In 4 US state prisons, 3,300 inmates test positive, 96% without symptoms
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Re: In 4 US state prisons, 3,300 inmates test positive, 96% without symptoms
#2Before the deluge of "But wait two weeks" comments, I just want to ask at what point we accept that the potentially of totally asymptomatic cases is insanely high, far higher than anyone thought?
Re: In 4 US state prisons, 3,300 inmates test positive, 96% without symptoms
#3I've been tracking the antibody study results in a spreadsheet, and they are suggesting a 10-20x undercount of cases in the official "confirmed" numbers. You can see the data I've collected here: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/16onEUBWIV5IqN1RCvTla...
Re: In 4 US state prisons, 3,300 inmates test positive, 96% without symptoms
#4Before the deluge of "But wait two weeks" comments, I just want to ask at what point we accept that the potentially of totally asymptomatic cases is insanely high, far higher than anyone thought?
I also want to add that this doesn't make the virus less deadly. It just gives it a very population varied IFR. It appears far more deadly for some populations. Near harmless for others. But no clear way to confine it to the harmless crowd.
Re: In 4 US state prisons, 3,300 inmates test positive, 96% without symptoms
#5Maybe we can institute a work-recovery program where inmates can do high-exposure work (once they are truly recovered). give them experience and a feeling of duty and purpose.
Nah, they'll probably just keep using em for slave labor.
Re: In 4 US state prisons, 3,300 inmates test positive, 96% without symptoms
#6I wish I could get an anti-body test done because I had flu-like symptoms before any tests were available
Re: In 4 US state prisons, 3,300 inmates test positive, 96% without symptoms
#7No, they will develop symptoms. Test again in two weeks.
Re: In 4 US state prisons, 3,300 inmates test positive, 96% without symptoms
#8Before the deluge of "But wait two weeks" comments, I just want to ask at what point we accept that the potentially of totally asymptomatic cases is insanely high, far higher than anyone thought?
Like with the death rate, I expect we'll seamlessly transition from "this isn't proof, in 2 weeks you'll see" to "this isn't news, everyone always believed that so it doesn't imply any changes in strategy".
Re: In 4 US state prisons, 3,300 inmates test positive, 96% without symptoms
#9People can test positive and are most contagious before they show symptoms. As opposed to influenza where people with symptoms are most contagious. The delay in the onset of symptoms is why this is a very difficult virus to contain.
Further, the accuracy of our tests is questionable and hopefully improving.
Finally, viral shedding has been seen up to 35+ days since symptom onset. Meaning if they showed symptoms a month ago, they may still test positive.
https://www.aarp.org/health/conditions-treatments/info-2020/...
Re: In 4 US state prisons, 3,300 inmates test positive, 96% without symptoms
#10Before the deluge of "But wait two weeks" comments, I just want to ask at what point we accept that the potentially of totally asymptomatic cases is insanely high, far higher than anyone thought?
> Before the deluge of "But wait two weeks" comments, I just want to ask at what point we accept that the potentially of totally asymptomatic cases is insanely high, far higher than anyone thought?
Presumably in two weeks, when we know whether more of these thousands of people go on to develop symptoms or not.
Is anybody following up on stories like this? Do we have any from two weeks ago?