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Where America's climate migrants will go as sea level rises

citylab.com

1–10 of 91 posts

Re: Where America's climate migrants will go as sea level rises

#2
The map is very rough and relies on counties affected, rather than topography (elevation and closeness to bodies of water and waterways) so some counties can have coastal exposure but also have shelter (high elevation). King county WA for example or Los Angeles co. CA

So it presents a more alarming picture than one would imagine.

Re: Where America's climate migrants will go as sea level rises

#4
post #3

I find it hilarious that even in a worse scenario with the climate crisis, Chicago somehow did not get any migrants .

Their map doesn't make any sense to me. They show no expected migration to really any of the cities in the midwest but somehow they expect a mass migration of people from Miami to rural western Kentucky?

Re: Where America's climate migrants will go as sea level rises

#5
"Dilkina and her team used migration data from the Internal Revenue Service to analyze how people moved across the U.S. between 2004 and 2014."

It looks like their analysis may have been skewed somewhat by the fracking boom in America's oil shale country. That may explain the otherwise odd migration pattern into sparsely populated areas running up from Texas through the center of the country.

Re: Where America's climate migrants will go as sea level rises

#6
I find it hard to imagine 200k people leaving San Mateo County. most of the county is above 6ft elevation, and there's just so much money I would think dikes could be built to keep the flats dry. At the worst I would expect more housing to be built in the hills.

Re: Where America's climate migrants will go as sea level rises

#7
This is what I take away:

- Everyone already knows rising sea levels will cause more flooding and property damage.

- What's new here is that they make attempts to estimate displaced populations and where they will migrate.

- The reception of American climate migrants will not be evenly distributed. Cities nowhere near the coast will be impacted by climate change.

Re: Where America's climate migrants will go as sea level rises

#8
post #4
post #3

I find it hilarious that even in a worse scenario with the climate crisis, Chicago somehow did not get any migrants .

Their map doesn't make any sense to me. They show no expected migration to really any of the cities in the midwest but somehow they expect a mass migration of people from Miami to rural western Kentucky?

Why rural Kentucky and not Northern Florida or Georgia?

Re: Where America's climate migrants will go as sea level rises

#9
post #3

I find it hilarious that even in a worse scenario with the climate crisis, Chicago somehow did not get any migrants .

> Counties in shades of pink and red will see higher-than-average migration

It may be that the extra migration doesn't impact that average comparted to less populous counties.

Re: Where America's climate migrants will go as sea level rises

#10

I find it hard to imagine 200k people leaving San Mateo County. most of the county is above 6ft elevation, and there's just so much money I would think dikes could be built to keep the flats dry. At the worst I would expect more housing to be built in the hills.

I would pretty much guarantee that wealthy areas like San Mateo will make the tax payer pay for dikes and stuff. Poor areas along the coast will be in trouble though.
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