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Evidence that parasite prevalence predicts authoritarianism (2013)

journals.plos.org

71–80 of 98 posts

Re: Evidence that parasite prevalence predicts authoritarianism (2013)

#71
post #65

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's not a direct synonym but it's also where my mind went after reading the title

So what other word would you have used for an article about a statistical prediction ? This is a scientific text, "to predict" has a well-understood meaning within the field of statistics and it's not a synonym for "causes".

"correlates"

Re: Evidence that parasite prevalence predicts authoritarianism (2013)

#72

There has been some psychological research which hints at this relation of how diseases from outsiders bias decisions against those communities. The literature seems to suggest that it's an evolutionary response to protect the community and these biases are difficult to detect because they are so innate in how we assess risk and process threats to a group. I was just saying the other day that we're one Coronovirus-li…

I'm actually surprised that we haven't had a government try to access that kind of data. They've been generally going at it for all kinds of "small" stuff, burglary, riots, and they're not trying to get their hands on it to combat a pandemic?

I thought I had read that South Korea was using cellphone geolocation data of people who had tested positive in order to identify/alert others who may have had contact with them while they were contagious?

Edit: Not quite as big brothery as I thought it would be https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asia_pacific/coronaviru...

Re: Evidence that parasite prevalence predicts authoritarianism (2013)

#73

The elephant in the room is almost certainly that poverty causes both parasites and authoritarianism

What about parasites -> poverty -> little surplus time across the population -> little scrutiny or protest of political leaders -> authoritarianism.

Re: Evidence that parasite prevalence predicts authoritarianism (2013)

#74
post #65

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's not a direct synonym but it's also where my mind went after reading the title

So what other word would you have used for an article about a statistical prediction ? This is a scientific text, "to predict" has a well-understood meaning within the field of statistics and it's not a synonym for "causes".

[deleted]

Re: Evidence that parasite prevalence predicts authoritarianism (2013)

#75
post #65

Earlier quoted context omitted.

So what other word would you have used for an article about a statistical prediction ? This is a scientific text, "to predict" has a well-understood meaning within the field of statistics and it's not a synonym for "causes".

"correlates"

Correlation is a symmetrical relationship between two properties, prediction is not.

Re: Evidence that parasite prevalence predicts authoritarianism (2013)

#76
post #48

Earlier quoted context omitted.

My point is that the way it's phrased guides the mind to jump to a particular conclusion.

No, you jumped to a conclusion. "Predicts" is not a synonym of "causes," and any confusion you may experience would be solved by reading what they wrote.

Please don't pile on another commenter like that. The diminishing returns of being in the right decline exponentially, and then it just creates ill feeling. Curious conversation doesn't fit well with defeating others, and we're here for the former.

Re: Evidence that parasite prevalence predicts authoritarianism (2013)

#78
post #56

Earlier quoted context omitted.

No, you jumped to a conclusion. "Predicts" is not a synonym of "causes," and any confusion you may experience would be solved by reading what they wrote.

You're intentionally ignoring what I'm saying and I'm not going to continue engaging with it.

Please don't, even if another commenter is being unfair or provocative.

Re: Evidence that parasite prevalence predicts authoritarianism (2013)

#79
post #39
post #17

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Or is it authoritarianism that causes poverty and parasites?

Why not parasites causing both poverty and authoritarianism? A big part of the reason Bill Gates is so committed to fighting parasite diseases like Malaria is that there's strong evidence that this alleviates poverty. After all, it makes sense when you consider the effects a case of Malaria would have on a family: children unable to go to school, adults unable to work. If the baseline load of Malaria cases is high en…

> so committed

LOL. A billionaire rarely fights authoritarianism.

Re: Evidence that parasite prevalence predicts authoritarianism (2013)

#80

The elephant in the room is almost certainly that poverty causes both parasites and authoritarianism

...because researchers are idiots and HN knows better.

It's a problem, but supercilious disses don't help anything.
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