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Ask HN: What’s a big trend we should all be following?

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Re: Ask HN: What’s a big trend we should all be following?

#281
post #38
post #6

Black Lives Matter

Black Lives Matter. Black live matter more than the next stupid tech trend to ride the Gartner hype cycle. Tech that doesn't include everyone shouldn't be built. Stop reading HN and get out into the streets and support your fellow human beings.

No tech in history has ever included everyone. All ideologies are lies, “buy low sell high” bullshit. Build any tech that makes the world a better place, and try to make it as inclusive as possible. My intuition is that for breakthroughs to occur, we need new technologies in creating markets for activities with high positive externalities. Look at education, for example. The budget on that seems mostly wasted, because there is not a good market to direct the spending to efficient solutions. If we look at MOOCs and KhanAcademy and similar projects, it’s clear that they are more or less worse versions of a traditional class. They could be so much more. We could have great interactive, multimedia textbooks with integrated teacher support that answer questions, and integrated exercises that auto-grade and tell you how to fix your mistakes. We could have platforms that measure and certify productivity of workers, so that the current credentialism and mad-high university prices crash down. Our problems won’t be solved by religions. Religions have never worked. The only thing that can solve our problems is social innovation. We need better institutions that align incentives of decision-makers to their people, and create competition to drive progress. If you look at why first world countries are better than third world countries, you’ll see it’s because of better institutions, not religions. In fact, third world countries are much more keen on religion and virtue signaling. Religion thrives on poverty and corruption.

Re: Ask HN: What’s a big trend we should all be following?

#282
post #29

- Grime music. A UK hybrid of hip-hop and punk, with a focus on showing poverty as a cold reality rather than a hardened persona - removing the "gang" in favor of the "pang". Honesty and sadness in mainstream music is on its way back. - Self-hosting. A hugely growing movement to host server-side software yourself (on a cloud provider or at home). De-platforming is not possible unless ordinary citizens can host applic…

Isn't grime a decade or so old by now?

2 decades old now. Wiley and Dizzee Rascal have tracks dating back to the year 2000.

Re: Ask HN: What’s a big trend we should all be following?

#283

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Vegetarianism seems like it should be enough - if your argument is ecological.

Do you have a source on that? A source which takes into account "milk cows" being slaughtered and eaten after max. 4 years too? Accounting for the fact the cows only produce milk when having baby cows and some of these being male? I am highly sceptical cutting meat is enough. Animal based protein, and energy is just inherently wasteful since 3/4 of intake energy is radiated away as body heat. (Yes, there is this supe…

"GHG emissions in kilograms of carbon dioxide equivalents per day (kgCO2e/day) were 7.19 (7.16, 7.22) for high meat-eaters ( > = 100 g/d), 5.63 (5.61, 5.65) for medium meat-eaters (50-99 g/d), 4.67 (4.65, 4.70) for low meat-eaters ( https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4372775/

I don't know what reduction is enough.

Re: Ask HN: What’s a big trend we should all be following?

#284

Veganism, because we cannot afford for another planet, forests like other resources on earth are finite. It is a big trend and it will eventually become the dominant one as the trends show. However reaching a mostly-vegan nutrition in our lifetimes globally will change the course of environmental distraction and massive extinctions to come.

You can't break down the environmental impact of foods by saying "meat bad, veg good" - it's far more nuanced than that. Most of the environmental impact of any food comes from clearing land for monoculture, subsidized water supply systems, pesticides and herbicides to keep competing plants at bay, labor intensive harvesting, transportation, storage and the distribution supply chain. I could grow my own lettuce (best), buy it from a local farmer (good) or buy it from a supermarket (worst) - how it gets to your table is by far the biggest driver of environmental impact, not the food itself.

Sure, we should be eating less meat. But it's not a panacea, we must address the systemic problems of industrial agriculture that makes veganism possible.

Re: Ask HN: What’s a big trend we should all be following?

#285
post #57

Remote work. 20 years of progress were consolidated into the last 3 months. Previously, you saw people living in hubs like SF and NYC for the high salary and high prestige jobs. But when those jobs are available from anywhere, all of a sudden the "lifestyle cities" like Boulder, Boise, Chattanooga, etc. start to look a whole lot better. You no longer have to sacrifice the high-prestige career to live in a lower cost-…

I am really skeptical of this idea that suddenly people will be moving to small cities. For one, this assumes that people just move to big cities to work. Is there any research to prove that ? For most people, especially when they are younger, people gravitate to big cities for all the amenities that come with the big city living, jobs being one of them. So in essence, it is jobs chasing people into big cities, rathe…

You can get most of what you need in a large town or a small city. I live in a large university town; we have malls, movies, some of the best fashion in the country, every kind of food but no Michelin restaurants, excellent education and schools.

Compare to the big city (Kuala Lumpur) where there's... zoos, opera, symphonies, IKEA, nicer restaurants, libraries.

The offices are there because they're near to rich people homes. The rich people homes are there because they're next to offices.

The city has few parks. Parks are kept clean by shooing away anyone 'loitering', so there's no real leisure spots in the city except malls. It takes half an hour to get to a supermarket because of the traffic, weird highways, and another half hour to find parking. Delivery startups took off, but only in the big city.

This might not be the case with say, NYC, but it's probably similar in many large cities like Jakarta or Bangkok.

It's no coincidence that the highest paying jobs are also in the heart of traffic jams - you'd need to pay me a lot more to commute there and even more to live in such a noisy, polluted area.

Re: Ask HN: What’s a big trend we should all be following?

#287
post #122

More software outsourcing to places where the work can be done cheaper. Now that wfh is becoming common, companies will start to realize that if most of their employees are working remotely, then they might as well hire from cheaper cities or countries.

People think this is similar to the outsourcing trend of the past. No this is bigger than that. The big difference is that in the past there was a difference between outsourced vs working from the office employees. This time there will be no difference. All employees will be the same and employees will be employed based on merit to the company without any stigma. Also, it's going to be a long time before we go back t…

Software engineering salaries will go significantly down as a result of this, wont they?

Re: Ask HN: What’s a big trend we should all be following?

#288
post #201

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Just curious how you are not concerned about the long term health affects of COVID infection on survivors?

It's a good question. I guess here's what I'd say. Anywhere from 25 percent to 80 percent of people with COVID-19 have such mild cases that they are unaware they have the virus. https://www.healthline.com/health-news/50-percent-of-people-... And here's a follow up study done on severe patients with actual lung damage that showed the damage healed within 2.5 months: https://www.researchsquare.com/article/rs-27359/v1 M…

I hope you are right

Re: Ask HN: What’s a big trend we should all be following?

#289

Giving up our freedoms and way of life for a virus that kills .26% of the people it infects (and 0.05% for ages 0-49.) https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scena...

I don’t see 0.26% on that CDC page. The “best estimate” listed is 0.4% and based on April data.

They show the CFR which is higher. If you consider their projection that 35% of all infected cases remain asymptomatic, the overall infection fatality rate (IFR) drops to just 0.26 %.
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