In Italy, Going Back to Work May Depend on Having the Right Antibodies • Hacker News Board

Post by sharken » Thu, Apr 16, 2020, 5:08 AM UTC

detaro wrote: post #19

sharken wrote: post #18

Earlier quoted context omitted.

So in 21 days the number of deaths will be 4000, while Belgium with a similar population is at almost 1500 currently. That sounds rather unlikely given that the population in Belgium is also older than in North Carolina.

21 days ago Belgium was at 4 deaths, two doublings away from 33. They were at 30-40 total deaths 16 days ago, now they are at ~150 daily, total doubling every ~4 days. so going from 30 to a few thousand in 21 days is what is happening. Can NC avoid that? Maybe, but I wouldn't bet on it personally.

Now half of the 21 days have passed and NC have officially registered 117 deaths, so they thankfully won’t reach 4000 deaths in the remaining 10 days.

Data from New York points to Hypertension and Diabetes in the elderly as the main cause of Corona deaths, that is something the US government should focus on, source: https://eu.democratandchronicle.com/story/news/politics/2020...