Earlier quoted context omitted.
The excess death rate (ex covid) is relative to previous annual rates. I don't think you can disambiguate between "deaths due to undiagnosed covid" and "deaths due to untreated illness due to avoiding hospitals"
You're right. But if the excess mirrors the diagnosed rate (rise and fall) one might reasonably infer that it is driven by covid. Compared to deaths resulting from/driven by people staying away from hospitals which would depend on when lockdowns were announced, when behaviors changed, etc. Although both mechanisms would bear some relation, it looked to me more like it was driven by spread of the infection rather than…
Yea absolutely. I haven't seen yet seen any analysis that does this, but I'm sure one will come along soon