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James Lovelock: 'I Would Not Waste My Fortune on Colonizing Mars'

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Re: James Lovelock: 'I Would Not Waste My Fortune on Colonizing Mars'

#121
post #55

Perhaps it might have been possible in some long distant past to underestimate Elon Musk and write him off as a crazy person. That time is gone. If Musk appears to be doing something crazy you've not understood it. > It’s crazy, completely crazy. Elon Musk has read too much science fiction. He got carried away with it. If I were in his position, I would not waste my fortune on colonizing Mars. And all they would lear…

JFK sold us on space because "we choose to do these things because they are hard." It was an aspirational exploratory message. The reality is that we are in space because it is required for great power contests. I'm mired in space as a DoD executive, so I promise you space - at least inside the GEO orbits - is extremely practical. Starlink is honestly amazing. Mars though? I've steel-manned that one and I don't see i…

Am not American, am not old. That entire speech at Rice University gives me goosebumps everytime, it's historic and set in motion events that changed the world forever.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ateh7hnEnik

Re: James Lovelock: 'I Would Not Waste My Fortune on Colonizing Mars'

#122
post #55

Perhaps it might have been possible in some long distant past to underestimate Elon Musk and write him off as a crazy person. That time is gone. If Musk appears to be doing something crazy you've not understood it. > It’s crazy, completely crazy. Elon Musk has read too much science fiction. He got carried away with it. If I were in his position, I would not waste my fortune on colonizing Mars. And all they would lear…

JFK sold us on space because "we choose to do these things because they are hard." It was an aspirational exploratory message. The reality is that we are in space because it is required for great power contests. I'm mired in space as a DoD executive, so I promise you space - at least inside the GEO orbits - is extremely practical. Starlink is honestly amazing. Mars though? I've steel-manned that one and I don't see i…

> there is no future event that would make earth as uninhabitable as Mars is today.

Wouldn't that imply if we can make Mars habitable, then we'll be capable of dealing with whatever problems arise here on Earth? Think of it as a nice test run without the immediate fate of humanity's only biosphere at stake.

Re: James Lovelock: 'I Would Not Waste My Fortune on Colonizing Mars'

#123
post #80

Earlier quoted context omitted.

JFK sold us on space because "we choose to do these things because they are hard." It was an aspirational exploratory message. The reality is that we are in space because it is required for great power contests. I'm mired in space as a DoD executive, so I promise you space - at least inside the GEO orbits - is extremely practical. Starlink is honestly amazing. Mars though? I've steel-manned that one and I don't see i…

Is that true of nuclear winter or a major impact event? Wouldn't either of those render the Earth temporarily uninhabitable? Is the argument that it would be easy enough to build on Earth places to survive such events rather than going to Mars?

No, the Earth after nuclear winter or just about any disaster is still more hospitable than Mars. I still would like to live to see Mars colonized.

Re: James Lovelock: 'I Would Not Waste My Fortune on Colonizing Mars'

#124
post #80

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Is that true of nuclear winter or a major impact event? Wouldn't either of those render the Earth temporarily uninhabitable? Is the argument that it would be easy enough to build on Earth places to survive such events rather than going to Mars?

A massive, underground biodome would be cheaper and easier.

Can't fall behind on the mineshaft gap.

Re: James Lovelock: 'I Would Not Waste My Fortune on Colonizing Mars'

#126
post #12
post #6

He may be a smart dude, but this answer is out there: > "DER SPIEGEL: Cancer is a silent killer that might get diagnosed long after the exposure, when it is too late. > Lovelock: I've had 10 cancers in the last few years and it hasn't been very bad. They just appear and grow. If you go to a good oncologist nearby, they'll take it out. It's just unfortunate for people who let it happen and it grows and grows until it'…

“out there” is a pretty charitable description. I stopped reading the article there. I am not interested in reading the crazy ramblings of someone disconnected from reality.

yes, disconnected from reality, unlike the people that think that we are ever going to go to Mars.

Re: James Lovelock: 'I Would Not Waste My Fortune on Colonizing Mars'

#127
post #55

Perhaps it might have been possible in some long distant past to underestimate Elon Musk and write him off as a crazy person. That time is gone. If Musk appears to be doing something crazy you've not understood it. > It’s crazy, completely crazy. Elon Musk has read too much science fiction. He got carried away with it. If I were in his position, I would not waste my fortune on colonizing Mars. And all they would lear…

> If Musk appears to be doing something crazy you've not understood it. I'll remember that next time he accuses a rescue worker of paedophilia,

That rescue worker temporarily had a platform high enough to speak with Musk's typical level of reach and attempted to use it to pull back the curtain and reveal Musk's publicity hound ways.

This is an existential threat to Musk's operation and he reacted rashly and extremely aggressively slinging the nastiest mud which might stick. That type of reputational damage is extremely difficult to recover from.

It also drew the public's eye away from the the "Elon the publicity hound" story to "Elon possible defamation" which is a much less serious problem.

Re: James Lovelock: 'I Would Not Waste My Fortune on Colonizing Mars'

#128

This topic comes up a lot and I know it excites investors, but I have yet to see a viable plan for kick-starting the magnetic field on Mars. No magnetic field means no way to have an atmosphere, water or life and everyone has to stay in caves or incredibly durable modules indefinitely. The only O2 and H2O is what you bring with you or produce in the modules. The only reason I could see doing this is if we knew of imp…

A lot of people get fooled into thinking that because Mars lacks an atmosphere due to a lack of a magnetic field, a magnetic field is required to have an atmosphere. The atmosphere was stripped away from Mars over hundreds of millions of years. If you could somehow restore the atmosphere today, it would remain just fine over any reasonable human timescales. Giving Mars at atmosphere is of course very difficult.

The magnetic field is needed to protect life on Mars from radiation. It's one of the bigger problems in terraforming the planet.

Re: James Lovelock: 'I Would Not Waste My Fortune on Colonizing Mars'

#129
post #117
post #55

Perhaps it might have been possible in some long distant past to underestimate Elon Musk and write him off as a crazy person. That time is gone. If Musk appears to be doing something crazy you've not understood it. > It’s crazy, completely crazy. Elon Musk has read too much science fiction. He got carried away with it. If I were in his position, I would not waste my fortune on colonizing Mars. And all they would lear…

Well, I've been trained in Radiation Protection and I think I understand quite well why the crazy parts are just crazy or too crazily expensive to fund. On the other hand, Elon presenting some rendering across Jupiter's radiation belts doesn't strike me as an example of understanding anything, to be honest.

> Rendering across Jupiter's radiation belts doesn't strike me as an example of understanding anything.

Marketing. He understands that a great visual excites people, accuracy be damned. Never let the truth get in the way of a great story.

Re: James Lovelock: 'I Would Not Waste My Fortune on Colonizing Mars'

#130
post #55

Perhaps it might have been possible in some long distant past to underestimate Elon Musk and write him off as a crazy person. That time is gone. If Musk appears to be doing something crazy you've not understood it. > It’s crazy, completely crazy. Elon Musk has read too much science fiction. He got carried away with it. If I were in his position, I would not waste my fortune on colonizing Mars. And all they would lear…

Mars is totally inhospitable to humans in multiple ways. And that's precisely why we should go there! We would have forced leaps in technology, habitation, and most importantly for Earth, terraforming.

Yep. I'm Dutch, we've been converting sea to land since the early middle ages. Considering the technology at hand at that time, colonizing Mars is even somewhat comparable.
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