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Why is AI so useless for business?

mebassett.info

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Re: Why is AI so useless for business?

#4
In my opinion, most of the issues leading about AI "failing" in traditional organizations are due to the following:

(1) Inflated expectations from higher/middle management which trickle down the organization. AI is seen as a high-profile case which has to lead to success (and a larger budget next year for my dept.)

(2) Data quality issues. The data itself has issues, but the key issue is lack of metadata and dispersed sources. Lack of historical labels (or them being stuck in Excel or on paper) is part of this as well. Big data without any labels is mostly useless, contrary to expectations

(3) Most AI or ML projects are not about ML. In fact, they're mostly about automation or rethinking an internal or customer-facing process. In many cases, such projects could be solved much better without a predictive component at all, or by simply sourcing a 1 cent per call API. AI is somehow seen as necessary, however, without which our CX can never be improved. ("We need a chatbot" vs. "No, you just need to think about your process flow")

(4) Deployment issues and no clean ways to measure ROI leads to projects being in development indefinitely without someone daring to stop them early. This is also related to orgs starting 30 projects in parallel (2m lead times with one to two data scientists for each), which end up all doing kind of the same preprocessing and all lead to kind of the same propensity model. No one dares to invest in long-term deeply-impacting projects as "we want to go for the low hanging fruit first"

Re: Why is AI so useless for business?

#6
The article is just vaguely complaining about undefined problems which makes it very difficult to defend or argue against. Are we talking about ML? Optimization problems? Operational research in general? Automation? And which tasks in which businesses? There's tonnes of useful stuff in each of those categories and vaguely saying that it's all useless doesn't get you anywhere.

Re: Why is AI so useless for business?

#7
> why can't it read a PDF document and transform it into a machine-readable format?

> why can't I get a computer to translate my colleague's financial spreadsheet into the format my SAP software wants?

Because you probably expect it to be 100% or maybe 99.999% accurate, and we can't do that. Imagine "AI" translating someones financial spreadsheet into a different format and dropping a zero somewhere. Oops.. but your test set accuracy is 99.8984%. Still not good enough. Just getting 1 thing wrong breaks everything. This is fundamentally different from clicking on image search and ignoring the false positives.

Re: Why is AI so useless for business?

#8
post #2

The hardest things to automate are always the things that are so easy for us they don't even register consciously

While true for some things, it's not for others.

In our application, one key operation is that the user is required to classify a line item based on the text description. There's a huge code list of possible classifications, and the user has to pick one that is the most correct.

This is definitely a task that registers consciously. And, while most of the time it's fairly easy for trained users, there are often cases which require extra thought or research.

For example, a T-shirt of mostly cotton vs a T-shirt of mostly synthetic fibers should be classified differently. How would you know based on the description "Small Womens V neck Short"?

Re: Why is AI so useless for business?

#9
In my opinion, it's because business operations isn't that complicated and people don't know what AI is.

By "not that complicated", I mean a decent CRM system to track information about the organization is approaching peak operational efficiency for most businesses. Most inefficiency I see after that is people/political problems.

By "people don't know what AI is", I mean that business owners are unable to describe their business problem as a supervised learning problem. If you can formulate your business problem as a supervised learning problem, then you can probably solve it with AI (which, yes, is really just a marketing term for supervised ML).

But most business problems are really "order taking" or "production/delivery" or "moving things through a funnel" problems and thus AI isn't the solution, CRM or CRUD apps are the solution.

Re: Why is AI so useless for business?

#10
Because "Artificial Intelligence" is a label forever applied to the effort of replicating some human cognitive ability on machines. A well-known lament goes something like: "once it's possible, it's no longer AI".

Business is about exploiting what exists. This is why the buzzword is "innovation", not "invention". Incremental improvements, not qualitative jumps. So nothing will ever be really considered "Artificial Intelligence" once it is boring enough for business.

Scheduling algorithms are incredibly useful for business. There was a time when this was considered AI, but that was the time when they didn't work well enough to be useful.

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