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“I'm not sure there is an acceptable solution to the problem we are facing”

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Re: “I'm not sure there is an acceptable solution to the problem we are facing”

#2
This is basically a summary of most of the worst case rumors turning out to be true. This is very bad. We should be preparing to isolate ourselves from society as much as possible for a few months. Times are going to get rough.

The good news is that this may be a cleansing fire that the US is long overdue for. By now some of you have undoubtedly realized that 2019ncov is not just a virus - it is a chaotic geopolitical force. It is changing the way we live in front of our eyes.

These are exciting times. There's your silver lining.

>Health and the economy are closely linked. The correlation between per-capita GDP and health (life expectancy) is essentially perfect. If the covid-19 pandemic leads to a global economy collapse, many more lives will be lost than covid-19 would ever be able to claim

I don't agree with his derivation, I think he's mixing correlation and causation a little, but his conclusion is undoubtedly correct.

Re: “I'm not sure there is an acceptable solution to the problem we are facing”

#4
> How long immunity lasts for following covid-19 infection is the biggest unknown. Comparison with other Coronaviridae suggests it may be relatively short-lived (i.e. months).

Anyone have sources for this?

I've been skeptical of the rumors about reinfection, because they seem to be based on tests coming back positive after recovery, but the tests are rt-PCR based, and your body will be shedding leftover bits of RNA as it flushes out viral remnants long after recovery, so this seems expected.

As far as I'm aware, immunity to most viruses is long-lasting or permanent, with the obvious exception being if the virus mutates enough to look different to your immune system. Is this assumption wildly off?

Re: “I'm not sure there is an acceptable solution to the problem we are facing”

#5
I'm sure if china can shut people inside their houses to prevent spread, so can we. We just have to adopt a different attitude towards fundamental rights. Besides, medicine development seems to go rather quickly. I am sure it will be mostly dealt with in a years time.

Re: “I'm not sure there is an acceptable solution to the problem we are facing”

#6
post #5

I'm sure if china can shut people inside their houses to prevent spread, so can we. We just have to adopt a different attitude towards fundamental rights. Besides, medicine development seems to go rather quickly. I am sure it will be mostly dealt with in a years time.

This is impossible to know. Just because months after the outbreak China has managed to contain it, doesn't mean that there can't be a second wave of reinfection

Re: “I'm not sure there is an acceptable solution to the problem we are facing”

#7
post #4

> How long immunity lasts for following covid-19 infection is the biggest unknown. Comparison with other Coronaviridae suggests it may be relatively short-lived (i.e. months). Anyone have sources for this? I've been skeptical of the rumors about reinfection, because they seem to be based on tests coming back positive after recovery, but the tests are rt-PCR based, and your body will be shedding leftover bits of RNA a…

I remember reading they expect immunity to last as little as 6 months for Covid-19, found this paper about the SARS outbreak of 2002 which was also a type of corona virus, saying patients had an average immunity of 2 years.

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2851497/

Re: “I'm not sure there is an acceptable solution to the problem we are facing”

#10
This is probably the shittiest reading experience possible. Covered in ad and stitched together of 11 tweets. WTF? Where has rationality been heading that such a medium became the go-to tool to transport important messages?

Oh wait, a red-haired in the corridors of power is using it too..

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