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Robinhood 20yo trader with no income loses 700k on options, takes life

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Re: Robinhood 20yo trader with no income loses 700k on options, takes life

#101

Read a bit and wasn't sure of the exact nature of the 700k loss, but if he somehow got access to all that credit without the assets to back it it, it would seem like people can form a pact, where person A gets credit and bets X on a thing, person B bets the counterparty -X, have X be comically large, one person gets the payoff while the other declares bankrupcty, and basically "gain X/2 for enduring bankruptcy". (We…

This sounds like fraud.

Person A would have an asset worth X/2, in the form of his contract with person B. When A declares bankruptcy, his X/2 would be used to partially pay his debtors. This only way this scheme works is if A conceals this during the bancrupty. For comically large X, you can expect to have a team of lawyers and forensic accountants look through your books. If they catch on, you get nothing except a potential fraud conviction.

Re: Robinhood 20yo trader with no income loses 700k on options, takes life

#102
post #65

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There is not an equal probability of a day trader making 700k and losing 700k trading options. Market makers won’t demonize day trading—the “new blood” are their best marks.

The efficient market hypothesis says otherwise. If it was easier to lose money (ignoring trading costs and spreads) than it was to make money, I could easily beat the market by doing the opposite of the average joe loser.

There are firms that do exactly this. Robinhood's business model is to sell the order-flow data of its users to HFT hedge funds, who then take the opposite side of the trade. It's proven very profitable both for Robinhood and for funds that do this.

Re: Robinhood 20yo trader with no income loses 700k on options, takes life

#104
post #65

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There is not an equal probability of a day trader making 700k and losing 700k trading options. Market makers won’t demonize day trading—the “new blood” are their best marks.

The efficient market hypothesis says otherwise. If it was easier to lose money (ignoring trading costs and spreads) than it was to make money, I could easily beat the market by doing the opposite of the average joe loser.

The efficient market hypothesis says nothing of the sort. Upside and downside with options aren't symmetrical.

Unlike when purchasing long positions in stocks, when trading options it's possible to lose many times more money than you initially put in. You also really can't ignore the spreads. Market makers win pretty consistently and everyone else is playing a worse than zero-sum game.

Re: Robinhood 20yo trader with no income loses 700k on options, takes life

#105
post #83
post #15

Imagine: "A 20 yo runs across highway in heavy truck traffic, dies". Well, yes. There is an obvious risk, and you either acknowledge this risk and act accordingly, or get struck. Fortunately, if you do a very bad investment, you can sell all your assets, go bankrupt, and keep your life. Too bad the poor guy chose to take his life. But this again looks like not doing enough homework. This is very sad. I wish these thi…

I think every high school student should have one day class dedicated on following topics and so many lives would be saved: 1. Folies of investments, how you can lose everything. 2. Folies of marriages, divorce laws and how you can lose everything. 3. Folies of gambling in casinos and how you can lose everything. 4. Folies of alcohol, tobacco and other soft drugs and how you can lose everything. Each of these class s…

Ideally, it would be great for a country to have systems in place so that the worst you can possibly lose is less than everything.

Re: Robinhood 20yo trader with no income loses 700k on options, takes life

#106
post #82

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Robinhood is such an ironic name for the app. The elephant in the room is, the people who Robinhood is supposedly letting buy into a vast money fountain that is the stock market already had a way to get in. The fees that other brokorages were charging shouldn't have mattered if these people were investing in the only responsible way for someone who doesn't know what they're doing... and that's buying into an index fu…

>If Robinhood was really about doing what it claims to do, the app would have 3 tickers, QQQ, SPY, and DIA. Is that what robinhood is supposed to be? A conservative retirement savings portfolio? Sure, the app store tagline says "Invest. Save. Earn.", but the listing also mentions highly speculative instruments like cryptocurrency and derivatives. It also promises access to "real-time market data" and "relevant news a…

>Is that what robinhood is supposed to be?

Their idea is that they give everyone access to the financial markets, and that allows them access to wealth. My point is their name is playing on... Robin Hood who "took from the rich and gave to the needy".

But in reality it's just become another way for the rich to milk people who don't have that much money to lose anyways.

It completes the stated part of the mission, but completely forsakes the implied part of it.

> The reason why they wouldn't "get into" the other brokerages is because they transact in such small amounts that they'll lose most of their capital on trading fees. I don't see anything wrong with letting people make small trades that they wouldn't have otherwise been able to make.

My point is, they won't lose most of their capital unless they're day trading, or at least trading very aggressively. And that's wholly at odds with actually making money if you don't know what you're doing. If their goal was to create a gambling app, we already have Draft Kings...

I mean, take their options trading for example. First off, the mobile app has a guided view for people who don't really get options to trade options. Ignoring the... strangeness there. It will actively recommend options that are just pure fucking insanity. So far out of the money, with such insane expiry dates, that your odds are literally worse than the lottery. And to top it off, half of them don't even have volume! So even if you do somehow start to approach any semblance of profit, you can't sell!

They're so far OTM and with such low volume that they don't even make sense as "YOLO"s, they are literally recommending losing money for no reason. And it'll characterize them as "short term, high risk" when there are OTM options that are short term high risk, for marginally more money, with infinitely higher chances of profit! Why would you take someone who literally needs to be explained that puts are bearish, and show them this as the first option?!

These people are told options are risky, see these incredibly stupid positions, get no mention of the Greeks, no mention of volume (it won't even show any of this unless you drill down into another view!), and take Robinhood's suggestion "I came here for risky, it says this is risky, must be what I'm looking for".

> How about we let the users take personal responsibility?

How on earth is that at odds with warning users they should be ready to leave their money in the stock market for long periods of time, are you daft?

Re: Robinhood 20yo trader with no income loses 700k on options, takes life

#107
post #65

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The efficient market hypothesis says otherwise. If it was easier to lose money (ignoring trading costs and spreads) than it was to make money, I could easily beat the market by doing the opposite of the average joe loser.

There are firms that do exactly this. Robinhood's business model is to sell the order-flow data of its users to HFT hedge funds, who then take the opposite side of the trade. It's proven very profitable both for Robinhood and for funds that do this.

Why is that okay for them to do that? Genuinely curious.

Re: Robinhood 20yo trader with no income loses 700k on options, takes life

#108
post #10
post #9

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Why should a bad options investment be better protected than studying?

Because lobbying! https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.politico.com/amp/story/2019...

Thanks for posting that.

The idea that DeVos, whose family owns a school lending company, is in the administration is not just a conflict of interest, but an indictment of our entire political system.

Re: Robinhood 20yo trader with no income loses 700k on options, takes life

#109
post #88

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Even if I tried to buy a bunch of cars or houses I can't afford I would just get rejected. Try one of the auto houses or any of the sketchy mortgage brokers. They will lend to you.

And when he doesn't pay back?

They charge such absurd interest that it doesn't matter as they can just repo it.

Re: Robinhood 20yo trader with no income loses 700k on options, takes life

#110
Wait, is it possible to "owe" money to Robinhood? I have never used them but I was under the assumption that you can only lose the money you deposited, because of the leverage, but you can not go negative.

The tweet seems to imply that too, but a lot of the comments here look misinformed.

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