Remembering predictions and revisiting them is a superpower in risk management and decision making.
Superforecasting by Tetlock and Gardner is a good starting point if you want to learn this power.
Coronavirus and Credibility
21–30 of 968 posts
Re: Coronavirus and Credibility
#22Even “reputable” sources like the Financial Times have been putting out utter rubbish: https://www.ft.com/content/5ff6469a-6dd8-11ea-89df-41bea0557...
My current theory is that we are seeing denial on a mass scale as a coping mechanism.
Re: Coronavirus and Credibility
#23Wasn't Elon Musk going to make a website that rated the credibility of journalism somehow? What happened to that?
His idea of credibity and mine are not the same. At minimum, he himself is not trustworthy.
Re: Coronavirus and Credibility
#24From what I'm reading, I think there are still a significant minority of people who think this isn't an issue. I've had to learn to just walk away from comments on a variety of media where comments such as 'psychosomatic', 'less dangerous than the flu that kills 50,000 each year', 'patented by the illuminati', 'caused by 5G masts', and so on. I ended up deleting my twitter account as I dared try to engage with one UK…
Of all the conspiracy theories out there, the 'caused by 5G masts' is the one that confuses me the most. I get the possible aversion to 5G, but how does one make the leap from that to it causing COVID?
IMO this is deliberate mis-information, some type of info-guerilla, to stir and channel anger against the establishment.
Re: Coronavirus and Credibility
#25From what I'm reading, I think there are still a significant minority of people who think this isn't an issue. I've had to learn to just walk away from comments on a variety of media where comments such as 'psychosomatic', 'less dangerous than the flu that kills 50,000 each year', 'patented by the illuminati', 'caused by 5G masts', and so on. I ended up deleting my twitter account as I dared try to engage with one UK…
Of all the conspiracy theories out there, the 'caused by 5G masts' is the one that confuses me the most. I get the possible aversion to 5G, but how does one make the leap from that to it causing COVID?
I’ve tried to understand them, their rationale appears include:
- 5G occurred at the same time as corona - This is therefore “too much of a coincidence”
- 5G kills off things that naturally kill coronavirus
- 5G makes our immune systems weaker
All of which are unfounded of course. But it’s important not to just reject people’s ideas out-of-hand, or to suppress them.
Re: Coronavirus and Credibility
#26Yep. But I think the same happen with all kind of crisises. The past history shows, that lying or being incredibly wrong does not have any negative impact on a pundit or or politician or whole classes of commentary journalist.
It seem to be more of systematic issue then just individual.
Re: Coronavirus and Credibility
#27Well, if that's the standard now, then the entirety of the US press is not credible: https://i.imgur.com/HGcoZco.png
Re: Coronavirus and Credibility
#28Wasn't Elon Musk going to make a website that rated the credibility of journalism somehow? What happened to that?
Haven’t heard if that’s going ahead.
But I’m working on a similar concept: https://verifact.io which will be launching soon
Re: Coronavirus and Credibility
#29But both sides are irrationally being confident. The doomsdayers at least as much as the "flu-bros". I think it's fair to challenge the massive interventions being taken and the economic damage.
Re: Coronavirus and Credibility
#30From what I'm reading, I think there are still a significant minority of people who think this isn't an issue. I've had to learn to just walk away from comments on a variety of media where comments such as 'psychosomatic', 'less dangerous than the flu that kills 50,000 each year', 'patented by the illuminati', 'caused by 5G masts', and so on. I ended up deleting my twitter account as I dared try to engage with one UK…
What's amusing to be is how anyone can look at the incompetence of governments across the world, and conclude they'd be capable of any kind of organized conspiracy against the general population.