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Apple engineer killed in Tesla crash had previously complained about autopilot

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Re: Apple engineer killed in Tesla crash had previously complained about autopilot

#751

I avoid new technology, exactly because I'm an engineer. I wonder if that is just me, but when new technology is introduced and hyped, I usually take a quick look at implementations, research, and talks just to get an idea of what the state of the art really is like. As a result, I have become the late adopter among my group of friends because the first iteration of any new technology usually just isn't worth the iss…

This is why I don't understand the sad conclusion of the story in the article. The driver knew that AutoPilot had issues with that stretch of the freeway and was able to repeat the issues on several occasions but still thought it best to be on his phone, while driving 71 mph, at the mercy of AutoPilot? Especially considering that he was an engineer who had expressed concern over this, it seems silly to me that he wou…

Why was Autopilot driving above the speed limit?

Or does Tesla allow you to set the speed?

Re: Apple engineer killed in Tesla crash had previously complained about autopilot

#752
I am an expert in AI. Learned the symbolic kind before the AI winter, then worked on neural nets (stealthily) during the AI winter.

Automonous driving cannot yet handle all the edge cases, and when it fails people die. What's worse is when it fails it cannot explain why it failed, so we just throw more training data at it and hope for the best. That's not engineering; that's ML cargo cult voodoo.

Modern ML is great for finding family members in your photo collection, but nobody dies when it labels your dog your grandmother.

Tesla makes great cars but I never use their autopilot. They should focus on what they do best and give up this obsession with autonomous driving.

Re: Apple engineer killed in Tesla crash had previously complained about autopilot

#753

Earlier quoted context omitted.

> Recovered phone logs show that a strategy game called “Three Kingdoms” was “active during the driver’s trip to work,” the NTSB said. Investigators said the log data “does not provide enough information to ascertain” whether Huang “was holding the phone or how interactive he was,” though it said “most players have both hands on the phone to support the device and manipulate game actions.” Huang’s data usage was “con…

I didn't see that in the original article, but I do see it here: https://www.washingtonpost.com/transportation/2020/02/11/tel...

Ah, I read the wp article yesterday and just assumed it was the same article being discussed here.

Re: Apple engineer killed in Tesla crash had previously complained about autopilot

#754
Makes you wonder if the point of technological progress is to actually make human existence safer and easier or if it's just to push up a stock price. I'm still hopeful it's the former.

We'll hear the same canned response about how many lives have been saved, but just veering off into a concrete wall spontaneously? That's completely fucked.

The fact that millions of these vehicles are deployed with this software running should concern every other driver on the roadway. Remember when Tesla said 1 million robotaxis by 2020? o_O

Re: Apple engineer killed in Tesla crash had previously complained about autopilot

#755
post #513

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Actually one of the biggest obstacles to Level 5 is expectation of Zero Deaths for Level 5 autonomous operations. The standard should be fewer deaths than human-operated (or even auto assisted ) cars. When you have thousands of machines traveling in close proximity at speeds exceeding 50mph there will be deaths, this is unavoidable. We need to reduce those as much as possible but to demand ZERO before the technology…

> The standard should be fewer deaths than human-operated (or even auto assisted ) cars. How do we go about testing this? By tallying up autonomous deaths until there are fewer per year than human drivers? > We need to reduce those as much as possible but to demand ZERO before the technology can be used is just unrealistic Human driver skill varies immensely by person. The idea that anyone who is (or even considers t…

It is laughable that you don't think the goal wasn't already zero. It has been zero the whole time.

Real life and ideals are different thing. You can't promise that accidents will never happen. But you can promise that accidents will be substantially reduced.

In the US, about 35k people die per year from motor vehicle related deaths. If you get it down to 10k, then that would be a major success. Of course, you will still be fine tuning until you could get below 1000 and as close to 0 as possible.

Re: Apple engineer killed in Tesla crash had previously complained about autopilot

#756

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Are there any fully autonomous cars on public roads with no driver that can intervene? Seems like only maybe in tightly constrained situations are we ready.

I don't think I mentioned FULLY autonomous cars, my point was: something doesn't have to be perfect before we have to use it, but I probably didn't express myself correctly

I think that the necessity of intervening drivers atm indicates that we aren't at that point yet, even if that point is far from perfection, and also that the reason any self-driving cars are on the road is because of the fairly loose but significant requirements from regulation. We might be at that point in otherwise very dangerous situations, like if I was very tired or drunk, but otherwise I don't know that I'd have so much faith in software engineers to completely control my car.

Re: Apple engineer killed in Tesla crash had previously complained about autopilot

#757

According to this article: https://www.caranddriver.com/news/a30877577/driver-tesla-mod... "Data from his phone indicates that a mobile game was active during his drive and that his hands were not on the wheel during the six seconds ahead of the crash."

Gotta love how quick Tesla is to throw their customers under the bus using telemetry data the customer cannot access on their own..

This doesn't really solve the PR problem for Tesla, though. If people continue to treat their cars like they're fully self-driving (they will), accidents like this will continue to happen

What Tesla is doing is like selling a space heater that emits carbon monoxide and declaring it's for outdoor use only

Re: Apple engineer killed in Tesla crash had previously complained about autopilot

#758

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Calling it a religion makes about as much sense as calling efforts to cure AIDS or vaccinate Polio prior to the success of Salk a religion. There is a clear and obvious good to achieve, one which is theoretically implementatable and has predecessors for success. Reality can only disagree if it is outright proven impossible due to something - say in this counterfactual Polio has a 5% of turning any unique adjacent mol…

There is zero proof that autonomous vehicles can be safer than human drivers. There’s lots of proof that autonomous vehicles are technically possible, but the leap to “definitely better than humans” is a very big one and it’s really being taken on faith right now. In contrast, treating disease directly affect the incidence of that disease.

Auto breaking technology deployed in japan has already started affecting insurance because so many vehicles have it that the accident rate has fallen significantly. This is one facet of autonomous decision making.

Re: Apple engineer killed in Tesla crash had previously complained about autopilot

#759

Earlier quoted context omitted.

That's great, but I would wager that nearly 100% of all writing ever done in human history was done without capturing the strokes while writing. Therefore, while this added accuracy is great, it is virtually useless for most written work.

Isn't that a bit irrelevant? If we are talking about patterns that work well for the user, clearly writing everything traditionally and then going back and taking pictures of everything is a cumbersome process. Writing on iPad or similar is clearly the medium in which this shines, at which point you do capture the strokes.

That only works if you can assume that everybody using the system you're desiging has access to the underlying technology. Sure, if you're desiging some new system (like an autonomous vehicle on a closed loop, controlled system / system purpose built to perform digit recognition as it is written on it, but why wouldn't you just have the user directly input on a keypad) then you'll get a better result, but in the general, real world, case (autonomous vehicle on city streets with other vehicles / recognizing digits from scanned input without the stroke data) then your special case optimization are impossible and for all general practical purposes do not apply, so appealing to their assistance in increasing accuracy doesn't actually do anything to help the system perform better.

Re: Apple engineer killed in Tesla crash had previously complained about autopilot

#760

Earlier quoted context omitted.

So the "problem" you referring to is solved? Their marketing is good now? I just think that there is no reason keep repeating the old things then that are not relevant anymore, that don't even refer to anything anymore and only create a lot of confusion. (Let's just assume it was a problem, even though I don't ever remember being fooled by it or seing any commercial or anything without a disclaimer "NOT FULLY AUTONOM…

They should start with not using a misleading name, Autopilot.

Autopilot is not a misleading name actually. You, the press and others just have ingrained a false definition of the word. "An autopilot is a system used to control the trajectory of an aircraft, marine craft or spacecraft without constant manual control by a human operator being required. Autopilots do not replace human operators, but instead they assist them in controlling the vehicle."
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