30-year U.S. bond yields less than S&P dividend rate
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30-year U.S. bond yields less than S&P dividend rate
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Re: 30-year U.S. bond yields less than S&P dividend rate
#2Idk if this belongs at HN but if it does, then isn't this the greatest opportunity post 2008 crash to invest in to the markets?
Re: 30-year U.S. bond yields less than S&P dividend rate
#3Idk if this belongs at HN but if it does, then isn't this the greatest opportunity post 2008 crash to invest in to the markets?
Assuming we’re at the bottom, with the virus concerns, plus the much earlier bond yield inversions we could be always from bottom.
Re: 30-year U.S. bond yields less than S&P dividend rate
#4Idk if this belongs at HN but if it does, then isn't this the greatest opportunity post 2008 crash to invest in to the markets?
The recent drop is not very significant (a little over 10%).
The Great Financial Crisis caused a 60% drop around 2008/2009.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/27/business/what-is-a-stock-...
Re: 30-year U.S. bond yields less than S&P dividend rate
#5Idk if this belongs at HN but if it does, then isn't this the greatest opportunity post 2008 crash to invest in to the markets?
That's assuming you know when the drop will stop, otherwise it is the worst opportunity.
Re: 30-year U.S. bond yields less than S&P dividend rate
#6Idk if this belongs at HN but if it does, then isn't this the greatest opportunity post 2008 crash to invest in to the markets?
Yields have been declining since the 80s [0]. It could be the greatest opportunity, but a trade like that might take a lifetime to pan out.
Re: 30-year U.S. bond yields less than S&P dividend rate
#7Hm, I'm seeing the title "Bond Markets Shred History Books During Furious Fear Trade".
Also, kinda silly to focus on just dividends considering buybacks are now greater than dividends [0].
[0] (pdf): https://www.yardeni.com/pub/buybackdiv.pdf
Re: 30-year U.S. bond yields less than S&P dividend rate
#8Idk if this belongs at HN but if it does, then isn't this the greatest opportunity post 2008 crash to invest in to the markets?
Yields have been declining since the 80s [0]. It could be the greatest opportunity, but a trade like that might take a lifetime to pan out. [0]: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/IRLTLT01USM156N
Try 700 years.
https://www.visualcapitalist.com/700-year-decline-of-interes...
Betting against rate decreases in the long term is likely a terrible financial decision.
Re: 30-year U.S. bond yields less than S&P dividend rate
#9Idk if this belongs at HN but if it does, then isn't this the greatest opportunity post 2008 crash to invest in to the markets?
The 2008 GFC was a good opportunity invest in hindsight because for a period of time stock prices were low and the economy recovered within a few years.
However today stock prices only 12%~ off all time highs and some are predicting prolonged stagflation.
Re: 30-year U.S. bond yields less than S&P dividend rate
#10Idk if this belongs at HN but if it does, then isn't this the greatest opportunity post 2008 crash to invest in to the markets?
The recent drop is not very significant (a little over 10%). The Great Financial Crisis caused a 60% drop around 2008/2009. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/02/27/business/what-is-a-stock-...
I see, there was a similar drop in 2018. So not really that great of a fall.