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Coronavirus clue? Most cases aboard U.S. aircraft carrier are symptom-free

reuters.com

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Re: Coronavirus clue? Most cases aboard U.S. aircraft carrier are symptom-free

#2
This is because they're testing the entire population as opposed to simply those who end up hospitalized and those around them.

We need population testing to get an actual idea of how many people in an area have it. There's likely way more cases nationwide than being reported. In NYC, most asymptomatic/low symptom cases of coronavirus aren't going to be tested until antibody testing later on.

Re: Coronavirus clue? Most cases aboard U.S. aircraft carrier are symptom-free

#3
post #2

This is because they're testing the entire population as opposed to simply those who end up hospitalized and those around them. We need population testing to get an actual idea of how many people in an area have it. There's likely way more cases nationwide than being reported. In NYC, most asymptomatic/low symptom cases of coronavirus aren't going to be tested until antibody testing later on.

Yes. Many institutions test only if preparing to admit. Anybody else is told to go home and recover in isolation.

Re: Coronavirus clue? Most cases aboard U.S. aircraft carrier are symptom-free

#4
I find this to be good even excellent news.

It is quite possible the virus is not nearly as dangerous and lethal as people fear. If the young have nothing to worry about the prospects are pretty good.

The best way to reach herd immunity is to have lots of immune people around you.

Re: Coronavirus clue? Most cases aboard U.S. aircraft carrier are symptom-free

#5
post #2

This is because they're testing the entire population as opposed to simply those who end up hospitalized and those around them. We need population testing to get an actual idea of how many people in an area have it. There's likely way more cases nationwide than being reported. In NYC, most asymptomatic/low symptom cases of coronavirus aren't going to be tested until antibody testing later on.

Yes. Many institutions test only if preparing to admit. Anybody else is told to go home and recover in isolation.

if the US has 33K deaths and the death rate is 0.6% then the US must have at least 5 million cases. If the death rate is lower (most likely around 0.3%) then it means 10 million infections.

Also a good news actually.

Re: Coronavirus clue? Most cases aboard U.S. aircraft carrier are symptom-free

#6
>> The majority of the positive cases so far are among sailors who are asymptomatic, officials say.

I don't know much about this kind of thing, but isn't the most important word in that sentence "sailors"? I would think people living on an aircraft carrier are, on average, way different in many major ways than the average American. So it seems like making any kinds of assumptions based on this wouldn't be super reliable.

Re: Coronavirus clue? Most cases aboard U.S. aircraft carrier are symptom-free

#10
This is mixed news. While this indicates the death rate may be lower and the infection rate higher among the general population, the demographic of individuals in the US military are going to be of significantly higher health than the general population.

So, it doesn't necessarily ease the risk for demographics already identified as 'at-risk'. If anything, their risk might be understated given the higher infection rate.

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