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Is It a Pandemic Yet?

nytimes.com

21–30 of 289 posts

Re: Is It a Pandemic Yet?

#21
For perspective, numbers from the regular flu this winter: "At least 14,000 people have died and 250,000 have already been hospitalized during the 2019-2020 flu season, ..."

Re: Is It a Pandemic Yet?

#22
post #12

We were looking into Covid-19 at the office and after digging through the scariness we realized mortality rate for healthy 30-somethings is around 0.1%. Then we said screw it and stopped worrying. We’re most likely gonna be fine. Even if it becomes widespread the odds are ever in our favor. Plus there’s already a few confirmed cases in SFBA so ... Edit: for the downvoters, I’m not say spread disease with wonton aband…

It can be a major pandemic and still almost everyone will survive it. If it kills 1% that would be huge, but 99% of you will still be here.

Re: Is It a Pandemic Yet?

#23
post #12

We were looking into Covid-19 at the office and after digging through the scariness we realized mortality rate for healthy 30-somethings is around 0.1%. Then we said screw it and stopped worrying. We’re most likely gonna be fine. Even if it becomes widespread the odds are ever in our favor. Plus there’s already a few confirmed cases in SFBA so ... Edit: for the downvoters, I’m not say spread disease with wonton aband…

Yeah, I stopped worrying a few weeks back after I saw the mortality rate. It's basically a highly virulent flu with the same risk factors. Not on the same level as sars and the like.

It is a highly virulent flu with the same risk factors and no vaccine for those that are at high risk. It may not be something to worry about, but I'd think we should do something to prepare.

Re: Is It a Pandemic Yet?

#24
Last week google had a promoted 'fact check' snippet for searches about covid-19 being released from a lab. Predictably, it was an article debunking the story as a crack-pot conspiracy theory. Today stories about covid-19 being released from a lab are front page at news.google.com.

Re: Is It a Pandemic Yet?

#25
For those who are worrying, don't bother with medical masks.

A decent DIY rebreather for spray painting, sanding or house clearance should work.

I have stockpiled gloves and goggles along with a rebreather FFP3 level.

Total cost along with sanitization wipes and alcohol gel - £49

Piece of mind - priceless!

Re: Is It a Pandemic Yet?

#26
post #15

Thankfully, this is a relatively mild virus. Part of what makes it hard to detect is that most cases (>80%) are mild, and many are actually asymptomatic: https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.bbc.com/news/amp/world-asia... The vast majority of people who have died have been elderly and/or infirm. The death rate under 60 is well under 1%. If you’re young and healthy, this is a chest cold. The biggest thing the media needs…

Disagree. The more people are conditioned to be vigilant the safer people will be. You don’t think you have any skin in the game, but I bet you wouldn’t be saying that if you were in Northern Italy right now.

Re: Is It a Pandemic Yet?

#27
post #15

Thankfully, this is a relatively mild virus. Part of what makes it hard to detect is that most cases (>80%) are mild, and many are actually asymptomatic: https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.bbc.com/news/amp/world-asia... The vast majority of people who have died have been elderly and/or infirm. The death rate under 60 is well under 1%. If you’re young and healthy, this is a chest cold. The biggest thing the media needs…

Age in low 60’s is not really “elderly”...

Re: Is It a Pandemic Yet?

#28
post #9

> Some 152 cases (and at least three deaths) were confirmed in Italy on Sunday, up from three cases on Thursday. The number of infected people in South Korea jumped to 763 (and six deaths) in just days. To add an important point: In both countries, they have detected covid-19 only well after it has spread inside the country. E.g. in Italy it started with one severely ill patient who went to the hospital and got teste…

Our media is referring to "patient zero" in Italy as a 38 years-old man. So either he is known or our media is full of your-know-that. Which would not be surprising.

Edit: a commenter below correctly pointed out that that 38yo man is being referred to as "patient one" not "patient zero". My bad.

Re: Is It a Pandemic Yet?

#29

> And what should each of us do, beyond staying informed and washing our hands frequently? Keep calm and rational. It might be worth stocking some reserve of critical medications, for example — but not too much, because hoarding could create shortages. > We, as individuals, can also try to plan for basic contingencies. Companies can cross-train key staff members so that one person’s absence won’t derail the business.…

You don't need to stock up if you can get food delivered. They can leave the delivery on the doorstep.

Re: Is It a Pandemic Yet?

#30
post #21

For perspective, numbers from the regular flu this winter: "At least 14,000 people have died and 250,000 have already been hospitalized during the 2019-2020 flu season, ..."

For further perspective, Coronavirus' death rate is 10 to 40 times that of the regular flu. Of course, this number is an early estimate, but there is no doubt that this virus is much more dangerous than the flu.
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