>When the dollar collapses after the Fed cuts rates, the interest rate will rise very high.
As long as the dollar denominated debt outstanding continues to dwarf the amount of dollars in circulation (claims on future dollars far exceeds the amount of dollars that exist), I don't see the dollar collapsing. Interest rates can also rise due to credit risk. Fake interest rates set by FRBNY cant fix credit risk, they cant make corporations/goverments with severely stressed/ no cash-flow solvent.
> The government will be forced to cut spending
This is the usually the opposite that happens during credit busts, they increase deficits. If you doubt a governments ability to generate cashflow, then one should worry.
> and there will be no bailouts this time.
For whom? Some banks merely have to go to the discount window and keep rolling over their loan with any illiquid asset they have as collateral with FRBNY, JPM is doing this now[0].
A few other banks[1] can go to the FRBNY repo market for either a daily/term bailout with their rehypothicated UST/MBS collateral at fake interest rates.
I'd be more worried about the corporates (and the assets they may be holding that will have to get liquidated) who were engaging in bank like activities without the access to these facilities.
[0] https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-02-25/jpmorgan-...
[1] https://www.newyorkfed.org/markets/primarydealers