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TSMC Announces Intention to Build and Operate Advanced Semiconductor Fab in U.S.

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Re: TSMC Announces Intention to Build and Operate Advanced Semiconductor Fab in U.S.

#431

Post by redis_mlc »

redis_mlc wrote: post #239
remarkEon wrote: post #139

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Nice summary. Any books to recommend? My military history has a few gaps in it, and the Falkland Islands War is one of the most prominent.

You can watch a few videos on Youtube and piece things together. The most fascinating interviews are with the Argentine mechanics, who because of the French embargo, mounted the Exocets on hand-made launch rails, and the Argentine pilots who used them to devastating effect. Some subjects: 0. The failed diplomatic effort to avoid war (the Argentine diplomats were too busy drinking cocktails to negotiate with the Briti…

Argentine Diplomats Scoff at Threat of War @20:00

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=V887sYcmIAc

The same thing happened with Iraq, and this is typical. Unless you have a credible force, there is always conflict.

Re: TSMC Announces Intention to Build and Operate Advanced Semiconductor Fab in U.S.

#432

Post by gotzmann »

baybal2 wrote: post #321
audunw wrote: post #301

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Another aspect of Russia taking crimea is that the people living there to a large extent welcomed it. There are some that are pro-unification in Taiwan, but it's a minority. Most people are pro status quo, and the number that are for declaring independence is growing. The ruling party is very pro-independence (ideologically speaking, in practice they have to move slowly and maintain status quo to some degree), meanin…

> Another aspect of Russia taking crimea is that the people living there to a large extent welcomed it. Man, are saying this in your right mind? Where do you read this stuff? People there abandoned their property, and ran! This is what they did. Nobody openly welcomed it in their sane minds, besides few thousands elderly ex-party members, and alt-right weirdos. The fact that I hear sentiments like this in the West is…

I'm from Moscow and I have relatives in Crimea. I've visited them in 90s and then in 2000s. Most of Crimea citizens are 'soviet' pro-russian people. They are happy to get russian pension and all that infrastructure porjects money cause Russia is a really rich country compared to Ukraine.

Re: TSMC Announces Intention to Build and Operate Advanced Semiconductor Fab in U.S.

#433

Post by csomar »

Lind5 wrote: post #64

Actually, this is true. The big question is what's going on behind the scenes. China has been busy building up its own supply chain after the U.S. closed off shipments of any U.S.-based R&D to Huawei last summer. It also has made statements that Taiwan is part of China since then, which has left the U.S. without an advanced-node fab. Intel is at least a node behind both Samsung and TSMC, and the U.S. has no trusted f…

> If China marches into Taiwan, the U.S. will be left with no advanced-node manufacturing and it will have lost the technology race.

China marching into Taiwan could trigger a global war. They'd have to get Russia on-board. Hong Kong is reasonable as a first target. This would also frighten its SEA neighboring countries. Don't forget that China has lots of enemies (ie: Japan/South Korea).

Re: TSMC Announces Intention to Build and Operate Advanced Semiconductor Fab in U.S.

#434

Post by dieortin »

HideousKojima wrote: post #350
bsd44 wrote: post #330

Earlier quoted context omitted.

England stole Las Malvinas in 1982 from Argentina and nobody gave a damn. Funny how things work when it's "you" and not "them".

99% of Falkland Islanders support British rule (and this had 92% turnout of registered voters): https://www.reuters.com/article/us-falklands-referendum/falk... Not being tied to the economic basketcase of Argentina is a good thing, it seems. It's kind of like how Spain will occasionally bluster about Gibraltar, despite the overwhelming majority of Gibraltar supporting British rule.

> It’s kind of like how Spain will occasionally bluster about Gibraltar, despite the overwhelming majority of Gibraltar supporting British rule

Well, I guess that’s what happens when you replace the population of Gibraltar by British settlers. They will probably be pretty happy to be under British rule. Are you going to apply this logic to the areas colonized by Israel too?

Re: TSMC Announces Intention to Build and Operate Advanced Semiconductor Fab in U.S.

#435

Post by Recurecur »

barrkel wrote: post #318
magicsmoke wrote: post #188

Earlier quoted context omitted.

China won't march into Taiwan until they can win a naval war with the US to keep the US from retaliating. And if China can do that, they won't have to march into Taiwan. 2050 Indo-pacific naval war is my prediction.

China can almost certainly win a naval war with the US already; or rather, negate the US's naval force projection tool of choice, the aircraft carrier, with anti-ship ballistic missiles. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/DF-26 - range of 2500 miles

Can those ballistic missiles actually hit anything?

They're converted ICBMs, and require some kind of terminal guidance. Something traveling Mach 10+ can't use radar or infrared guidance. How does it hit a maneuvering ship?

Current thinking is drones or some other local surveillance would be used, radio linked to the DF-21. I wonder how well that will work alongside US electronic warfare capabilities?

Interesting stuff...

Re: TSMC Announces Intention to Build and Operate Advanced Semiconductor Fab in U.S.

#436

Post by blaser-waffle »

type-2 wrote: post #257
_fq4v wrote: post #189

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Never mind the civil unrest, the entire world would bail out of China. That is not clear.. at all. Europe, Canada, Australia, New Zealand -- the non-US western allies -- have all known exactly what China's end goal is and have down jack diddly squat to put pressure on them. The only thing preventing China from taking out Taiwan is the United States. Europe and the rest of the world is too cowardly to even do anythi…

Russia took crimea without any issue. Do you really think anything will happen if china took taiwan by force? It's a matter of time before china takes taiwan.

No nuclear powers are backing the Ukraine or Crimea. The US is explicitly backing Taiwan. When the CCP started conducting "exercises" near Taiwan during the Clinton era, the US sent 3 carriers to conduct "exercises" nearby.

And, as others have pointed out, they weren't trying to conquer all of Ukraine, just the parts with a "warm" water port, which also happened to have a lot of ethnic Russians. Limited scope, for a tactical gain (a seaport). The CCP, however, is trying to take all of Taiwan, and enforce their will on people who absolutely do not want it.

With a Nuclear India next door (and Nuclear Pakistan next to them), plus Japan, Vietnam, and a host of other countries that have a reason to be weary of China, it's a risky gambit. It is a good way to kickoff WWIII, for an island that is already, effectively, in the Chinese cultural and economic sphere.

Re: TSMC Announces Intention to Build and Operate Advanced Semiconductor Fab in U.S.

#437

Post by throw51319 »

mytailorisrich wrote: post #419
throw51319 wrote: post #416

Earlier quoted context omitted.

How is Taiwan an internal Chinese issue? There was a civil war that ended in a deadlock. Both societies grew and actually interacted fairly peacefully for 70 years. The people in Taiwan view themselves overwhelmingly as Taiwanese. Using your logic applied to Crimea, should they not obviously be Taiwan then? The question is, do we want to end this idea of "taking back" things that were "ours" in the past? What even is…

It is factually an internal issue. There is the Republic of China on one side, the People's Republic of China on the other. This is the same as North v South Korea (the war isn't over in both cases, they are just playing the clock) but with the crucial difference that in China's case one side is too big to be pushed over. Again, this has been played to annoy the PRC, standard divide-and-conquer tactic, but the realit…

To use your logic - if there is an internal genocide in an country, there should be no outside interference because it's internal. The stronger party should be able to do what it wants because it's stronger.

It's ridiculous. The whole point is we don't want to have a strength-based order in the world. If so, it will become winner take all and lots of people will die.

If China wants to "finish" a civil war and start the attack then fine, they have the blood of innocents on their hands.

Re: TSMC Announces Intention to Build and Operate Advanced Semiconductor Fab in U.S.

#438

Post by helsinkiandrew »

I thought there was an interesting point in this economist article: https://www.economist.com/business/2020/05/21/americas-lates...

"tsmc could equip the Arizona foundry with American gear from its existing factories, freeing space in its Taiwanese operations for brand new non-American kit that can freely serve Chinese customers"

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