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US oil prices turn negative as demand dries up

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Re: US oil prices turn negative as demand dries up

#61

Earlier quoted context omitted.

In an arrangement with the US Government it could be put into the ground, elsewhere. Doing it without state permission would be an entirely different matter however. I'm not aware of any very large, privately owned underground storage caverns (such that they could make a dent in absorbing the over-supply). This is being discussed: "The U.S. Energy Department is negotiating with nine companies to rent about 23 million…

Why don't we just take delivery of futures contracts directly? Isn't this a great time to fill the reserve?

it is and we do.

Re: US oil prices turn negative as demand dries up

#63

So they start off the article with this statement: "That means oil producers are paying buyers to take the commodity off their hands over fears that storage capacity could run out in May." This statement is actually totally false. Producers already got paid for this production a long time ago when they initially sold the futures contract. What has actually happened is that as the expiry of the May futures contracts a…

What happens if you just literally don't come pick up your oil? Lawsuit?

Re: US oil prices turn negative as demand dries up

#64

In one of the articles, it quoted someone from, I think, the CME, that said they were fully prepared in their trading systems to handle these negative prices with no hiccups. What I immediately thought, that I haven't seen anyone else mention yet, is that there are some admirable programmers!

Any futures market provides calendar spreads as well, which represent a price differential between two dates (think: CLK0 is the May contract, CLMO is the June contract, and CLK0-CLM0 is the difference between the two). CME's systems should trivially handle negative prices because they already have spreads, which are frequently negative.

Re: US oil prices turn negative as demand dries up

#65

Could you just take it and they pay you to take it and dump it into dry wells in Texas and Oklahoma, seems like a reasonable gamble ? Shrug....

Oil deposits are permeable rock with a mix of oil and water in the pores. Pumping oil down into such a formation would be slow and expensive. It would also take different equipment from that which is there at the wellheads now, so you couldn't get started right away.

Re: US oil prices turn negative as demand dries up

#66

Earlier quoted context omitted.

At the risk of sounding stupid, I have to ask... Would it be possible to simply pump the oil back into the ground wherever the closest oil field is?

Doesn't the oil just come out of the oil well from its own pressure? Which would make pumping oil back in the oil field complicated

In some places, yes, but would you see these pumps the US if that were always the case?

https://youtu.be/X0Dpd52pfp0

Re: US oil prices turn negative as demand dries up

#67

Earlier quoted context omitted.

With regulatory approvals? Probably years. The smart equivalent is to get a tanker ship and just float it out at sea until someone wants the oil (usually just west of Africa, where you can easily dispatch it to whoever ends up needing it.) Not sure if it works quite as well with WTI instead of Brent crude, though.

It is probably a fair and terrible assumption that others have thought of this already and that, in fact, tanker ships are filling up all over the place right now. Statistically, this means we're more likely for a spill, somewhere.

On top of raw counts, we'll surely discover that somebody is using a tanker "unfit for purpose" because of the high demand for tankers.

Re: US oil prices turn negative as demand dries up

#68

Earlier quoted context omitted.

In an arrangement with the US Government it could be put into the ground, elsewhere. Doing it without state permission would be an entirely different matter however. I'm not aware of any very large, privately owned underground storage caverns (such that they could make a dent in absorbing the over-supply). This is being discussed: "The U.S. Energy Department is negotiating with nine companies to rent about 23 million…

Why don't we just take delivery of futures contracts directly? Isn't this a great time to fill the reserve?

Already being done, and that space too is running out.

Re: US oil prices turn negative as demand dries up

#69

Since oil is making the front page here, if you're interested in the history of American oil industry, "The History of the Standard Oil Company" by Ida Tarbell is a fantastic read. It's also a great example of investigative journalism. In early chapters of the book she covers the initial rush to pump oil in the Oil Regions and the history of pipelines and storage facilities as it all ties into business practices of R…

recommend -- The Taking of Getty Oil by Steve Coll; written in a readable way, many situational details

Re: US oil prices turn negative as demand dries up

#70

Earlier quoted context omitted.

In an arrangement with the US Government it could be put into the ground, elsewhere. Doing it without state permission would be an entirely different matter however. I'm not aware of any very large, privately owned underground storage caverns (such that they could make a dent in absorbing the over-supply). This is being discussed: "The U.S. Energy Department is negotiating with nine companies to rent about 23 million…

Why don't we just take delivery of futures contracts directly? Isn't this a great time to fill the reserve?

Pelosi blocked that.

The workaround is to cheaply rent out the reserve as storage space, with the hope that someday a better congress will allow purchasing the oil.

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