Earlier quoted context omitted.
Misspoke? It was a prepared statement read off a teleprompter. Please don't excuse it like a slip of the tongue.
Another theory: https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2019/08/what-if-donald-t...
U.S. will suspend all travel from Europe for 30 days
471–480 of 919 posts
Re: U.S. will suspend all travel from Europe for 30 days
#472Regardless of the ability of people to travel to the UK or Canada and get here (which people have done for a long time with other nations we don't take kindly to) it's absolutely going to reduce the number of people who will travel across the pond. Which is the goal, reduce infection rates. My concern is how economies are going to respond to the US being cut off from Continental ports for a month, which as far as I c…
>Which is the goal, reduce infection rates. Based on the localized infection cases I see across the US and have been watching as well as the characteristics of the virus (life outside host/on surfaces, in air, the degree of asymptomatic transference, etc.), it's well beyond containment IMHO. Travel isn't going to do too much to reduce infection rates alone. We need significant cultural changes to reduce infection rat…
Too bad money making is somehow above preventing others getting sick. People wouldnt show up to work if they didn't have to worry about their wages. I'm sorry but 3 sick days is garbage and requiring doctors notes is asine when your healthcare plan is shite. Not to mention wasting a day in a hospital. Companies can afford this stuff. It's not often and it's minimal to say the least. But God forbid a small business can't have someone for 80 hours a week at minimum wage!
Re: U.S. will suspend all travel from Europe for 30 days
#473Earlier quoted context omitted.
> Americans have big garages to stockpile supplies No they don't. No one in NYC, Boston, San Francisco, Seattle, ... have big garages to stockpile supplies and most of the US lives in those big cities with apartments without garages. In the suburbs they do but that's a minority of the population.
There are more Americans in suburbs and rural area than in "small apartment urban" areas. https://www.pewsocialtrends.org/2018/05/22/demographic-and-e... > About 46 million Americans live in the nation’s rural counties, 175 million in its suburbs and small metros and about 98 million in its urban core counties. > As a group, the population in rural counties grew 3% since 2000, less than their 8% growth in the 1990s.…
Re: U.S. will suspend all travel from Europe for 30 days
#474Earlier quoted context omitted.
There were just 2 cases detected at the gym down the street from me. I'm in a medium town of about 40k in upstate NY. Not podunk, but hardly bustling. I'm considering the USA fully seeded at this point.
IMO the only reason we aren't reporting large numbers of new cases is because of the lack of widespread testing currently being done compared to other countries at this moment (other countries are performing magnitudes higher tests a day). Even if you think you have it, there's still not enough test kits available yet - even if you're swabbed it can be days for a result(Saying this from west michigan).
Re: U.S. will suspend all travel from Europe for 30 days
#475Re: U.S. will suspend all travel from Europe for 30 days
#476Re: U.S. will suspend all travel from Europe for 30 days
#477Earlier quoted context omitted.
China Post has been shipping stuff and spraying it with disinfectant. I don't see why that would be a problem. Also doesn't it take more than 9 days to sail across the atlantic ocean?
You can sail across the Atlantic in 4-5 days on an ocean liner
Re: U.S. will suspend all travel from Europe for 30 days
#478Earlier quoted context omitted.
They aren't eliminating copays on treatment . Only testing. https://twitter.com/owermohle/status/1237922717699014658
Yeah it's clearly a token move to pretend like they're doing something. The cv19 test is free but all the other tests they will undoubtedly and necessarily run before that are not. And if you end up in the er as a poor person, you'll likely go bankrupt or take a massive hit even with insurance. That'll keep people away. Who knows how long it'll be before we have massive testing like Korea. Maybe never.
Re: U.S. will suspend all travel from Europe for 30 days
#479Earlier quoted context omitted.
On the other hand, Americans have much larger and more comfortable homes than Europeans. Americans have big garages to stockpile supplies, which means less trips to the store. Very few people use public transportation regularly. Most people have private back yards. Many more meals are take-out or drive-thru. More Americans use e-commerce for shopping than Europeans. In Europe by contrast, much more of life revolves a…
It sounds like you've never been outside of a city in Europe and never been to a city in the US? Urban population in the EU in 2018 is 76% while 82% for the same year in the US according to The World Bank.
Re: U.S. will suspend all travel from Europe for 30 days
#480Seems like this is too little too late, cats already out of the bag in the US.
It's all about flattening the curve at this point. You can do your best to identify those infected and have them self-quarantine, but if the gates are open and infected people are streaming into your country, you're not going to get far.
I do not mean to be patronizing, but this is literally life or death and the math is very simple.
Today there are k infected people. Tomorrow there will be kn people.
If n is unsustainable, any positive value for k is equivalent. Arbitrarily large changes to k today make an arbitrarily small contribution to the final doubling.
“Infected people streaming in” means k becomes k+c. How much does reducing c flatten the curve? How much does it increase the time span of the critical last few doublings?
It doesn’t. That’s only dependent on n.
Ok, we can’t “flatten” the curve, but we can move the peak, right? How much does reducing c move the peak?
Well, every day we prevent k additional people from entering buys us one day. Remember, tomorrow that’s kn. Act fast.
If we could, this week alone, prevent a quantity of infected Europeans equal to the infected population already within the US from entering, that buys us one single doubling period before the collapse of healthcare. Maybe a week if we got lucky.
I will guesstimate that that is not a realistic target in fact. The actual benefit scales proportionally.
And next week it’s the same work for half the benefit.
What are you talking about.