21–30 of 406 posts
I personally think we need a county-by-county approach. There is a high variation of the infection at local levels. All the news is currently about how bad New York is and it's true but we're not all New York. http://www.countycovid19.com/
I’d like to see something that’s clear and doesn’t risk so much on rapid accurate testing and tracking of... everyone with significant delayed feedback. Something that could be done in rural areas or even developing countries. A reliable next step in the Hammer and the Dance. I found this: http://pandemicbreak.org/
Anecdote: My wife and I were tested at Stanford today. There was no line, the process took 5-10 minutes and we never left the car. We were told to expect results in 24 hours. Widespread testing might not be that far off and feedback might not be that delayed. Edit: Since HN won't let me comment fast enough I figured I'd share the information here. We were referred to Stanford by our PCP yesterday. We were not members…
Earlier quoted context omitted.
Problem is the travel between counties, at least in CA. There's a lot of travel that could cause reinfection.
I'm not too sure reinfection is as important mathematically as some think when you realize the goal will be to operate below a threshold of cases, not eliminate covid entirely.
I personally think we need a county-by-county approach. There is a high variation of the infection at local levels. All the news is currently about how bad New York is and it's true but we're not all New York. http://www.countycovid19.com/
I personally think we need a county-by-county approach. There is a high variation of the infection at local levels. All the news is currently about how bad New York is and it's true but we're not all New York. http://www.countycovid19.com/
It's true that regions are different, but I don't see how that translates. Can you be specific? How would a plan for Queens County, NY differ from one for Waukesha WI, except in trivial stuff like dates? Some outbreaks are smaller, but you'll note that they all leveled off at roughly the same time and on the same schedule. That's because we locked down on "New York's schedule"[1]. If we didn't, these places which see…
For all the various politicians are talking about "following the science", there's very little actual science backing up these measures. We're pretty much making it up as we go, and you would be hard-pressed to find "scientific" justifications for most of what we're currently doing.
Why is it that hospitalizations are expected to keep increasing indefinitely even with the interventions in place? I assume the graph represents point-in-time hospitalizations and not accumulated # of interventions? If so it would be nice to see some of their assumptions, like average expected duration of hospitalization. I just don't understand why hospitalizations keep going up in this roadmap when every country th…
Earlier quoted context omitted.
Anecdote: My wife and I were tested at Stanford today. There was no line, the process took 5-10 minutes and we never left the car. We were told to expect results in 24 hours. Widespread testing might not be that far off and feedback might not be that delayed. Edit: Since HN won't let me comment fast enough I figured I'd share the information here. We were referred to Stanford by our PCP yesterday. We were not members…
Are you part of Stanford Health Care or is the test site open to public?
Earlier quoted context omitted.
Anecdote: My wife and I were tested at Stanford today. There was no line, the process took 5-10 minutes and we never left the car. We were told to expect results in 24 hours. Widespread testing might not be that far off and feedback might not be that delayed. Edit: Since HN won't let me comment fast enough I figured I'd share the information here. We were referred to Stanford by our PCP yesterday. We were not members…
Are you part of Stanford Health Care or is the test site open to public?
The mismatch between their models and the observed data does not engender confidence.
[1] https://www.gov.ca.gov/wp-content/uploads/2020/04/California...