Earlier quoted context omitted.
Do 29 year old doctors typically die from the flu?
Typically not. But that's not how this stuff works. It is bell curves all the way. So your old, very young and vulnerable people will make up the bulk of those that die but there will be plenty of regular people in the prime of their life that will die as well.
Past Time to Tell the Public:It Will Probably Go Pandemic, We Should Prepare Now
291–300 of 394 posts
Re: Past Time to Tell the Public:It Will Probably Go Pandemic, We Should Prepare Now
#292Earlier quoted context omitted.
I guess buying sofas “isn’t a thing” by your logic since an insurance company doesn’t buy sofas for people.
You don't need a doctor to write a prescription for you to go out and buy a sofa. A pharmacy cannot by law let you refill a 30 day prescription less than about 30 days after the last time you refilled it for many medications, so you can't use your existing prescription to go stock up either.
> But increasingly, the psychiatric association has heard from members that smaller quantities specified on prescriptions are being ignored, particularly by CVS, according to Dr. Schwartz, the group’s president.
> CVS has created a system where doctors can register and request that 90-day supplies not be dispensed to their patients. But doctors report that the registry has not solved the problem, Dr. Schwartz said. In a statement, CVS said it continued to “refine and enhance” the program.
> Dr. Charles Denby, a psychiatrist in Rhode Island, became so concerned by the practice that he started stamping prescriptions, “AT MONTHLY INTERVALS ONLY.” Despite those explicit instructions, Dr. Denby said, he received faxes from CVS saying his patients had asked for — and been given — 90-day supplies.
> Dr. Denby, who retired in December, said it was a “baldfaced lie” that the patients had asked for the medication, providing statements from patients saying as much.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/31/health/pharmacists-medica...
Re: Past Time to Tell the Public:It Will Probably Go Pandemic, We Should Prepare Now
#293Earlier quoted context omitted.
> There isn't a single media (often, when your tribe is against another, you view the opposition as monolithic rather than a spectrum composed of different viewpoints) The overwhelming majority of the media that people consume in the U.S. is created by the same handful of companies, which each have roughly the same rules about what kinds of stories you're allowed or not allowed to publish. Having worked at one, I can…
Great point. Would you argue the media landscape is the way it is due to incentives these select organizations face or the monopolistic nature of these companies? Separately, you note the high concentration of media creation , but don't speak to the even higher concentration of media distribution (e.g., social media), which likely has its own influence on what is created.
It's been 10+ years since I've read chapter 1 of Manufacturing Consent, but IIRC the basic argument is that:
- Media companies are the way they are because they're funded by advertising.
- Media companies have an oligopoly because they are allowed to fund themselves via advertising, and advertising has monopolies of scale.
> you note the high concentration of media creation, but don't speak to the even higher concentration of media distribution, which likely has its own influence on what is created.
That's a good point. The fact that media companies own less of their own distribution is probably the biggest thing that's changed since Manufacturing Consent was originally published, so now institutional incentives need to be considered across two different dimensions.
Re: Past Time to Tell the Public:It Will Probably Go Pandemic, We Should Prepare Now
#294As Hacker News is usually full of people that can provide good advice: What should I personally do to prepare? I'm living alone and have the ability to work remotely once the virus starts spreading here. My guess is mostly stocking up on food, which I've planned to do for a long time - sounds like a good motivation to finally prepare a list and get shopping. Should I bother with a N95 mask? I already have surgical ma…
If you're going to stock up on food, allow me to suggest cans of whole San Marzano tomatoes. San Marzanos (and other close relatives) tend to last really well in a can -- almost as good as fresh!
Keep some extra onions or shallots and a few celery roots in your fridge, and perhaps some Calabrian chili flakes in your pantry, and you can make delicious pasta sauces or soups from them. Also, this works just as well on a random Tuesday night as during a pandemic.
Or just slice the tomatoes and put them on a sandwich. And if there's no real crisis in your area, then you're still in luck, as you've got a good supply of tomatoes for next winter.
Probably you should pick up some beans to go with them too, from a dietary standpoint, but I'm a tomato lover, not a bean lover, so I don't know what the right type is there.
Mmm. Now I'm hungry.
Re: Past Time to Tell the Public:It Will Probably Go Pandemic, We Should Prepare Now
#295As Hacker News is usually full of people that can provide good advice: What should I personally do to prepare? I'm living alone and have the ability to work remotely once the virus starts spreading here. My guess is mostly stocking up on food, which I've planned to do for a long time - sounds like a good motivation to finally prepare a list and get shopping. Should I bother with a N95 mask? I already have surgical ma…
Disclaimer: I am not a healthcare expert. You might care to read from those who are: https://www.ready.gov/pandemic 2019-nCoV is a viral disease spread by droplets and close physical contact, possibly by contaminated fluids, including human waste (sewage). Literature I've seen suggests relatively close prolonged contact is necessary -- hours around an infected individual. There've been some "super spreaders", includi…
Re: Past Time to Tell the Public:It Will Probably Go Pandemic, We Should Prepare Now
#296To those commenting about infection rate going down: Do you take into account that China relaxed the requirements for diagnosing a case many days ago, and then made them strict again a couple of days ago? That's one sucky move that makes thing seem like they're slowing down. Or so you just look at graph and think everything is fine? Or is everything actually improving even taking the reporting changes into account?
Re: Past Time to Tell the Public:It Will Probably Go Pandemic, We Should Prepare Now
#297Earlier quoted context omitted.
The way outlets such as The New York Post deal with this is absolutely irresponsible. They keep on re-posting total garbage that has been debunked multiple times and Google isn't helping by linking to it. This is also worth keeping an eye on: https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/locations-confirme...
Perhaps they should be sued.
Re: Past Time to Tell the Public:It Will Probably Go Pandemic, We Should Prepare Now
#298Earlier quoted context omitted.
Following a few comments from experts in the field and looking at some of the data being presented, it's fairly obvious this pandemic case was reasonably high. There are of course lots of unknowns models used can't account for but that's no reason to discard the potential risk entirely. Keep in mind, many of these decisions to avoid "pandemic" talk try to take most holistic views in regards to public safety/health. T…
> At the same time you shouldn't assume experts, the media, etc. are somehow mass conspiring against your health/safety. Assessments are probably reasonable to follow. True, but it's also not their job to work for my personal benefit. Mine is. Their job is to do the greatest good for the greatest number, but what is good for the most people is not always good for me. My job is to keep myself and my family safe, and I…
That's about the same mortality rate as the pandemic flu of 1918, which wasn't exactly a walk in the park.
Re: Past Time to Tell the Public:It Will Probably Go Pandemic, We Should Prepare Now
#299Earlier quoted context omitted.
The specific advice for food storage is "weeks" not couple months - the couple months is directed at prescription meds. The different timelines allocated is likely due to the relative feasibility, the risk of running out, and the ease of resupply.
Advising people to store food en masses is quite irresponsible. We have had rice, noodle, pasta, bleach and toilet paper shortages for around a month in Hong Kong caused by panic buying triggered by a rumour that there would be a supply disruption. We also went weeks where all of the fresh food was being bought out and frozen.
Re: Past Time to Tell the Public:It Will Probably Go Pandemic, We Should Prepare Now
#300In the preparation list, scaling ICU is most needed. A lot of people survived thank to intensive care units. There might not be enough to cope with the peak