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SpaceX successfully launches two humans into orbit

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Re: SpaceX successfully launches two humans into orbit

#371
post #302
post #163

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Didn’t shuttle have a larger payload? Up to 8 people and larger cargo. NASA gave a $55million estimate on cost per seat on crew dragon, which would be about $440 million to launch 8 people. Not sure that is factoring in reusability once they are willing to use that for crew missions (or offset price reusing crew boosters on non crewed missions). Another issue with shuttle was reliability though. It may take hundreds…

The shuttle had a payload to LEO capacity of 27 tons, but Falcon Heavy can lift over 60 tons. The problem with the Shuttle was the orbiter itself was enormously heavy.

Wasn’t today Falcon 9? Presumably Falcon Heavy’s cost per seat is higher. Falcon 9 is 24 tons or so I think.

Re: SpaceX successfully launches two humans into orbit

#372
post #187

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You just need to look further. You get access to rare materials that can be immensely valuable. Read https://www.amazon.com/Case-Space-Revolution-Spaceflight-Pos... Also with that short term outlook you wouldn’t have many things. The Internet was not initially commercial. It was designed to provide communications in the event of a nuclear attack. Yet here we are now and we have reaped immense benefits from that inves…

> You get access to rare materials that can be immensely valuable. Why would you want to send humans to get it? Space is really inhospitable for humans, but machines seem to like it just fine. Offshore oil and gas mining is rapidly being automated, and if they could, they would eliminate humans from the process altogether. Nobody wants to go out and live on a frozen windblown metal can full of industrial machinery, i…

>> After you get over the romantic narrative of space, it really doesn't sound any more appealing than the oil platform. I mean, sure, I'm curious. But I wouldn't want to live there.

You are already living in space. :)

Re: SpaceX successfully launches two humans into orbit

#373

This is a huge success for NASA's Commercial Crew Program. Both the total development costs ($1.7B and $2.8B for Crew Dragon and Starliner, respectively) and the per-seat costs ($60-67M and $91-99M) have outperformed all other NASA crewed programs since the early days of the agency. For comparison, development costs for the Space Shuttle were $27.4B, while Orion is estimated at $23.7B. (From https://orbitalindex.com…

But how much of that cost was initial R&D vs what SpaceX was doing? It's hard to compare costs given that it feels like much of NASA space development was science research into how to actually do it, paving the way for future projects. There are many examples of successful commercial programs that could only exist because of huge ("unprofitable") government R&D behind it. Google maps, the entire internet, commercial…

SLS and Orion were developed in the 21st century, when there was no need for new basic science research, and their development costs are staggering.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Space_Launch_System#Funding_hi...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Orion_(spacecraft)#Funding_his...

Re: SpaceX successfully launches two humans into orbit

#375

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There are two rows of physical buttons below the touch screens along with a large manual abort lever. The physical buttons are used for manual docking.

And it’s painted black against black backdrop when the decision to pull it happens in milliseconds level. :facepalm: This is what a Martin Baker ejection handle looks like: https://c8.alamy.com/comp/BJTDWG/martin-baker-ejection-seat-... With all due respect to all the engineers that work at SpaceX, the UI of the cockpit has regressed to the point of pure marketing. Same with the suit design, looks like an awful low b…

This is some seriously lame backseat HN driving. Zero skin in the game, sat in on zero mission briefs and zero design decisions. Never used it. Never spoken to someone who has.

Yet think it makes for a good HN post to "facepalm" at their decisions.

Re: SpaceX successfully launches two humans into orbit

#376

Quick note: Boeing got the big bucks at $5B or so for their crewed services because they have the "better" more reliable design. SpaceX only got $3B or so. Boeing running roughly 60%+ more per seat as well. So a real accomplishment so far for SpaceX to pull this off.

SpaceX had a pretty different record wrt reliability back in 2014. And to be fair I think it's more likely that Boeing was competing against Sierra Nevada, not SpaceX

Re: SpaceX successfully launches two humans into orbit

#377
post #273

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>> into orbit in a spacecraft that was designed from the ground up to be a commercial venture. If we are talking pure commercial travel, it is a vehicle without a destination. The ISS is definitely not a commercial project. There are lots of reasons for the ISS to exist, and they have changed over time, but it has never been a money-making venture. While the dragons certainly do come in under budget, they are a more…

I think one of the main priorities is military supremacy. It might not appear as that from a bit away, but that should not be overlooked. NASA's boss really highlighted some of that indirectly today as well with the increased funding to build out Space Force and some of that money goes to SpaceX obviously. So commercial, yes, but not like a car. More like a tank or fighter jet.

With China making plans towards a potential moon landing, there's a chance of a 2nd space race forming, but to Mars. Not speaking to the odds of that, just saying I could see it developing in the next decade.

Re: SpaceX successfully launches two humans into orbit

#378
post #41

Why the MRAP though?

It replaces NASA's M113 armored personnel carrier, a tracked vehicle which dates back to the Vietnam War. The fire crew sits in there for protection from an exploding rocket. The vehicle is great for evacuating astronauts.

https://www.nasa.gov/feature/mrap-rolls-through-pad-evacuati...

If you want the closest view of a launch without being in the rocket, get some firefighting experience (preferably on an aircraft carrier or something of similar hazard) and then ask your senator to recommend you as a qualified guest firefighter.

Re: SpaceX successfully launches two humans into orbit

#379
post #131

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Not to detract one iota from this amazing achievement, but what definition of sustainable are you thinking of? This was still paid for by the government.

The sheer cost of launches is much lower on a Falcon 9 and Crew Dragon versus the Shuttle. Amortized per-launch cost for the Shuttle was about $1.5B [0]. The cost of the Demo-2 mission today with 2 astronauts costs $110M [1]. [0]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Space_Shuttle_program#Budget [1]: This article states the per-astronaut cost paid by NASA on a Crew Dragon mission is $55M, compared to $86M on Soyuz: https://…

They're also only using two of the four seats. And that's on top of taking out seats they originally had planned (maybe they could put them back in at some point?)

Re: SpaceX successfully launches two humans into orbit

#380

I'm surprised how I almost ended up tearing up and was close to crying while watching this. Saying this as someone who is not a huge NASA or space enthusiast. I did study physics, and I'm more into science than the average person though.

I made my wife and kids sit and watch it with me. Oddly enough, I think the first time they landed the rocket booster felt more significant to me. SpaceX launches have made space flight ordinary in a way that is pretty remarkable.

The double-booster landing and Tesla launch was more impressive, even if the third core went boom. Once you can safely launch over and over, replacing your payload with a human terrarium is neat but very much an already-been-done thing. Not like they were flying it—I imagine the only thing they had control over was a manual “uh oh” lever. Landing boosters, on the other hand, is some crazy Ray Bradbury-looking shit, and seeing two touch down in sync on land was nuts.
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