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U.S. airlines want a $50B bailout. They spent $45B buying back their stock

stamfordadvocate.com

71–80 of 164 posts

Re: U.S. airlines want a $50B bailout. They spent $45B buying back their stock

#71

In good times, people complain about companies like Apple "hoarding cash". Now, people complain about companies redistributing profits to their shareholders--many of which are ordinary people holding shares in their 401(k)'s or otherwise. They really cannot win.

Speaking for myself, when I say that I wish companies spent more of their warchests, I mean investment, not buybacks.

Re: U.S. airlines want a $50B bailout. They spent $45B buying back their stock

#72

Earlier quoted context omitted.

No. The right way is to issue 50B of stock back to the public. The shareholders who received 50B and are holding it in their personal emergency funds can buy it back, or new investors can. There's more than enough private capital available without requiring the government to step in.

It's unlikely the market holds $50B in demand for airline stocks right now. Sending their shares to zero isn't going to help.

I've been loading up and I imagine many investors are.

Re: U.S. airlines want a $50B bailout. They spent $45B buying back their stock

#73
post #12

I really hate that this argument keeps popping up. There's plenty of reasons to hate bailouts or airlines or anything else, but who the hell could have predicted the world was going to shut down like this in 2015-2019? We were in one of the biggest bull markets in the history of the United States, business was good, and the companies used some of that money to buy back stock. People make it sound like they were buyin…

In addition to all the other issues that people have brought up, the most important thing to remember is that the airline business is extremely cyclical. They know that there are always bad times around the bend. Their total lack of preparation is what's so galling. The management at these companies is simply unfit when they so routinely ignore the history of their own industry.

Re: U.S. airlines want a $50B bailout. They spent $45B buying back their stock

#74

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Sure — what are your other options if you have lots of cash? 1. Keep it in cash and get sub-inflationary levels on it, and perform poorly due to your lack of leverage. 2. Invest it in other market securities, effectively running some hedge fund. Not a great idea, distracting from your core biz, and shareholders may not appreciate the exposure to outside risk. 3. Buy back your own stock, which gives back to shareholde…

There's also option 4: - Increase worker pay and benefits

You can really only increase base compensation when you have the cash and you expect to have that cash down the road as well. Employees are not happy with incomes that are as cyclical as business income is. A bonus could be a good option.

Re: U.S. airlines want a $50B bailout. They spent $45B buying back their stock

#75
post #27

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The right way to structure this is to issue $50B worth of stock to the government. The airlines can buy it back with future profits to prop up the price once things are back to normal, while keeping the company afloat and retain jobs now. The shareholders would protest, and should be allowed a right of first refusal. Put in money at the same price per share to avoid dilution if you want to. Their alternative is bankr…

No. The right way is to issue 50B of stock back to the public. The shareholders who received 50B and are holding it in their personal emergency funds can buy it back, or new investors can. There's more than enough private capital available without requiring the government to step in.

> There's more than enough private capital available without requiring the government to step in.

If that were true, the price wouldn't have tanked so much?

Re: U.S. airlines want a $50B bailout. They spent $45B buying back their stock

#76
post #27
post #12

I really hate that this argument keeps popping up. There's plenty of reasons to hate bailouts or airlines or anything else, but who the hell could have predicted the world was going to shut down like this in 2015-2019? We were in one of the biggest bull markets in the history of the United States, business was good, and the companies used some of that money to buy back stock. People make it sound like they were buyin…

The right way to structure this is to issue $50B worth of stock to the government. The airlines can buy it back with future profits to prop up the price once things are back to normal, while keeping the company afloat and retain jobs now. The shareholders would protest, and should be allowed a right of first refusal. Put in money at the same price per share to avoid dilution if you want to. Their alternative is bankr…

As I understand it the issue here is cash flow; the assets the companies have on their books are still valuable, but there is a cash flow issue right now. Every normal company would approach various lenders to take out a loan - I'm not quite sure why airlines are being treated any differently, or why the government or public needs to receive stock as a make weight.

If their businesses are solid, sound businesses, major lenders will not have an issue with offering good terms on whatever it is that they need to bridge the gap.

Other than a firm understanding of what that gap is, am I missing something obvious which makes bank loans not the go to solution here?

Re: U.S. airlines want a $50B bailout. They spent $45B buying back their stock

#77
post #19

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Sure — what are your other options if you have lots of cash? 1. Keep it in cash and get sub-inflationary levels on it, and perform poorly due to your lack of leverage. 2. Invest it in other market securities, effectively running some hedge fund. Not a great idea, distracting from your core biz, and shareholders may not appreciate the exposure to outside risk. 3. Buy back your own stock, which gives back to shareholde…

4. Increase pay/benefits to your rank and file employees for helping you get so much cash 5. Invest back in the business at reasonable levels so as to keep enough cash for an emergency fund 6. Focus on improving world impact through starting philanthropic activities

> Increase pay/benefits to your rank and file employees for helping you get so much cash

The auto industry did this through high wages and very large pension plans, and got absolutely destroyed in '08 and also demonized by taxpayers for creating an undeserving "welfare class" of autoworkers that was too expensive to maintain.

> Invest back in the business at reasonable levels so as to keep enough cash for an emergency fund

What if you feel like any further investment yields negative return? Berkshire Hathaway has been sitting on cash for years because they felt that they couldn't put their money into any constituent businesses and generate the right return. Why purposefully throw money into a black hole?

Re: U.S. airlines want a $50B bailout. They spent $45B buying back their stock

#78
post #3

is there an explanation for stock buybacks that isn't ' evil stockholders'? edit: this was an actual question not a rhetorical one. curious why the downvotes?

The most convincing argument I've heard is centered around just how much cash flow and expenses goes through the airlines on a daily basis, meaning they'd need some extraordinary amount of cash in the bank to weather something unprecedented like this. If they _did_ have that much cash, it'd be bad for the economy since that capital is effectively "locked up". Instead, give the proceeds back to the shareholders that w…

Holding cash does not lock it up. Banks make deposited funds available as capital for investment. This can lead to a liquidity problem during a crunch, but that's literally why we have a central bank.

There are plenty of companies that have large cash reserves.

Stock buybacks should be made illegal again except as market operations to provide compensation. You can return to shareholders through dividends.

Re: U.S. airlines want a $50B bailout. They spent $45B buying back their stock

#79
So what? The times were right and the opted for a stock buyback with excess cash.

I don't own airlines stocks, but when a company where I am a shareholders does a stock-buyback with excess cash I am v=so very happy.

I am OK with banning stock buyback during the period between bailout and full repayment of the loan, but what happened before of after the loan should not be part of the argument for the bailout.

There are no bad politicians, only bad voter.

Re: U.S. airlines want a $50B bailout. They spent $45B buying back their stock

#80
post #27

Earlier quoted context omitted.

The right way to structure this is to issue $50B worth of stock to the government. The airlines can buy it back with future profits to prop up the price once things are back to normal, while keeping the company afloat and retain jobs now. The shareholders would protest, and should be allowed a right of first refusal. Put in money at the same price per share to avoid dilution if you want to. Their alternative is bankr…

No. The right way is to issue 50B of stock back to the public. The shareholders who received 50B and are holding it in their personal emergency funds can buy it back, or new investors can. There's more than enough private capital available without requiring the government to step in.

The public currently wouldn't buy the stock due to bankruptcy risk. If the government commits to buying what's left at the same terms the public would start buying as well reducing the burden on taxpayers.

Historically this kind of deal has been profitable for governments in the cases that I know of (in banking), while at the same time keeping more jobs and thus reducing economic impact of unemployment.

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