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Coronavirus Disease 2019 Situation Summary

cdc.gov

41–50 of 140 posts

Re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 Situation Summary

#42
Seems like social distancing and a recommendation from the CDC of cancelling mass gatherings of > 5000 would be a great measure to slow the waves of infection that are likely to hit and overwhelm healthcare systems if such measures are not taken.

HIMSS 2020, a conference of ~45000 attendees from 90+ countries is still scheduled to go forward at Orange County Convention Center Orlando March 9-13 - even as major participants withdraw from the event and Florida declares a state emergency. It's very telling of the motives in the health tech industry.

Re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 Situation Summary

#44
post #13

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Go for testing. The virus is still present (but not contagious anymore) some time after you recover.

why would s/he pay $3000 to get tested for something s/he already recovered from? https://twitter.com/NickKristof/status/1234140218023989253

Exactly. Why are you even paying taxes?

Re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 Situation Summary

#45

For those who want constant updates about the international situation, this is the best source I found so far: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/ By the way , I'm wondering how much the high cost of the test in the US is responsible for a number which looks (to me at least) suspiciously low.

I personally like the CNN new feed for keeping up on new developments:

https://www.cnn.com/asia/live-news/coronavirus-outbreak-03-0...

I also like the wikipedia articles because of the nice data tabulation:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_coronavirus_outbreak_in_t...

Re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 Situation Summary

#47

the data posted to the CDC website seems all over the place. e.g. https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-in-us.html right above the table the report says: Updated February 29, 2020 Looking at their editing history on archive you can see how their numbers evolved over time: https://web.archive.org/web/*/https://www.cdc.gov/coronaviru... inconsistencies/errors in the report (e.g. 21st Feb they claimed 479 tota…

.. Trump didn’t succeed in slashing the budget, however.

> Trump’s budgets have proposed cuts to public health, only to be overruled by Congress, where there’s strong bipartisan support for agencies such as the CDC and NIH. Instead, financing has increased.

https://apnews.com/d36d6c4de29f4d04beda3db00cb46104

Re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 Situation Summary

#48
post #4
post #3

>This virus is NOT currently spreading widely in the United States. Curious how this is known given practically zero tests have been done and numerous cases with no contact external to the US have been discovered.

This will be based on models using what we currently know about the time it takes patients to show symptoms, the number of people currently detected showing symptoms, and the expected rate of detection of symptomatic patients. 'Numerous' is a bit of a loaded term, there have been cases of community spread in three areas so far, as described in the CDC summary.

There's a model floating around out there now [0]. I think the main point of it is the transmission efficacy. The Gates article recently published in the New England Journal of Medicine states the average person infected will go on to infect two to three additional [1].

I'm of the opinion that, while China appears to be the root cause, the advantage they have is a very authoritarian control on the response. People were literally welded into their apartments [2]. In the US, for example, there are many people that will blindly ignore all requests by politicians, local, state and national government. Many Chinese don't have that option for fear of strong repercussions. While I'm not condoning that use of force - I'm just stating as an observation. Beyond that the US seems to be in an odd spot given the upcoming election and divisive divide along party lines.

[0] https://drive.google.com/file/d/1bS6S4oNRuMHD4ezh177QSf3UU6a...

[1] https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMp2003762

[2] https://www.cbc.ca/player/play/1703503427818

Re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 Situation Summary

#49
post #3

>This virus is NOT currently spreading widely in the United States. Curious how this is known given practically zero tests have been done and numerous cases with no contact external to the US have been discovered.

One thing you can be sure. This will be a political football played aggressively by both or multiple sides trying to get an edge...

And the news of course will amplify things —they have since it emerged in China where they vacillated on whether it’s an overreaction or whether its a economy destroying pandemic.

Re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 Situation Summary

#50
post #9

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> The coronavirus has been circulating undetected and has possibly infected scores of people over the past six weeks in Washington state, according to a genetic analysis of virus samples that has sobering implications for the entire country amid heightening anxiety about the likely spread of the disease. https://www.washingtonpost.com/health/coronavirus-may-have-s...

Yes, correct, scores of people in the areas the CDC report there being cases, and in which they say people are at increased risk. That's not 'widely in the united States'. They also say that widespread transmission is eventually likely to occur. They are simply, and as far as I can tell very clearly and responsibly, drawing a distinction between what is happening now and what is likely to occur in the future.

As there has been community transmission and aren't actively testing symptomatic people (unless in known direct contact with someone who has traveled to an affected area, or traveled there themselves), it's questionable if they have a sufficient grasp on "what is happening now".
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