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Coronavirus patients start to overwhelm US hospitals

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Re: Coronavirus patients start to overwhelm US hospitals

#181
post #96
post #33

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yes, I do. Helps that I live with a Nurse Practitioner. However, the number of people I know who are convinced that getting the flu shot makes them sick or gives them the flu and thus refuse to get the shot is shocking. Some things I've actually heard: "I get sick every time!" No, you don't. "It's a LIVE VIRUS! Everybody knows this!" No, it's not. You're just an idiot hanging around with idiots.

I've received the flu shot three times in my life. I've been hospitalized for influenza three times in my life. Please tell me more about how I've deceived myself. Just as the MMR vaccine is less about you contracting measles and more about your spreading measles to more vulnerable populations that are unable to get the vaccine, the flu shot is identical in that regard. Sure, it helps you not get sick and/or to lesse…

Assuming that this is true, then even moreso you should advocate others get the flu shot to help protect you.

And yes, the flu shot isn't 100% effective. And yes some have bad reactions to certain vaccines. However, I find it extremely unlikely that you got it from the vaccine and instead that you were just very very unlucky at getting influenza. It's a bit of a sharpshooter fallacy to me.

And for those who are vulnerable, then their only protection is herd immunity where everyone else around them is immunized by vaccines.

Re: Coronavirus patients start to overwhelm US hospitals

#182
post #96
post #33

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Yes, I do. Helps that I live with a Nurse Practitioner. However, the number of people I know who are convinced that getting the flu shot makes them sick or gives them the flu and thus refuse to get the shot is shocking. Some things I've actually heard: "I get sick every time!" No, you don't. "It's a LIVE VIRUS! Everybody knows this!" No, it's not. You're just an idiot hanging around with idiots.

I've received the flu shot three times in my life. I've been hospitalized for influenza three times in my life. Please tell me more about how I've deceived myself. Just as the MMR vaccine is less about you contracting measles and more about your spreading measles to more vulnerable populations that are unable to get the vaccine, the flu shot is identical in that regard. Sure, it helps you not get sick and/or to lesse…

> Just as the MMR vaccine is less about you contracting measles and more about your spreading measles to more vulnerable populations that are unable to get the vaccine

No, this is false. The MMR vaccine is very much about stopping individual people who get the vaccine from getting measles. Herd immunity follows, and is important, but the primary aim of the vaccination is to prevent measles in the people who are vaccinated.

Re: Coronavirus patients start to overwhelm US hospitals

#183
post #16

The 2017-2018 flu season also overwhelmed US hospitals: https://time.com/5107984/hospitals-handling-burden-flu-patie... https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/season/flu-season-2017-2018.ht... My point isn't that we should take Coronavirus any less seriously this year. Healthcare workers have no vaccine for it. It's on top of the flu. Etc. My point is that we should take the flu more seriously every year. Everyone gets their…

That's so weirdly American: a top-voted post about flu shots. On EU forums literally nobody brings this up somehow.

Because everyone gets the flu shot in EU, or because nobody cares?

Re: Coronavirus patients start to overwhelm US hospitals

#184
post #166

"To think that we're in New York City and this is happening," he added. "It's like a third-world country type of scenario. It's mind-blowing." Historically, when sexually transmitted disease outbreaks occurred in the US, social workers would ask for the names of everyone you had slept with if you were infected and they would contact them and screen them and treat them. This was effective in stopping outbreaks. We lar…

this is a really good point. much easier to do than mass testing.

And much more effective. We need things that get results with fewer resources. We simply don't have the resources to do it the way a lot of people would like to do it.

Re: Coronavirus patients start to overwhelm US hospitals

#185
post #34

Well, that’s some fear mongering. The article is all anecdotes. Most of the nurses and doctors they talked to are anonymous sources. According to the AHA[1], there are 6,146 hospitals in the US. There are 68,000 confirmed covid-19 cases in the US, and 33,000 of those cases are all in New York—almost 10x more than the next states (4.4k NJ, 3.2k CA)[2]. I don’t know the rate of hospitalization for the infected, but sym…

After the hospitals in Wuhan were quickly overwhelmed, we apparently thought it wouldn't happen outside China. After the hospitals in Lombardy were overwhelmed, apparently lots of people in the US thought it couldn't happen in New York like it happened in Italy. So I don't think the argument "It can't happen in NJ the way it is happening in NY" is a convincing one, it's just wishful thinking.

The tragic thing is that neither I nor anyone else needs to argue against this ridiculous "worst case" of 880 hospitalizations (that apparently assumes no growth beyond 4402 cases on March 25): all we need to do is wait until later today when the new numbers come out.

If you're looking for on-the-record sources, every ICU bed in Atlanta is full, according to the mayor of Atlanta.

https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watch/489374-atlanta-mayo...

That's with 1,387 confirmed cases Wednesday, up from 1,097 confirmed cases Tuesday.

Re: Coronavirus patients start to overwhelm US hospitals

#186

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Interesting points (not sure why you're getting downvotes here). I also wonder if it would help if the medical "establishment" encouraged people to stay home even if they get symptoms, and only seek medical care for serious shortness of breath or if you have co-morbidities that are life-threatening. There is not effective treatment yet, so what is the point of standing in line at the ER? It would also have the effect…

The medical establishment is already encouraging people to stay home and not seek medical care if it isn't overly severe. This is making people very upset, and understandably so, because it boils down to a big fat "fuck you." What we actually need is a list of medically approved home care options to empower people to deal with this on their own to some degree. We mostly aren't getting that. If you don't give people a…

People outside of the healthcare system don't realize that even in non-pandemic times, ERs and hospitals are some of the most dangerous places to spend your time. Doctors won't say that publicly, but the ones I worked with all had that sentiment.

Re: Coronavirus patients start to overwhelm US hospitals

#187
post #16

The 2017-2018 flu season also overwhelmed US hospitals: https://time.com/5107984/hospitals-handling-burden-flu-patie... https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/season/flu-season-2017-2018.ht... My point isn't that we should take Coronavirus any less seriously this year. Healthcare workers have no vaccine for it. It's on top of the flu. Etc. My point is that we should take the flu more seriously every year. Everyone gets their…

That's so weirdly American: a top-voted post about flu shots. On EU forums literally nobody brings this up somehow.

In the US, health authorities encourage the entire population to get an annual flu shot. My understanding is that most European health authorities are more skeptical.

Re: Coronavirus patients start to overwhelm US hospitals

#188
post #96

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I've received the flu shot three times in my life. I've been hospitalized for influenza three times in my life. Please tell me more about how I've deceived myself. Just as the MMR vaccine is less about you contracting measles and more about your spreading measles to more vulnerable populations that are unable to get the vaccine, the flu shot is identical in that regard. Sure, it helps you not get sick and/or to lesse…

Assuming that this is true, then even moreso you should advocate others get the flu shot to help protect you. And yes, the flu shot isn't 100% effective. And yes some have bad reactions to certain vaccines. However, I find it extremely unlikely that you got it from the vaccine and instead that you were just very very unlucky at getting influenza. It's a bit of a sharpshooter fallacy to me. And for those who are vulne…

Yes. This is my position.

Re: Coronavirus patients start to overwhelm US hospitals

#189
post #16

The 2017-2018 flu season also overwhelmed US hospitals: https://time.com/5107984/hospitals-handling-burden-flu-patie... https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/season/flu-season-2017-2018.ht... My point isn't that we should take Coronavirus any less seriously this year. Healthcare workers have no vaccine for it. It's on top of the flu. Etc. My point is that we should take the flu more seriously every year. Everyone gets their…

I made sure to get my flu shot very early last year. I only wished the shot cover every possible viruses.

Re: Coronavirus patients start to overwhelm US hospitals

#190

It was easy to see the future: you just look up on the wiki the evolution of numbers of confirmed cases in the EU countries.

Given that the US is now neck and neck with Italy to be the first country to have more cases than China, we have been wildly exceeding any estimates based on EU countries.

The US's rate per capita is still only about 20% Italy's. For now.
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