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Why is the stock market rallying when the economy is so bad?

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651–660 of 898 posts

Re: Why is the stock market rallying when the economy is so bad?

#651

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Like Sanders says, when half a million people are homeless, our healthcare system is a joke, and our infrastructure is unmaintained, we have a LOT of work to do. And a lot of spending. There is a far-left opinion that there should be no such thing as a billionaire, that a single human's marginal tax rate should hit 100% at some point. I wouldn't say "never" to the idea at this point.

> our infrastructure is unmaintained Bernie supporters are generally the least likely to get their hands dirty and do the kind of work necessary to build and maintain infrastructure. Pretty much everyone I meet that does that kind of work is Republican. Not saying this is a universal truth, but it's a somewhat accurate generalization. Source for party affiliation by a sampling of occupations: http://verdantlabs.com/p…

Responding to "our infrastructure is unmaintained" with "Bernie supporters won't be in the jobs actually doing the building because I found this cool infographic showing that bartenders lean Democratic and beer wholesalers lean Republican" is beyond mere non-sequitur into genuine weirdness.

It's not like our infrastructure problems are new, or weren't remarked on before 2016. They've been building for decades. They were there in the Obama administration, and the Bush administration, and the Clinton administration, and the other Bush administration, and the Reagan administration. Do you think the problem through all those years was our critical shortage of leftist construction workers?

Re: Why is the stock market rallying when the economy is so bad?

#652

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Faith in humanity: buy stocks. No faith in humanity: buy gold. Large cap stocks are to some degree an international investment. REITs: well they are down, maybe more of an opportunity if only because the good stocks are so high.

> Faith in humanity: buy stocks. No faith in humanity: buy gold. Speaking to a friend who bought stocks recently, they said, "I'm bullish on America." I might say if you are the opposite of bullish, then buy gold. And if you have no faith in humanity, buy a survivalist bunker.

The survivalist bunker idea is so stupid for the kind of people I see investing in them. These are Silicon Valley guys with $10+m in the bank but have never even been in a fistfight. If the shit truly hits the fan they are going to be very quickly relieved of their nice bunkers by a few Bud Light drinking boys 2 years removed from their Army deployment.

Re: Why is the stock market rallying when the economy is so bad?

#653
post #441

Earlier quoted context omitted.

You're arguing for taking out loans to invest in the stock market, which sounds irresponsible to me.

Are you saying every person who buys a home with a mortgage, while still throwing 5% of salary in their 401(k) is irresponsible? Many, many people do this.

If you think you can count on YOY 12-15% returns on the stock market, you should be buying 10% OTM LEAPs instead of shares. You'll be the world's first trillionaire in a decade or so

Re: Why is the stock market rallying when the economy is so bad?

#654

> And as has often been the case in recent years, investors find themselves faced with few attractive alternatives if they opt out of betting on stocks. The problem is so familiar it has its own acronym: TINA, or There Is No Alternative to stocks. Cash: Gets eaten away by inflation. Although the CPI doesn't indicate high inflation it only measures consumer goods. Inflation is there in the price of investments. If you…

But why buying stocks of companies that will be bankrupt in the coming months?

Re: Why is the stock market rallying when the economy is so bad?

#655

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Guillotines might have worked well in the past, but with modern weapons and technology, you can use a much smaller portion of the population to suppress a much larger portion of the population. You can pay 10% of the population well enough that they support the top 0.01%, and the top 10% can pay the next 20% to 30% well enough or provide a sufficient probability to move up (or illusion) that they are incentivized to…

There is a much simpler alternative. The general strike.

Market could still go up. The Fed just has to agree to print money until the strike ends.

Re: Why is the stock market rallying when the economy is so bad?

#656
post #303

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Do people actually get family pressure to remodel their kitchen?

My wife’s side pressure her (me) to “upgrade” her wedding set every few years. WTF. They’re terrible with money, of course, and constantly make passive-aggressive comments about who’s spending what. I don’t think they even realize they’re doing it, it’s just a really, really awful and deeply middle-class-anxiety attitude they’re stuck in.

LOL me too. They know I have rental properties but are always bitching about my small house and why I am not doing this or that. They don't know that my real estate portfolio is worth upwards of $5 million and when the mortgages start to be paid down, will eventually be generating $20,000 a month in rent. Look forward to telling them to get fucked when they come looking for some of that money.

Re: Why is the stock market rallying when the economy is so bad?

#657

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I mean, if 0.1% of your savings is in the market, you're "participating" in some sense, but not with any real impact. My sense is that, for the great majority of people in the United States, the stock market's value doubling would mean little for their financial health. Having a retirement fund that goes from $10,000 to $20,000 (or even $100,000 to $200,000) has a relatively small impact on the prospect of retiring […

> if 0.1% of your savings is in the market That means you chose not to participate in the market, not that you were prevented. In which case I can't accept grousing about not getting the gains from investing in the market. > retirement-calculator Use it. It'll show how much you need to invest monthly to retire a millionaire. Your money will do a lot better than double.

>That means you _chose_ not to participate in the market

You can’t invest money you don’t have.

Re: Why is the stock market rallying when the economy is so bad?

#658
post #655

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There is a much simpler alternative. The general strike.

Market could still go up. The Fed just has to agree to print money until the strike ends.

Which will be very useful when the utility workers of the stock exchange strike and the lights turn off.

Re: Why is the stock market rallying when the economy is so bad?

#659

> And as has often been the case in recent years, investors find themselves faced with few attractive alternatives if they opt out of betting on stocks. The problem is so familiar it has its own acronym: TINA, or There Is No Alternative to stocks. Cash: Gets eaten away by inflation. Although the CPI doesn't indicate high inflation it only measures consumer goods. Inflation is there in the price of investments. If you…

Buying stocks has never been more democratic. Anyone with $100 can buy stocks. No brokerage fees, and fractional shares are now common. We also just passed what in hindsight will likely be seen as a historic buying opportunity.

$100 in stocks is a meaningless "investment"

e.g. https://www.cnbc.com/2018/01/18/few-americans-have-enough-sa...

> Only 39% of Americans have enough savings to cover a $1,000 emergency

So you're part of the 61% of americans with less than $1k on hand, but you put it into the stock market, congrats! At the end of the year you have $999 + 6% roi = $1059. Best case scenario you're looking at less than $10k for retirement after 30 years of this.

Re: Why is the stock market rallying when the economy is so bad?

#660
post #607

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't see how they would help. There's a common refrain among Reddit socialists and whatnot about the rich sitting on some mythical "pile of resources" that needs to be redistributed, but even if you suppose that we guillotine the rich I don't think the poor can eat stock certificates. What are they going to do if they dismantle, say, Wal-Mart? Now all the people who worked there have no jobs and the people who sho…

How about ripping Wal-Mart apart and replacing it with what existed before - many different shops, each owned by a local person, and many different logsitics networks, each also owned by someone in the area? People on the right often claim to be for the free market and for small, decentralized government, but then turn around and love big, centrally planned conglomerates,just as long as they are owned by share-holder…

each small store will have little bargaining power when it comes to their suppliers. therefore, each little store will end up paying "market price".

Eventually, the small stores join up together to bargain for a wholesale price lower than market price to their suppliers, and thus earn a higher margin.

ala, what you see at walmart today.

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