21–30 of 69 posts
Remember pandemic2 flash game? It was almost impossible to kill all humans without starting the infection from Madagascar. If you started from somewhere else Madagascar always had time to close the borders. Lo and behold: Madagascar is one of the few countries without infections in Global Cases tracker. https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.h...
This stuff drives me crazy. I know the author of this (and of the linked Washington Post article) are trying to help people gain clarity, but it worries me that it only serves to accelerate fear and panic. These articles are making it sound as if the exponential part of the curve will just continue on forever until it consumes the whole population. The (self-admittedly) overly simplified simulations aren't helping ei…
What happens once China starts dismantling mitigations currently in place, given that the majority of the population is still naive to the virus? Is it reasonable to expect they can wait out the virus disappearing completely by tracking all active cases until they have recovered?
I guess we just have to trust they will keep things under wraps long enough.
This stuff drives me crazy. I know the author of this (and of the linked Washington Post article) are trying to help people gain clarity, but it worries me that it only serves to accelerate fear and panic. These articles are making it sound as if the exponential part of the curve will just continue on forever until it consumes the whole population. The (self-admittedly) overly simplified simulations aren't helping ei…
The CDC link is interesting stuff I haven't read before, but where does it say the acceleration phase stops before it reaches a significant percentage of the population? China contained and stopped the virus, it didn't just naturally decelerate.
I didn’t mean to make it sound like it happens naturally. I imagine it probably only happens through human intervention. It just says ” The duration and severity of each phase can vary depending on the characteristics of the virus and the public health response.
So, as we are entering the early stages, the public health response in the US right now is massive. Unlike anything most of us have seen in our lifetime. Except for the west coast, NYC, and a few others, the spread so far is still very low. Knowing that, and now seeing China enter deceleration, gives me hope we will minimize the duration and severity of the outbreak.
But on the other hand, I am more worried about the economic fallout. The aggressive response with isolation & canceling events, may be necessary, but it will cause many businesses to fail and many folks to lose their jobs.
Earlier quoted context omitted.
Interesting simulation but very slow at showing any effect. After 3500+ iterations (several minutes) there were still only 5 deaths in the first simulator (without distancing), all in the first iterations. I suggest to find a way to make it clear when it's done or speed it up to get to the point in one minute max.
That's weird, I get many deaths in just a few iterations. What were you running on? You seem to have found a bug. Here's a video of when I run these: https://twitter.com/Swizec/status/1239599601537015808
Some feedback: these are very simplistic simulations and obviously not aiming for accuracy but please consider changing the default 20% "reinfectability" parameter.
All evidence and medical knowledge indicates that reports of reinfection are either:
- issues with testing (false positives/negatives)
- extremely rare
Remember pandemic2 flash game? It was almost impossible to kill all humans without starting the infection from Madagascar. If you started from somewhere else Madagascar always had time to close the borders. Lo and behold: Madagascar is one of the few countries without infections in Global Cases tracker. https://gisanddata.maps.arcgis.com/apps/opsdashboard/index.h...
Turns out it's true.
If you neglected to feed and care for your guinea pig properly, it would bite you and give you a deadly contagious virus, which you could spread to other Sims by not following proper hygiene and getting enough rest, and even die from.
Kids who downloaded the binary Sims object from the internet and installed in their game were horrified that their beloved Sims dropped dead unexpectedly, but they learned a useful lesson.
Now deadly infectious guinea pigs are a tradition continued in later versions of The Sims!
The Sims Pie Menus
https://medium.com/@donhopkins/the-sims-pie-menus-49ca02a74d...
>Viruses
>You can download this guinea pig object, and if you don’t care for it it will make this secret hidden virus object that gives you a cold, and has with it the animations and sounds of coughing and going (cough cough).
>Every once in a while it will just interrupt what you do and cough, and it will be bad for your health. And if you don’t get enough sleep, you have to get sleep to get rid of it. This little program is literally a virus that runs and lives in your household and in your characters, and your characters can spread them to the neighbors, and they’ll bring them home to their families.
>Programmable Plug-In Objects
>Anyway, there’s quite a lot of interesting potential for what new plug-ins additions can do because of this programming languages.
>SimAntics Visual Programming Language
>There’s a built-in visual programming language called SimAntics, that is a control flow decision tree type of language. So the “Come and See” object, we’ll look at that.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-exdu4ETscs&t=12m23s
Something Is Killing the Sims, and It's No Accident. By John Markoff, April 27, 2000.
https://www.nytimes.com/2000/04/27/technology/something-is-k...
Lethal guinea pig kills virtual people
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/sci/tech/746700.stm
The Sims 1: Guinea Pig Disease
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5O5cgXuqhnA
The Sims / Illness / Guinea Pig Disease
https://sims.fandom.com/wiki/Illness
How to Get and Treat Guinea Pig Disease
https://sims-online.com/how-to-get-treat-guinea-pig-disease/
The Sims 4 My First Pet: SimGuruGraham Talks “Guinea Pig” Disease
https://simsvip.com/2018/03/07/the-sims-4-my-first-pet-simgu...
This stuff drives me crazy. I know the author of this (and of the linked Washington Post article) are trying to help people gain clarity, but it worries me that it only serves to accelerate fear and panic. These articles are making it sound as if the exponential part of the curve will just continue on forever until it consumes the whole population. The (self-admittedly) overly simplified simulations aren't helping ei…
The CDC link is interesting stuff I haven't read before, but where does it say the acceleration phase stops before it reaches a significant percentage of the population? China contained and stopped the virus, it didn't just naturally decelerate.
This stuff drives me crazy. I know the author of this (and of the linked Washington Post article) are trying to help people gain clarity, but it worries me that it only serves to accelerate fear and panic. These articles are making it sound as if the exponential part of the curve will just continue on forever until it consumes the whole population. The (self-admittedly) overly simplified simulations aren't helping ei…
To be fair, the WaPo article is laced with caveats like ”without any measures to slow it down”, or ”If the number of cases were to continue to double every three days”. But there ARE measures to slow it down, and it certainly WON’T continue to double every three days.
This is really my gripe with these articles. I like the tech. The interactive ’simulations’ are cool & fun. But I worry they are only adding to the panic and confusion. I’ve had close friends spout ‘facts’ like this to me. Stuff like 60-70 of the population will be infected by the time it’s done.