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April Is Canceled

aprilcanceled.com

21–30 of 127 posts

Re: April Is Canceled

#21

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Some of us are stay at home parents.

I was just explaining to someone that I have to be: a parent, a teacher, an engineer and a husband. I feel I am doing all of them equally badly sigh

That's okay, I was doing all those things badly before the apocalypse.

Re: April Is Canceled

#22
You could also rest. You don't need to force feed yourself creativity and productivity.

I don't mean to take anything away from the author, just seeing a lot of this sentiment on social media. Thought it would be worth voicing a counter balance.

Re: April Is Canceled

#23

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That’s what the post is talking about.

We have…different interpretations of Annus mirabilis, the year of wonders, that is the name of this period in which calculus, law of gravitation, the color spectrum, these discoveries changed the world forever. and Let's all become Isaac Newton this month.

Not everybody will invent calculus. But everybody can try to not let themselves slip into doom and gloom and despair.

Re: April Is Canceled

#24
post #7

Nice but sadly also May (what did Newton do in his second month?) The IHME models they chose to use are too optimistic, too many people aren't wise enough to understand or care how this works and won't be told what to do, there are going to be rather stubborn congregations for Easter. https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections Ventilators run out way before ICU beds.

Thanks for this site, I haven't seen it before.

This predicts a peak usage of 32k ventilators, but I don't see any data for how many ventilators we already have?

Re: April Is Canceled

#25

Honestly? Fuck this. Millions of people are going to die. It's very likely some of your friends and family will be in that number. It's okay to mourn. It's expected that we will all mourn. The world we get out of this is going to be different and it's going to be a worse one for almost everyone. You don't need to write King Lear or invent gravity. Just surviving will be a miracle enough.

> millions

wat

Re: April Is Canceled

#26
Good advice to those of us who have the means to stay afloat, but it's not going to be just April the way things are going now.

Unless a working prophylaxis is found/confirmed May and June will be canceled too. That's what's unnerving about this whole situation: nobody knows what the endgame is. Say we're at the end of April. Then what? Open stuff back up? Not going to happen if opening it back up could realistically mean another 100K deaths before we shut everything back down.

So let's get those drug studies going in earnest, and lets rewrite the rules for what's "acceptable" in terms of regulation and rigor when faced with a potential death toll of this magnitude. I'm sure we can do more than a couple of studies at the same time, and in a shorter timeframe to preliminary results than "8 weeks" or "18 months".

Re: April Is Canceled

#28

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That’s what the post is talking about.

We have…different interpretations of Annus mirabilis, the year of wonders, that is the name of this period in which calculus, law of gravitation, the color spectrum, these discoveries changed the world forever. and Let's all become Isaac Newton this month.

...and do all that while spending the majority of your time on alchemy and occult christian mysticism. Then when you emerge from isolation transformed, move to a big city and execute a lot of men.

If you can’t do that you’re no Isaac Newton.

Re: April Is Canceled

#29
post #7

Nice but sadly also May (what did Newton do in his second month?) The IHME models they chose to use are too optimistic, too many people aren't wise enough to understand or care how this works and won't be told what to do, there are going to be rather stubborn congregations for Easter. https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections Ventilators run out way before ICU beds.

Thanks for this site, I haven't seen it before. This predicts a peak usage of 32k ventilators, but I don't see any data for how many ventilators we already have?

In 2010, there were about 62k ventilators in American hospitals, more than any other developed nation at the time: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21149215

If you take into account non-'full time' ventilators (not sure what these are but apparently they exist), the US has 99k.

Re: April Is Canceled

#30

Honestly? Fuck this. Millions of people are going to die. It's very likely some of your friends and family will be in that number. It's okay to mourn. It's expected that we will all mourn. The world we get out of this is going to be different and it's going to be a worse one for almost everyone. You don't need to write King Lear or invent gravity. Just surviving will be a miracle enough.

> millions wat

Mitigations in the US are taking too long. A lot of people are going to die.
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