Earlier quoted context omitted.
>our own Fed It's actually privately owned and not public.
It's controlled by the US government and the US Treasury receives the proceeds. https://www.federalreserve.gov/faqs/about_14986.htm
Federal Reserve balance sheet trends
81–90 of 266 posts
Re: Federal Reserve balance sheet trends
#82Earlier quoted context omitted.
Modern monetary theory is long overdue.
It is hard to tell if you are supportive or resigned to the eventuality. Just in case it is supportive... MMT relies heavily on the fact that tracing back who is paying for it is so convoluted that its backers can claim nobody is. That isn't true. At any moment there is a fixed pool of real resources that we have to divide up. It is pretty obvious that a lot of those resources should be given to people who will use t…
For example, many people here is predicting hyperinflation, using the MMT model we can predict that's not going to happen. Many people here are predicting "slave grandsons by public debt", the MMT model tell us that doesn't make sense.
>>"MMT relies heavily on the fact that tracing back who is paying for it is so convoluted that its backers can claim nobody is"
I don't know what that means.
>>"At any moment there is a fixed pool of real resources that we have to divide up"
That sentence agrees totally with the MMT cannon.
Re: Federal Reserve balance sheet trends
#83Earlier quoted context omitted.
>When the Fed expands their balance sheet, what they're doing is replacing private-sector assets with liquid cash. Given that the stimulus is appropriate for the economy, this is all fine. It's not anything that future generations have to "pay back." And it's not going to cause a collapse of the dollar. This is simply not true. The Fed is buying assets at a premium (otherwise counterparties wouldn't sell the assets t…
>Future generations pay this back not through taxes but through inflation. I don't think that's a fair characterization. Inflation helps people with student loans (salary grows but debt stays the same) and hurts people with retirement accounts full of bonds. Broadly speaking, inflation helps the young (by closing the wealth gap between haves and have-nots).
Re: Federal Reserve balance sheet trends
#84Earlier quoted context omitted.
>When the Fed expands their balance sheet, what they're doing is replacing private-sector assets with liquid cash. Given that the stimulus is appropriate for the economy, this is all fine. It's not anything that future generations have to "pay back." And it's not going to cause a collapse of the dollar. This is simply not true. The Fed is buying assets at a premium (otherwise counterparties wouldn't sell the assets t…
>Future generations pay this back not through taxes but through inflation. I don't think that's a fair characterization. Inflation helps people with student loans (salary grows but debt stays the same) and hurts people with retirement accounts full of bonds. Broadly speaking, inflation helps the young (by closing the wealth gap between haves and have-nots).
If you’re young without debt, inflation devalues your savings.
Re: Federal Reserve balance sheet trends
#85So I'm hearing the " the dollar is over, throw everything into gold, fiat money is doomed" in other forums. Can anyone give some conterpoints to that narrative?
Buy an index fund and wait I say.
Re: Federal Reserve balance sheet trends
#86What matters isn't the size of the Fed's balance sheet or what it contains. The Fed's balance sheet is "invisible" to the private-sector economy. This expansion of their balance sheet is simply a reflection of the stimulus we're doing. When the Fed expands their balance sheet, what they're doing is replacing private-sector assets with liquid cash. Given that the stimulus is appropriate for the economy, this is all fi…
>When the Fed expands their balance sheet, what they're doing is replacing private-sector assets with liquid cash. Given that the stimulus is appropriate for the economy, this is all fine. It's not anything that future generations have to "pay back." And it's not going to cause a collapse of the dollar. This is simply not true. The Fed is buying assets at a premium (otherwise counterparties wouldn't sell the assets t…
The consumer price index is definitely flawed. However, one thing I've heard is that the massive drop in demand and velocity of money is necessary to consider when analyzing inflation. I also was initially worried about inflation given the massive stimulus numbers we're seeing but have been reconsidering this.
I'm not well-versed in this at all, but demand-pull inflation under Keynesian economics [1] or a drop in V (velocity of money) in the equation of exchange in the monetarist theory of money [2] seem to be what is supporting why folks are worried about deflation. I would venture to guess that this is part of why the Fed is doing these massive buys right now, too.
Tangentially, pointers to good econ learning resources from anyone would be helpful. I've only started with Khan Academy and what I remember from old classes so far.
[0] https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=qH1p [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inflation#Keynesian_view [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inflation#Monetarist_view
Re: Federal Reserve balance sheet trends
#87The federal reserve owns half of all US debt. We are paying interest on interest to our own Fed that serves as the banking systems perpetual bailout fund with the ability to create unlimited amounts of money.
>our own Fed It's actually privately owned and not public.
Re: Federal Reserve balance sheet trends
#88Earlier quoted context omitted.
The gold fans fail to realize that liquidity is more important than hoarding metals. Gold was important at the time where balances were done manually and purchases between countries were settled with physical gold. (And no, this is not a defense of bitcoin. Bitcoin has to be much more liquid and stable for it to work as a store of value)
This is true for short term store of value. Both gold & Bitcoin are doing terrible. In the medium/long term gold & Bitcoin have been historically very good store of value assets
Re: Federal Reserve balance sheet trends
#89What matters isn't the size of the Fed's balance sheet or what it contains. The Fed's balance sheet is "invisible" to the private-sector economy. This expansion of their balance sheet is simply a reflection of the stimulus we're doing. When the Fed expands their balance sheet, what they're doing is replacing private-sector assets with liquid cash. Given that the stimulus is appropriate for the economy, this is all fi…
As far as the balance sheet itself is concerned, it's important to look at all of it - with any magician it's critical to watch both hands - and in this case, the right hand is doing this to the M2 money supply, i.e. creating $2 trillion.
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/M2
Approximately 15% of the real money supply, or about $5,000 for every man, woman and child in the USA, had it been handed to them directly.
That's this month. If that has to be done every month for the rest of the year...
Re: Federal Reserve balance sheet trends
#90Earlier quoted context omitted.
>When the Fed expands their balance sheet, what they're doing is replacing private-sector assets with liquid cash. Given that the stimulus is appropriate for the economy, this is all fine. It's not anything that future generations have to "pay back." And it's not going to cause a collapse of the dollar. This is simply not true. The Fed is buying assets at a premium (otherwise counterparties wouldn't sell the assets t…
I'm not saying I agree or disagree given mild inflation trends over the past decade, but how long do you think inflation takes to really get in gear if you're right? We experienced deflation last month according to the consumer price index despite fiscal stimulus and Fed buying assets. [0] The consumer price index is definitely flawed. However, one thing I've heard is that the massive drop in demand and velocity of m…