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Report on the characteristics of Covid-19 positive deceased patients in Italy [pdf]

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Re: Report on the characteristics of Covid-19 positive deceased patients in Italy [pdf]

#61
post #28

Some interesting data here. - Mean age of 79.5 sheds light on Italy’s extremely high fatality rates; in essence, it’s the (very) elderly that are dying due to complications from viral pneumonia. Which begs the next question... Why are they overwhelmingly treating patients with antibiotics in cases of viral pneumonia and not antivirals (Remdesivir)/ chloroquine? Sure, these are “experimental” therapies but decent data…

We all want to live long, and people now often live till 80+, but when a person 80+ years old dies does it make sense to search for a cause of the death? My grandmother died last year from pneumonia. She was 89, which is way above the average life expectancy. Any small infection can kill a person at this age. Is there a statistics that shows the mortality rate in Italy before the pandemic.

> but when a person 80+ years old dies does it make sense to search for a cause of the death?

Of course! We want to know how to prevent the deaths of others in the same condition.

Re: Report on the characteristics of Covid-19 positive deceased patients in Italy [pdf]

#62

Some interesting data here. - Mean age of 79.5 sheds light on Italy’s extremely high fatality rates; in essence, it’s the (very) elderly that are dying due to complications from viral pneumonia. Which begs the next question... Why are they overwhelmingly treating patients with antibiotics in cases of viral pneumonia and not antivirals (Remdesivir)/ chloroquine? Sure, these are “experimental” therapies but decent data…

> How did so many elderly get infected? Did the disease simply spread in close quarters where many elderly live? Elderly folks aren’t necessarily out and about drinking espresso and touching surfaces yet alone having younger asymptomatic carriers cough on them.

I was wondering the same thing, but judging by my own country crowds of elderly people is a thing. For example they do not use technology as much as others and tend to concentrate in places that provide alternative means to function without technology.

Another assumption is that touching surfaces is not how the virus spreads. Being within a few meters of carriers, not necessarily coughing, just talking and breathing, is how people catch it. And since masks are not available and dumb propaganda discourages people from using even a piece of clothing to protect them from inhaling droplets, people catch the virus so easily.

Re: Report on the characteristics of Covid-19 positive deceased patients in Italy [pdf]

#63
post #11

I found page 3 most remarkable: 48% of those who die of covid-19 in Italy also suffer from three or more other diseases (or did recently), and 99.2% suffer from one or more.

What counts as a co-morbidity? Obesity seems fairly ... well, trivial. I have high (total) cholesterol. Does that count? Constipation? Itchy spot on the back of my knee?

There's a table in the PDF, you can read it.

Re: Report on the characteristics of Covid-19 positive deceased patients in Italy [pdf]

#64

Confirms that this is a disease of the elderly and unwell, and everyone else should be getting on as normal.

This is about deaths, not cases. If everyone else tries to get on as normal then the virus will spread like wildfire among them and the elderly and unwell will quickly become infected.

Re: Report on the characteristics of Covid-19 positive deceased patients in Italy [pdf]

#65
post #11

I found page 3 most remarkable: 48% of those who die of covid-19 in Italy also suffer from three or more other diseases (or did recently), and 99.2% suffer from one or more.

What counts as a co-morbidity? Obesity seems fairly ... well, trivial. I have high (total) cholesterol. Does that count? Constipation? Itchy spot on the back of my knee?

The co-morbidities reported here are mentioned in the report (in Italian). Translated by Google:

  diseases N %
  Ischemic heart disease 117 33.0
  Atrial fibrillation 87 24.5
  Stroke 34 9.6
  Hypertension 270 76.1
  Diabetes mellitus 126 35.5
  Dementia 24 6.8 COPD 47 13.2
  Active cancer in the past 5 years 72 20.3
  Chronic liver disease 11 3.1
  Chronic renal failure 64 18.0
Hypertension and Diabetes seems very prevalent in older people. Especially in western countries like the US.

Re: Report on the characteristics of Covid-19 positive deceased patients in Italy [pdf]

#66
post #34

Some interesting data here. - Mean age of 79.5 sheds light on Italy’s extremely high fatality rates; in essence, it’s the (very) elderly that are dying due to complications from viral pneumonia. Which begs the next question... Why are they overwhelmingly treating patients with antibiotics in cases of viral pneumonia and not antivirals (Remdesivir)/ chloroquine? Sure, these are “experimental” therapies but decent data…

> Why are they overwhelmingly treating patients with antibiotics in cases of viral pneumonia and not antivirals (Remdesivir)/ chloroquine? Because a bunch of these patients are people with suspected, not confirmed, covid-19 and so they're treating pneumonia which they think is probably bacterial but possibly viral. Also, they were thinking that covid-19 in already vulnerable people was damaging the lungs and making b…

> Infected people cough onto a surface, and later someone touches that surface and then their face.

And then what? How does the virus get from their face into the lungs in enough quantity to infect them?

Re: Report on the characteristics of Covid-19 positive deceased patients in Italy [pdf]

#67

Some excerpts (courtesy of Google translate): The mean age of deceased and positive COVID-19 patients is 79.5 years (median 80.5, range 31-103, RangeInterQuartile - IQR 74.3-85.9). There are 601 women (30.0%). The figure 1 shows that the median age of patients COVID-19 positive deaths is more than 15 years higher than that of patients who contracted the infection (median age: patients who died 80.5 years - patients w…

huh, no one else has mentioned this, am I interpreting this wrong? If 30% of deceased positives are female, then 70% are male? That's quite a big difference!

Re: Report on the characteristics of Covid-19 positive deceased patients in Italy [pdf]

#68
post #59

Summarizing the deaths, by age distribution is quite telling (page 4): - no deaths under 30 - Less than 1% of deaths under 50 - less than 4% of deaths under 60 - 87% of deaths above 70 This disease is incredibly dangerous for our elderly, and isolating them to prevent infection should be our top priority.

That's because Italy's hospitals are overcrowded and very old patients are simply not treated at all. It's a vicious circle because they're thought being less likely to survive, are denied treatment, which makes them even less likely to survive.

[deleted]

Re: Report on the characteristics of Covid-19 positive deceased patients in Italy [pdf]

#69

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Germany currently looks to be an interesting case. As of CNN this morning, they have 13,957 cases confirmed, and 31 deaths. The deaths may of course crank up to a "normal" level, but I wonder if it's possible that they are testing many more people and getting a more accurate view. (of course, this comment will probably age poorly)

Oh. This article says it way better than I could: https://www.ft.com/content/c0755b30-69bb-11ea-800d-da70cff6e... Sorry about the paywall. If you search for it via google and click it from there that's how I found it (and why I didn't realize it was paywall) Basic summary: Too Early to tell. But Germany is doing 160,000 tests/week, which is more than lots of countries. They may be getting a more complete picture of w…

https://archive.is/ZeThk

Re: Report on the characteristics of Covid-19 positive deceased patients in Italy [pdf]

#70
post #64

Confirms that this is a disease of the elderly and unwell, and everyone else should be getting on as normal.

This is about deaths, not cases. If everyone else tries to get on as normal then the virus will spread like wildfire among them and the elderly and unwell will quickly become infected.

Isolate the elderly and unwell, let the virus spread among the rest.
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