You are missing the nuance once again. I am glad you mentioned Oregon, because I am in Oregon and have been following my states response pretty closely, for obvious reasons.
Oregon recently had an outbreak at a seafood plant, and retirement center. The seafood outbreak infected around 125 people, the retirement center around 35. There is also a smaller outbreak at a food processing plant in Washington County, with I believe 5-10 infections.
Here is the secret, Oregon is _now_ doing contact tracing. So _everyone_ at Pacific Seafood was tested, despite a vast majority showing no symptoms. These people would _not_ have been tested two weeks ago. Two weeks ago, testing was generally voluntary and people would request tests if they felt they needed one. Now, people who have confirmed interaction with infected individuals are being tested by state mandate. So of course, now Oregon will have more cases discovered and more positive tests.
You see how your "actual numbers" still don't tell the whole story? There is context in every single state, city, county that you miss just looking at raw numbers. Without that context you make generalizations about what the data is telling you. Stop that.
Yes, Texas should be watched, but the health authority in Texas does not seem to be worried. My own governor, Kate Brown, who has taken this (imo) too seriously, has stated publicly that she _fully expects_ an increase in cases over the coming weeks as we reopen. But now, we have the hospital and treatment capacity to handle it.
And about the Texas example, where ICU beds are decreasing. The site you linked does not seem to really mention what those ICU patients are in for. When states reopen, so do car wrecks, workplace injuries, major surgeries etc. A bypass surgery will require a few days in an ICU, so now that major surgeries are happening again, of course ICU capacity would be taxed. Again, as I've been saying, you lack context. This time last year, what was the ICU bed utilization in Texas? Now that we see that intubation and invasive ventilators actually worsens outcomes, how many COVID patients can be treated _outside_ of an ICU?
As I said in my original post, we are not updating our metrics to meet new understandings. ICU beds are a silly metric now, but they sure are scary!