Live data from Hacker News

It’s Time to Build

a16z.com

341–350 of 1001 posts

Re: It’s Time to Build

#341

I'm in the process of reading _Why Nation Fails_. The central thesis is that the rich and poor countries are separated by inclusive vs extractive institutions. The extractive institutions are characterised by elites that attempt to defend their own wealth and status by maintaining the status quo and resisting the creative destruction that may threaten that position. It seems to resonate a bit here, when Marc speaks o…

I feel like all the replies comparing legal system differences between the US and the EU miss a crucial element - the difference in the characters of the people participating in each society.

I'm now going to make a couple of broad generalizations. Note, that I'm aware they do not apply to every person, or even state in the US, or member nation of the EU.

However having lived in both for a number of years, I do have some personal insight.

Europe and Europeans are a cohesive society where the ideal is a flat society without too many outliers. Standing out from the field is not promoted. And career aspirations are about attaining a work life balance and produce meaningful work. The overall societal system works, offers many opportunities for education and entrepreneurship, but within a well lit path. Europe is a fast moving train.

As a result, people look for ways to succeed within the system.

The US is a "land of opportunity" in all the best, and all the insidious ways that this implies. People are looking to separate themselves from the pack, to be "insanely great" in some way or another, and see society and laws as just impediments to that goal. The US is a rocket powered supercar.

As a result, people look for ways to succeed in spite of the system.

This is why both the US needs a common law system (because the population would never tolerate a restrictive "write everything down" statutory system because would consider it overly restrictive to their liberty), and also why it fails. Because people and corporations abuse the common law system to violate the spirit of the law as much as possible to succeed and thrive in the short term. So half the country is constantly tries to create more regulations and the other half is trying to tear down existing ones.

This is why in the US the most innovative companies and people can succeed on a 5-10 year timeline, and so the biggest public companies in the world are there, but why Europe is much better at building 20-50 year projects and so have better infrastructure. (I'm ignoring China completely here because China is better than both at everything now, but is also an authoritarian dictatorship, so it's even harder to compare that apple to the other oranges).

Ultimately my point is that the EU raises a certain type of person and attracts a certain type of immigrant, and the US another.

I'm Canadian, so I frankly think both extremes are distasteful. I find the US a post-apocalyptic every-man-for-himself dystopia. And I find the EU a restrictive stifling nanny-state. Canada is just right for me.

But I appreciate that the world has both extremes.

Re: It’s Time to Build

#342
post #16

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Solar and wind are great, but they don't provide continuous power. We need them, and nuclear.

We don't need continuous power. We need peaking power.

Nuclear provides guaranteed minimum power production, which is what you actually want. You also want a more diversified system than just eg solar and wind.

It's not acceptable to depend on renewables like solar and wind to try to fill that minimum guaranteed role. They are low on the guaranteed scale, whereas nuclear is high on the guaranteed scale. Grid scale batteries do not fill that role either, not under any scenario short of magic batteries that self-fill perpetually.

Paying the added cost for nuclear at 20-30% of total national energy production, is a reasonable price to pay for higher diversification and higher guaranteed minimum energy production.

We should also boost the grid and build nuclear in low-risk weather locations and distribute from there to everywhere else. Climate change is going to hammer the coasts, right? Perhaps a super hurricane knocks out solar and wind across multiple states around Florida. We bring the lines back up and immediately have nuclear power flowing in from weather-safe foreign states to re-start everything with (those out of state nuclear plants are already handling 20-30% of Florida's power in this concept; if rebalanced properly, they could handle 50-60%+ of all the now-lower power demands in the early re-start phase after such an emergency).

You can get high-concentration of power output capability in a weather-safe area with nuclear, in this model, which solar and wind can't even remotely come close to competing with.

Re: It’s Time to Build

#343

Pre crisis we had The Govt. is required to steer the economic ship to make these things happen: 1) tie state taxes to per/capita testing infrastructure and ppe reserve 2) stress test public health institutes like financial institutes 3) use the military to war game these events

> who is left to build?

The people who are now unemployed

Re: It’s Time to Build

#345

Earlier quoted context omitted.

How can we change incentives for lawmakers?

Congress has a 20% approval rating, polled weekly for over the past decade. Yet we vote every two years for the same folks who give us the same results. The problem isn’t them. It’s us.

I'd say the problem is one of competition. "We" cannot choose better legislators unless better legislators come forward for selection, but the incumbents - and by that I mean parties elected or not - have so much money and machinery behind them that to turf them out would be nigh on impossible.

Re: It’s Time to Build

#346
It’s time to go deeper?

When faced with an existential crisis, we tend to jump into fix it mode. But fix what? The symptoms or ourselves?

Let’s start with ourselves: we have failed miserably at being stewards to this earth. We have failed (not completely but in some very dramatic ways) at building a better future for our children and their children.

We should fix us, first, before we move on to fixing the symptoms of our flawed way of being in the world.

Don’t you think?

Re: It’s Time to Build

#347
post #133

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't think he'd waste his reputation in that way intentionally, especially when pretty much every word he utters gets to the top of the charts on this site and goes semi-viral elsewhere.

I think you're overestimating his popularity here. There's A LOT of his links submitted https://news.ycombinator.com/from?site=a16z.com Yet, this is the first one which crossed 300 votes, as far as I can tell (only checked 8 pages back or so) and is currently the highest scoring one. It may be that it's the most interesting one too. But adding popularity didn't hurt.

Consider instead:

https://hn.algolia.com/?q=andreessen

https://hn.algolia.com/?query=andreessen&type=comment

https://hn.algolia.com/?q=pmarca

Re: It’s Time to Build

#348

I'm in the process of reading _Why Nation Fails_. The central thesis is that the rich and poor countries are separated by inclusive vs extractive institutions. The extractive institutions are characterised by elites that attempt to defend their own wealth and status by maintaining the status quo and resisting the creative destruction that may threaten that position. It seems to resonate a bit here, when Marc speaks o…

I respectfully disagree about what it takes to be approved as a health insurance COMPANY (as opposed to a broker). In fact I am quite happy that regulators require you to show that 1) you know what you are doing 2) you have a massive balance sheet to protect your customers if they need it. The point 2 is super important in the context of VC-backed companies. There is simply no way to build a massive insurance company that way, the return on equity is too low. Unlike airbnb you just don’t go out and raised $2B in debt because you are running out of money and you can’t pay claims. Regulators would step in way before, and they have done that multiple times.

Witness what is happening today: I have not heard from any health insurance company requesting a bailout (unlike most companies). State regulators are a pain in the neck, are conservative but - in your interest - they control how the insurance company uses their capital (you grow too fast = you must add more equity, a bit like working capital), and how you invest your money (they restrict the amount of equity you invest in). All in the interest of the consumers.

Think for a second: if the balance sheet of your health insurance company looked like the balance sheet of Softbank’s vision fund? Would you like to hear “we are sorry, we’ll have to stop your cancer treatment, we are out of money”.

Health insurance companies are regulated at both the State and Federal level. The goal is to make sure that they are fair and will pay the claims when you need that down the road. Like everything in financial services (your savings, your retirement fund, your health for you and your family) this is not the place for fly by night startups. While it is visually appealing to see a better UI, you hear startups "disrupting this dinosaur industry" but very few of them succeeded. And maybe it would be nice, but smart investors (after say series B or C) realize that the returns are not that great and the company requires a massive amount of equity, in fact locked in low risk investments/stable bonds.

Sure, you can target a very young workforce and ignore the sick, the old, the crippled, those overweight or whatever else there is. And you can make money within the startup ecosystem, when everybody works out, eats well, and is super healthy.

But it is simply illegal and my advice for you is to buy insurance from an old, stodgy company. Maybe a mutual company? I don't care if wework is out of money, I can always find space somewhere else. When you have cancer, or when you child is disabled, you don’t want to deal with insurance regulators who have seized the assets of your shiny new health insurance company startup.

There is no room for mistakes when it comes to your health and your savings.

Disclaimer: I have Kaiser, I never use them, but I am sure they will be there when needed.

Re: It’s Time to Build

#349
I want to start a real estate development company to buy distressed land (as opposed to raw wilderness) and develop "living neighborhoods"[1] (like Village Homes[2] in Davis, CA) combining Pattern Language and applied ecology (Permaculture et. al.) and sell them. I think demand would be enormous and it would be a net ecological benefit.

Imagine the "City Country Fingers"[3] pattern:

> Keep interlocking fingers of farmland and urban land, even at the center of the metropolis. The urban fingers should never be more than one mile wide, while the farmland fingers should never be less than one mile wide.

Let the farmland be food forest[4] that also grows starch/sugar crops for local alcohol fuel production and bamboo for construction. The buildings can be designed with hyperinsulation and passive solar architecture to have really low energy requirements.

Who's in?

[1] https://www.livingneighborhoods.org/ht-0/bln-exp.htm Christopher Alexander's site.

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Village_Homes

[3] http://iwritewordsgood.com/apl/patterns/apl003.htm

[4] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Forest_gardening A great example in action: https://www.youtube.com/user/plantabundance

Re: It’s Time to Build

#350

> But the harsh reality is that it all failed — no Western country, or state, or city was prepared This is silly. There are clear differences in response. Here’s just one example: 21 Jan - The city department of public health activates its operations center to prepare for a potential outbreak. 28 Jan - The city activates its emergency operations center. 25 Feb - The city formally declares a state of emergency to prep…

The first official case was in March. The actual first case was at the beginning of January. The shelter in place order means the city failed to anticipate and acted when it was too late. Like the rest of the Western world.
Post reply on HN