The economic consensus is that COVID growth and an underwater economy will mutually reinforce each other for the next two years.
If you accept that scenario your decisions in the present about finances, investments, and employment all radically shift. My decisions have radically shifted to accommodate even though I have two essential industry employers with virtually no risk of being laid off.
What I personally use as a thermostat on how to proceed during adjusted life is the military. How they conduct business is bound by finances not beholden to a profit stream and they do not conduct business out of political ideals/favors. When they lift travel restrictions I will feel more confident about traveling. Once they reopen schools I will more confident about going back to work in an office building. When they drop the need for face masks or mandatory forced quarantine I will feel more confident stepping away from social distancing. Until those things happen I will continue to play it highly conservative in accordance with the suggested medical guidance to avoid exposure.