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Why is AI so useless for business?

mebassett.info

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Re: Why is AI so useless for business?

#301

Earlier quoted context omitted.

What're some examples of things that were called "alternative medicine" but that were later proven to work and regarded as "medicine"? Edit: Since people are bringing up ancient examples and kind of missing the point of the question: I'm not looking for examples from the Roman Empire here. Let's stick with the past < 50 years. Maybe something your parents might actually remember being dismissed as "alternative medici…

The Australian doctor who proved ulcers and stomach cancer could be caused by bacterial infection was dismissed until he inoculated himself and cured it with antibiotics. https://www.discovermagazine.com/health/the-doctor-who-drank...

That is incredible and terrifying. Thanks for sharing!

Re: Why is AI so useless for business?

#302
post #238

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You can't stretch definition of AI that wide. Where's AI in Microsoft Office? Where's AI in spellchecking? Where's AI in route planning? Demand planning, maybe.

RIP Clippy

Not dead yet: https://github.com/smore-inc/clippy.js

Re: Why is AI so useless for business?

#303

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Back in the early 90s, my grad AI class referred to AI as the "incredible shrinking field". The class kicked off with a black-and-white newsreel style interview from the 1950's with an MIT professor[1] who says, to eternal breathless infamy, something along the lines of "we'll have machines that can think within five years!" Part of the challenge is/was the line of thinking "surely if we can solve Hard Problem X, we'…

Was the video titled “The Thinking Machine”?

That indeed looks like it, thanks. It also looks like old memory mixed up bits and pieces of it; the interview wasn't in fact set in the machine room shots.

Re: Why is AI so useless for business?

#304

Earlier quoted context omitted.

This reminds me of the Tim Minchin song Storm. "Do you know what they call alternative medicine that has been proven to work?...Medicine." I've never thought of it that way before but alternative medicine and AI have a lot in common.

What're some examples of things that were called "alternative medicine" but that were later proven to work and regarded as "medicine"? Edit: Since people are bringing up ancient examples and kind of missing the point of the question: I'm not looking for examples from the Roman Empire here. Let's stick with the past < 50 years. Maybe something your parents might actually remember being dismissed as "alternative medici…

“Holistic Nursing” is a serious effort at legitimizing what would have been considered New Age medicine 50 years ago.

http://samples.jbpub.com/9781284072679/Chapter5_Sample.pdf

Re: Why is AI so useless for business?

#305
post #224

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You can't stretch definition of AI that wide. Where's AI in Microsoft Office? Where's AI in spellchecking? Where's AI in route planning? Demand planning, maybe.

Imagine taking someone who didn't know English words or sounds, sitting them down with a document and dictionary, and asking them to spell-check it. If they could figure out that "butiful" should be "beautiful" in less than a week I'd call that really freaking intelligent. AI researchers of 40 years ago would be astounded by what Word can do. Route planning is essentially "the" fundamental AI problem. You need to get…

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Re: Why is AI so useless for business?

#306
post #234
post #159

AI gets such a bad rap. People only think of unsolved or sort-of-solved problems as AI, and don't give AI any credit for the problems it has solved, I guess because by definition those problems seem easy. Think how much Microsoft Office and competitors have amplified business productivity over the last 20 years (yeah yeah, make your jokes too). Word and Powerpoint and Excel are full of AI whether it's spellcheck or a…

> Logistics companies rely on huge amounts of optimization and problem-solving. Having worked at the largest tech based Logistics company in India, I can say, we did rely on optimization and problem-solving, but none of them involved AI, they were mathematical models and not black box.

> they were mathematical models and not black box.

Wow... talk about changing the definition of something to fit your world view.

Re: Why is AI so useless for business?

#307
post #159

AI gets such a bad rap. People only think of unsolved or sort-of-solved problems as AI, and don't give AI any credit for the problems it has solved, I guess because by definition those problems seem easy. Think how much Microsoft Office and competitors have amplified business productivity over the last 20 years (yeah yeah, make your jokes too). Word and Powerpoint and Excel are full of AI whether it's spellcheck or a…

>Finding routes for drivers and deliveries, planning schedules, optimizing store layouts, etc. -- that's AI. If a path-finding algorithm that I can write on paper is AI, AI has completely lost all meaning. Let's not call graph traversal and sorting "AI" please.

But this very much was the main focus of AI only a few decades ago. If AI has changed that much such that AI 20 years ago is no longer AI now, perhaps modern AI researchers should find a different name? I very much mean this. Previous-generation AI was very much about graph algorithms, whether via LISP, Prolog, RDF, reasoning expert systems, parsing, etc. These are all graph concepts

Re: Why is AI so useless for business?

#308
post #250

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Knowing how something works is better than not knowing. But you can still have a pretty good idea that it does have the desired effect (i.e. verify cause and effect) via randomized controlled trials. Of course, alternative medicine proponents rarely do randomized controlled trials.

If the alternative medicine is widely known, you won't be able to get a patent on it. Without a patent you won't be able to make a profit. Without a profit there's no incentive to spend the enormous money required for a randomized controlled trial.

But if the alternative medicine is widely known to work, it means the effect is powerful enough that a cheap RCT done at a local medical university should be more than enough to demonstrate it.

If it can't, then frankly, you don't really know it works.

Re: Why is AI so useless for business?

#309
post #217

Earlier quoted context omitted.

>Finding routes for drivers and deliveries, planning schedules, optimizing store layouts, etc. -- that's AI. If a path-finding algorithm that I can write on paper is AI, AI has completely lost all meaning. Let's not call graph traversal and sorting "AI" please.

Couple issues. (1) Optimization is much, much bigger than graph traversal and sorting. (2) Modern route-finding algorithms are to your on-paper-Dijkstra what a rocket ship is to your bicycle. (3) I think you're under the same misconception I'm talking about: graph traversal is absolutely a fundamental of AI. Ask anyone what the main AI textbook is, they'll tell you it's Russell and Norvig: http://aima.cs.berkeley.edu…

> (2) Modern route-finding algorithms are to your on-paper-Dijkstra what a rocket ship is to your bicycle.

Let's not get ahead of ourselves. Modern path-finding algorithms are Dijkstra + lots of heuristics piled on top.

> graph traversal is absolutely a fundamental of AI.

I agree. But being a fundamental of AI does not make it AI itself.

Re: Why is AI so useless for business?

#310

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You can't stretch definition of AI that wide. Where's AI in Microsoft Office? Where's AI in spellchecking? Where's AI in route planning? Demand planning, maybe.

" Where's AI in route planning? " Should we consider the "if it works, it's no longer AI" point made now?

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