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Age, Sex, Existing Conditions of Covid-19 Cases and Deaths

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Re: Age, Sex, Existing Conditions of Covid-19 Cases and Deaths

#361

Earlier quoted context omitted.

My reasoning for thinking this is worthy of panic: I recently moved to China. The PRC has good numbers (internally) and knows more about COVID-19's severity and risk profile than anyone else. And, on the ground, the PRC is putting the entire country on what amounts to wartime footing (in a way that's unimaginable to most HN readers), to the point that it's willing to sacrifice a quarter or more worth of economic prod…

I have the polar opposite view, China is not transparent with their numbers, and their response is hamfisted because they aren't competent and a lot of it is theater (typical of communist regimes.) It is possible that in many years more people will die from cancer from their irresponsible spraying than the actual virus. Western countries are also traditionally cleaner, and things like "gutter grease" aren't common. I…

They may not be transparent with their numbers, and certainly weren’t in the early days, but what about their response has been not competent? And what does gutter grease have to do with this virus or containment?

Re: Age, Sex, Existing Conditions of Covid-19 Cases and Deaths

#362
post #361

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I have the polar opposite view, China is not transparent with their numbers, and their response is hamfisted because they aren't competent and a lot of it is theater (typical of communist regimes.) It is possible that in many years more people will die from cancer from their irresponsible spraying than the actual virus. Western countries are also traditionally cleaner, and things like "gutter grease" aren't common. I…

They may not be transparent with their numbers, and certainly weren’t in the early days, but what about their response has been not competent? And what does gutter grease have to do with this virus or containment?

Does this look like a competent response to you? Or do you think is was thought of by a bureaucrat within the CCP? This is one of many examples. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yw7M-fUaIb0

Also fecal matter might be part of the transmission. Gutter grease is produced from sewage waste (in many case.) https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-02-20/fecal-tra...

Re: Age, Sex, Existing Conditions of Covid-19 Cases and Deaths

#363
post #141

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I do have one question and I'm asking this seriously, not to start an argument or to attack someone. I also saw this here in a lot of the posts about covid-19. We have numbers, but every time people tend to ignore them or say we should not trust the numbers, take them with a grain of salt, "I think this is way worse, it's going to get way worse" and so on. It's like there is this thirst for disaster or some global dr…

I'll be the guy. Yeah, I do want a pandemic. My reasons are my reasons, but a very dark part of me is incredibly excited about the prospect of millions of people dying. Just like how wildfires actually lead to healthier and more robust forests in the long-term, I think a real pandemic could be the bitter medicine we all need. For context: I am a millenial. As the status quo currently stands, I have absolutely NO hope…

This is pretty horrific. Wishing for the deaths of millions? Would you also wish it upon your friends and family that have respiratory disorders, or are on immunosuppressants? Plenty of Millenials will die as well. And the old people who will die will most likely not be the rich, powerful, and well-cared for. You should take a long look in the mirror and consider whether the joy you are feeling is at the changing to a new world order better for you and yours, or just a desire to see millions suffer, regardless of what they have done to you.

Re: Age, Sex, Existing Conditions of Covid-19 Cases and Deaths

#364
post #307
post #282

Earlier quoted context omitted.

And you forgot the last thing: Europeans would never put the money in. The Coronavirus isn't new. Since mid-January we knew this will be serious. Nothing has been done since to prepare. Maybe Europeans can't build a field hospital in ten days, but we haven't even tried to start building anything in 40 days. We wait until it hits our shores, as is now the case and then throw our hands up in the air.

it already has hit your shore.

From the parent:

"as is now the case"

Re: Age, Sex, Existing Conditions of Covid-19 Cases and Deaths

#365

Earlier quoted context omitted.

My reasoning for thinking this is worthy of panic: I recently moved to China. The PRC has good numbers (internally) and knows more about COVID-19's severity and risk profile than anyone else. And, on the ground, the PRC is putting the entire country on what amounts to wartime footing (in a way that's unimaginable to most HN readers), to the point that it's willing to sacrifice a quarter or more worth of economic prod…

My read on the Chinese reaction is the same in that they seem to be taking it very seriously indeed. But it might not be because the PRC are so worried about the disease per se. They may just be worried about the unrest and panic an insufficient response could cause. I.e. the PRC may be trying to prevent the infodemic more than the epidemic, to use current parlance.

China is taking it seriously which is different from addressing it competently ... welding occupied apartment buildings shut, throwing undiagnosed into Hotel California[1] quarantine centers, randomly spraying things with who knows what, etc does not inspire a sense of efficient effectiveness in onlookers.

[1] - "Welcome to Hotel California / ... / You can never leave!"

Re: Age, Sex, Existing Conditions of Covid-19 Cases and Deaths

#367
post #141

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I do have one question and I'm asking this seriously, not to start an argument or to attack someone. I also saw this here in a lot of the posts about covid-19. We have numbers, but every time people tend to ignore them or say we should not trust the numbers, take them with a grain of salt, "I think this is way worse, it's going to get way worse" and so on. It's like there is this thirst for disaster or some global dr…

My reasoning for thinking this is worthy of panic: I recently moved to China. The PRC has good numbers (internally) and knows more about COVID-19's severity and risk profile than anyone else. And, on the ground, the PRC is putting the entire country on what amounts to wartime footing (in a way that's unimaginable to most HN readers), to the point that it's willing to sacrifice a quarter or more worth of economic prod…

"letting warmer temperatures do their work"

The likelihood that warmer temperatures per se will have any affect on COVID-19 transmission, morbidity, or mortality is close to zero.

Re: Age, Sex, Existing Conditions of Covid-19 Cases and Deaths

#368
post #361

Earlier quoted context omitted.

They may not be transparent with their numbers, and certainly weren’t in the early days, but what about their response has been not competent? And what does gutter grease have to do with this virus or containment?

Does this look like a competent response to you? Or do you think is was thought of by a bureaucrat within the CCP? This is one of many examples. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yw7M-fUaIb0 Also fecal matter might be part of the transmission. Gutter grease is produced from sewage waste (in many case.) https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-02-20/fecal-tra...

If making a stupid PSA video is the criteria for incompetence, I'm not sure I've ever interacted with a single competent organization that was large enough to film one.

I don't care about their filmographic teams. I care about whether or not the control measures are working.

Re: Age, Sex, Existing Conditions of Covid-19 Cases and Deaths

#369
post #361

Earlier quoted context omitted.

They may not be transparent with their numbers, and certainly weren’t in the early days, but what about their response has been not competent? And what does gutter grease have to do with this virus or containment?

Does this look like a competent response to you? Or do you think is was thought of by a bureaucrat within the CCP? This is one of many examples. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yw7M-fUaIb0 Also fecal matter might be part of the transmission. Gutter grease is produced from sewage waste (in many case.) https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-02-20/fecal-tra...

When talking about competence in containment we need to look at aggregate data. Clearly there will be pockets of mishandling things, everything from medical facilities to airports etc.

Aside from the initial mishandling due to downplaying the situation and hiding information, the subsequent actions seems to have been pretty effective. Outside of Hubei the virus seems to be pretty well contained and relatively quickly at that.

Re: Age, Sex, Existing Conditions of Covid-19 Cases and Deaths

#370

Earlier quoted context omitted.

My reasoning for thinking this is worthy of panic: I recently moved to China. The PRC has good numbers (internally) and knows more about COVID-19's severity and risk profile than anyone else. And, on the ground, the PRC is putting the entire country on what amounts to wartime footing (in a way that's unimaginable to most HN readers), to the point that it's willing to sacrifice a quarter or more worth of economic prod…

EDIT: --- As the replies to my comment indicate I have totally misunderstood the paper. And there IS in fact evidence that the temperature changes the transmission. Sorry my bad. leaving the rest as is --- > I'm hoping Spring ends up curtailing the pandemic; letting warmer temperatures do their work requires slowing down the virus' spread as much as possible, and that requires significant disruptions to people's ever…

That paper correlating temperature with transmission is comically bad. As stated above, the likelihood warmer temperatures by themselves will have any affect on COVID-19 transmission or deaths is close to zero.
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