151–160 of 223 posts
Earlier quoted context omitted.
>Secondarily, the fact that the polynomial is described as cubic, when it appears to be quadratic. wut. a quadratic only has one inflection point. that plotted curve clearly has 2.
Yep you’re right, I said something daft. It looks pretty much like a Gaussian doesn’t it?
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Um, yes. The statistical community has not been doing well with the coronavirus epidemic. Nobody's models seem to be predicting well. Nor is the source data for anything but deaths very good. This matters, because the current plan US plan seems to be "open things up and wait for herd immunity". How much time, and how many deaths, lie between now and that point? I dunno.
> The statistical community has not been doing well with the coronavirus epidemic. I'm curious how you concluded this. Can you (or anyone) recommend a reasoned evaluation of the existing models? We've got a few months of hindsight now and I'm curious hear what any reputable data scientist might have to say. I see criticism of the models online (in op-eds and social media), but the criticisms are usually agenda driven…
Here's the Financial Times graph of actuals, country by country.[1] No predictions. The pattern that shows up in some of the actuals is "huge spike, tight lockdown, big drop". See Italy, Belgium and the Isle of Man. The Isle of Man puts people in jail for weeks for violating quarantine rules. The US didn't have a huge spike, but isn't seeing a big drop, either. US deaths are at about 2/3 of peak.
[1] https://ig.ft.com/coronavirus-chart/?areas=usa&areas=gbr&are...
So much of everything is about connections and reputation. Tech in particular holds up a guise that people are chosen and ascend because they are “good”, meaning, they are good at what they do. That’s part of it, but it’s an insufficient part, and you can do pretty well in a career being solidly average at what you do. The real currency in my experience is one thing - relationships. Do I think this person likes, resp…
Yes, this was the opinion I came here to post, certainly my own profession of law is like this, at least where I practice in Toronto Canada but I can't imagine other places being much different. I think one advantage of computers is that what you produce at the end has to work - and if the code doesn't work or you don't know what you're doing, you're quickly exposed as a fraud. This is not the case in other fields li…
Most people I know would happily sign a document that states 'We hold these truths to be self evident that all men are created equal', even though the world shows us every single day that it isn't true.
In technical fields, getting that document approved would be a nightmare.
Maxwell's equations on the other hand are easy to get approval for. They are 'self evident'. Because they describe what we see, not what we want to see.
So thank god for Jefferson penning that line down and effecting how everyone thinks, because it shows us for some problems, the ambiguous kind, were truth is what we want it to be, technical fields will struggle to provide answers.
Its very fortunate, esp to make progress on all the ambiguous problems, that society props up a Jefferson now and then.
How did Jefferson get into that position and not some jackass, is the most important question. And the answer to that, with a modern developing understanding of networks and graph theory, has only recently started moving from the abstract and ambiguous to the more technical - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=07KKYostAJ0
So much of everything is about connections and reputation. Tech in particular holds up a guise that people are chosen and ascend because they are “good”, meaning, they are good at what they do. That’s part of it, but it’s an insufficient part, and you can do pretty well in a career being solidly average at what you do. The real currency in my experience is one thing - relationships. Do I think this person likes, resp…
I've noticed this when applying to FAANG. The online resume site doesn't cut it. You need to know people to get past the resume screening, even if you have a bachelor + master in CS, TA experience and some work experience. Someone did reach out via HN recently, which I am really grateful of [0]. I'm curious to see how that works out. It's only FAANG, I've also seen this everywhere in The Netherlands. I've been lookin…
Earlier quoted context omitted.
This is one reason I believe computer science should be thought in school just like mathematics. The experience is very humbling, you've got all this logic, all the rationale, to you, it must work, but the computer knows it doesn't make any sense. I've learned that most problems are easily dismissed by people as being "easy", "simple", just do this, just do that. I've found software forces you to really think through…
> Here's an example, my friend always tells me he thinks we shouldn't take anymore refugees. [...] That's surface level thinking to me. How do you do that? [...] What do you do? It’s funny you take this example because your point of view is precisely surface thinking too. I bet you don’t have any concrete plan to fund housing, education, healthcare for those people, nor you have one for them to become productive memb…
But they're not...? GP didn't say he want to take refugees in, they merely said their friend want refuse refugees without specifying how exactly they want to accomplish that.
>I bet you don’t have any concrete plan to fund housing, education...
I don't think this assumption is fair.
It's not clear what technical content this post has. A cubic polynomial vs time would be a terrible idea, but the dashed and/or dotted red line (that people seem upset about) is obviously not a cubic polynomial vs time. At that point I run out of guesses about exactly what's being said by anybody.
Um, yes. The statistical community has not been doing well with the coronavirus epidemic. Nobody's models seem to be predicting well. Nor is the source data for anything but deaths very good. This matters, because the current plan US plan seems to be "open things up and wait for herd immunity". How much time, and how many deaths, lie between now and that point? I dunno.
Even that's iffy when compared to "excess deaths" (in lots of places, excluding all covid deaths still results in more people dying this year compared to previous years).
So much of everything is about connections and reputation. Tech in particular holds up a guise that people are chosen and ascend because they are “good”, meaning, they are good at what they do. That’s part of it, but it’s an insufficient part, and you can do pretty well in a career being solidly average at what you do. The real currency in my experience is one thing - relationships. Do I think this person likes, resp…
Yes, this was the opinion I came here to post, certainly my own profession of law is like this, at least where I practice in Toronto Canada but I can't imagine other places being much different. I think one advantage of computers is that what you produce at the end has to work - and if the code doesn't work or you don't know what you're doing, you're quickly exposed as a fraud. This is not the case in other fields li…
No that's not true, that something works is beginner level stuff in many cases. In some cases you're right though, because what has been asked is a super tough problem to crack.
I'll showcase the moments in which the "it has to work" requirement is not enough.
To show this example, I already have to break 2 conventions that are a no no, in my opinion. To other devs: I'm commenting everything (I can't assume someone who works in law to know code, he/she might, he/she might not) and I'm using globals for easier variable reassignment, to ease the example for readability.
Let's get started. The requirement: print 5 to the console of your browser [1].
Open up Chrome Dev Tools (view -> developer -> developer tools -> console)
Type in the following:
five = 1 + 1 + 1 + 1 + 1 //compute 1 + 1 + 1 + 1 + 1 and save it in the computer with the name five
console.log(five) //outputs 5
five = 0 //reset
// loop 5 times, and every time the pc adds 1 to the saved part of the computer named five
for (loopCount = 0; loopCount console.log(5)
[1] Read the following link to have some context about what the JavaScript console is. Don't worry about not understanding the code or the technical terms. You're not missing anything, as far as context is concerned, I checked. Read it until the first paragraph of "Running JavaScript".
https://developers.google.com/web/tools/chrome-devtools/cons...
Earlier quoted context omitted.
Yep you’re right, I said something daft. It looks pretty much like a Gaussian doesn’t it?
small tails. maybe. it could be anything though with the right parameters.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
I've noticed this when applying to FAANG. The online resume site doesn't cut it. You need to know people to get past the resume screening, even if you have a bachelor + master in CS, TA experience and some work experience. Someone did reach out via HN recently, which I am really grateful of [0]. I'm curious to see how that works out. It's only FAANG, I've also seen this everywhere in The Netherlands. I've been lookin…
FWIW, this wasn't my experience at all, but also there may be differences between the US and Europe. I went to a unremarkable top 50 state school in the US, graduated with a 3.0 GPA BS in CS, had a single internship at a no-name local company, no research experience, no referral, no significant personal projects, no TAing experience, and I got interviews at Amazon, Facebook, and Google by cold applying online. It was…
My CS master grade was an A [1, EU grading system explained]. I'm sorry for writing all of this, the GPA 3.0 got me triggered.
I think it's because I'm from Amsterdam and not from the US. I've also noticed by watching YouTube that US people had an easier time applying to Google as a grad, a way easier time in fact. I have found no videos of Europeans doing something similar. Not that I have looked, I simply come across them.
It feels that my predicted future was a complete lie. I failed in my goal, spectacularly. Everything I gave up for it was in vain. Getting to FAANG later won't be the same, it's not the career trajectory/velocity I want. I should've partied a lot more. That would've been fun. I do appreciate the education though.
Perhaps I should find a career coach.
[1] European GPA: 8.1 out of 10, European grades are much harsher, a 10 means a god-like level in many cases, I don't think anyone has gotten a 10 as a GPA, 9.1 or 9.2 means you're the best or one of the best in the country/
So much of everything is about connections and reputation. Tech in particular holds up a guise that people are chosen and ascend because they are “good”, meaning, they are good at what they do. That’s part of it, but it’s an insufficient part, and you can do pretty well in a career being solidly average at what you do. The real currency in my experience is one thing - relationships. Do I think this person likes, resp…
I've noticed this when applying to FAANG. The online resume site doesn't cut it. You need to know people to get past the resume screening, even if you have a bachelor + master in CS, TA experience and some work experience. Someone did reach out via HN recently, which I am really grateful of [0]. I'm curious to see how that works out. It's only FAANG, I've also seen this everywhere in The Netherlands. I've been lookin…