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January 2020 warmest on record: EU climate service

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Re: January 2020 warmest on record: EU climate service

#5
I've been wondering why TSLA has been trading the way it has. A normal short squeeze doesn't adequately explain it. The volume today alone is more than 2x the last reported shares short.

We all know something very, very bad is going on with the climate.

Re: January 2020 warmest on record: EU climate service

#6

I've been wondering why TSLA has been trading the way it has. A normal short squeeze doesn't adequately explain it. The volume today alone is more than 2x the last reported shares short. We all know something very, very bad is going on with the climate.

All of us reading this right now are going to die just barely seeing the true extent of the outcomes.

And we'll likely all die reasonably content knowing it's not our problem. We're among the last generations that can expect to ride the current peak in human success before the hard bounds kick in and things either become much more difficult or more likely just completely collapse.

We all love to rest easy on the fallacious idea that (as Carlin put it) "the earth will be fine, it's us who are fucked."

It sounds nice, but the reality is far worse. Beyond a certain temperature bound, the entire biosphere collapses... completely.

"Oh but there are extremophiles that survive insane conditions!"

And what do they feed on? Organic particulate matter that filters down to them from the rest of the biosphere that depends on relatively tight temperature bounds.

Natural selection can only keep up with a certain degree of change in the mean of temperature before it just collapses.

If we generate the conditions for the collapse of human civilization, it's more likely than not that we also take all life on Earth with us.

And statistically... that means the end of life, period. That our planet happened to have the particular temperature bounds for long enough for life to emerge is vanishingly unlikely.

Re: January 2020 warmest on record: EU climate service

#9
post #8

"Across a band of countries stretching from Norway to Russia, temperatures were an unprecedented 6C above the same 30-year benchmark, " if you have that sort of deviation its hard to make meaningful statements about the longer term changes, it seems to me

An increase in variation is by definition an extremely statistically significant change in behavior. Most families of distributions have two dimensions: mean and variance.

And not just under expectation but in general.

Re: January 2020 warmest on record: EU climate service

#10
post #7

Well, I met an old man dying on a train. He told me: "no more destination, no more pain." (Note: this is intended as a very harsh condemnation.)

I say we kill our heroes and fly. edit: downvotes for finishing the song lyric. Cheers, HN.

Never let your fear decide your fate.
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