Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have Covid antibodies
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Re: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have Covid antibodies
#2Another datapoint suggesting the death rate of this virus is within 0.5%.
Re: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have Covid antibodies
#3Garbage news source
Re: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have Covid antibodies
#4Garbage news source
The slides contained in it were shared by the governor. Though maybe you're calling him a garbage news source.
Re: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have Covid antibodies
#5> The reason the tests were randomly taken from those at grocery and big-box stores is that these were people not isolating in their homes and presumably not at work and therefore not essential workers.
Re: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have Covid antibodies
#6> The reason the tests were randomly taken from those at grocery and big-box stores is that these were people not isolating in their homes and presumably not at work and therefore not essential workers.
I don't know what to make of that. I would expect people at work to have higher infection rate (not the least because many of these jobs involve contact with the population). It also filters out older and sick people. So intuitively I would expect to undershoot the actual rate.
Re: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have Covid antibodies
#7While this is great information, a few facts will still confound attempts to speculate based on this number:
- The production of IgG antibodies is mostly delayed until after an infection is cleared.
- This is a random sample of people who were outside, it's not representative of the total population.
- Non-trivial numbers of people may never develop detectable antibodies for SARS-CoV-2:
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.17.20061440v...
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.03.30.20047365v...
Re: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have Covid antibodies
#8While this is great information, a few facts will still confound attempts to speculate based on this number: - The production of IgG antibodies is mostly delayed until after an infection is cleared. - This is a random sample of people who were outside, it's not representative of the total population. - Non-trivial numbers of people may never develop detectable antibodies for SARS-CoV-2: https://www.medrxiv.org/conten…
If I follow, your first and third points would indicate the number may actually be higher?
Additionally, does your third point also indicate that they will never be immune, or just that we won't be able to test for it?
Re: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have Covid antibodies
#9Garbage news source
The Governor's press conference was covered by the major media. The slides are there, also.
Re: Preliminary test results suggest 21% of NYC residents have Covid antibodies
#10> The reason the tests were randomly taken from those at grocery and big-box stores is that these were people not isolating in their homes and presumably not at work and therefore not essential workers.
I don't know what to make of that. I would expect people at work to have higher infection rate (not the least because many of these jobs involve contact with the population). It also filters out older and sick people. So intuitively I would expect to undershoot the actual rate.
I read it as people shopping, not people that work there. So folks who are out-and-about, but are not in the more likely to have it groups (healthcare workers or people working at the grocery store). You're right about older and sick people.