesting to see. For an entry-level GPU? No issues. But what about a…

I will tell you one thing for sure that it's impossible for Apple to acquire TSMC. TSMC have a lot of customers other than just Apple. I think it's logical for them to come up with their own fab but honestly that is incredibly hard. Maybe in 10 years, I would say.

Re: Apple announces it will switch to its own processors for future Macs

#476
post #48

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I'm in the market for a new laptop, and if I knew how long the Intel macs would be supported, I could see myself picking one up. Unfortunately, nothing was said about that so I guess I'm holding off.

Standard Apple support is 7 years from last date of sale. 2 years for transition, so seems reasonable to expect support most of the way to 2030.

Apple dropped macOS support for their powerpc architecture after only 3 years, so any claims of hardware support being 7 years is not very meaningful

Re: Apple announces it will switch to its own processors for future Macs

#477

Commenters here seem dubious. I’ll take the contra-position. This feels to me like it’s going to be great; a big win for consumers and developers. Current A12z chips are highly performant; Apple is roughly one chip cycle ahead on perfomance/watt from any other manufacturer. I presume their consumer hardware will launch with an A13Z, or maybe an A14 type chip. Apple has consistently shipped new chip designs on time; I…

> I’m not highly conversant with ARM linux, but in my mind I imagine it’s still largely a second class citizen IMO ARM linux is great, the real thing lacking is good hardware to run it.

You mean all the Android handsets? The history of Linux on ARM is colorful, full of corporate missteps and giant brands (namely HTC and to lesser extent Samsung) that were created from that.

Re: Apple announces it will switch to its own processors for future Macs

#478
post #439
post #258

Apple ported many Pro Apps to ARM , especially their Logic Pro, Photoshop and they were showcasing Maya on ARM. That is about as Pro as it gets for Mac. That reads to me Apple isn't going to have Intel for some high end Pro machine. They intended to go all in with ARM. i.e There will be a Mac Pro with High TDP ARM Chip. I wonder what are the owner of Mac Pro feeling now having just spend a $5K+ Mac Pro with Intel. Qu…

> Logic Pro Logic isn't worth much without plugins, and I expect many smaller developers not to port to ARM, and there's nobody to fill the gap in the first years. If that is indeed the case, Apple will begin losing market share where it currently reigns. When there's no pro software, the mac will be just an iPad with a keyboard. It's quite a gamble. But I've been too pessimistic before.

> Logic isn't worth much without plugins…

Rosetta 2 cross-compiles Intel binaries to ARM. Why would VST/AU plug-in binaries be an exception?

Re: Apple announces it will switch to its own processors for future Macs

#479

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Inferring from the video announce plus guessing: Will they have a wide TDP range of designs? Yes. On feasibility, there are two major components to the cost - first is the engineering cost for design. You can bet that these costs are not massive; Apple has roughly $200 billion cash on hand right now. Most of the work will be scaled up as part of their overall design process. The second cost component is the Non-recur…

200 billions may seem huge but at the same time the have 118 billions $ of debt as they use debt to pay dividend without moving money.

Without triggering tax obligations.

Re: Apple announces it will switch to its own processors for future Macs

#480

I was seriously considering upgrading my 2012 MacBook to the new 16" model soon, but now I wonder what kind of longevity or support I can expect from that hardware...

My personal philosophy is to buy the third gen of every new type of product. The second gen tends to fix al big issues in the first. The third irons out all the small issues left. After that there probably won't be many changes except for some performance bumps.
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