Live data from Hacker News

What's Happening with the Coronavirus

axios.com

11–20 of 83 posts

Re: What's Happening with the Coronavirus

#11

So humble numbers of people infected outside China, why is the whole world panicking?

Growth still looks exponential and attempts at containment seem to have failed.

Then why so small number of people get infected outside of China? I can hardly believe no case of infection could get unnoticed and not isolated successfully so far.

Re: What's Happening with the Coronavirus

#13

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Growth still looks exponential and attempts at containment seem to have failed.

Then why so small number of people get infected outside of China? I can hardly believe no case of infection could get unnoticed and not isolated successfully so far.

> Then why so small number of people get infected outside of China?

Because we won't no how many people are infected today for a couple of weeks, it has an up to 14 day incubation period (and appears to be contagious during the incubation period.)

Also the numbers are growing rapidly, especially in places with lots of contact with China.

> I can hardly believe no case of infection could get unnoticed and not isolated successfully so far.

A lot of negatives there but, yes, cases in the incubation period are likely to go unnoticed, since no symptoms exist.

Re: What's Happening with the Coronavirus

#14

So humble numbers of people infected outside China, why is the whole world panicking?

Growth still looks exponential and attempts at containment seem to have failed.

It's difficult to say whether attempts at containment are failing.

For example, Wuhan has a population of 11 million. This leaves a lot of scope for the number of new cases to grow while still being contained geographically.

Considering the incubation period, we need to wait until the end of the week or next week to see how things go. With the stringent measures they have taken there should be an inflection sooner or later.

Re: What's Happening with the Coronavirus

#15
post #9

So humble numbers of people infected outside China, why is the whole world panicking?

There were 6 cases in China 2 months ago now its closing to 20k. Maybe that's why. SARS killed approx 800 in span of 1.5 year. There are over 300 confirmed deaths from Corona roughly after 2 months. The numbers are growing quickly and I for one am starting to feel a bit uncomfortable about this. Edit: Its 360 deaths, that pretty much half od SARS now :/

Note that these are only the confirmed deaths, which is a lower bound. We know that the true number is much larger.

Re: What's Happening with the Coronavirus

#16

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Then why so small number of people get infected outside of China? I can hardly believe no case of infection could get unnoticed and not isolated successfully so far.

> Then why so small number of people get infected outside of China? Because we won't no how many people are infected today for a couple of weeks, it has an up to 14 day incubation period (and appears to be contagious during the incubation period.) Also the numbers are growing rapidly, especially in places with lots of contact with China. > I can hardly believe no case of infection could get unnoticed and not isolated…

Then it intuitively seems there already are many people infected all over the world and we can't really prevent the infection from spreading, the measures being taken are futile. Brace yourself, buy grocery supplies and prepare your immune systems - start sleeping enough, eating healthy etc now.

Re: What's Happening with the Coronavirus

#17
post #9

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There were 6 cases in China 2 months ago now its closing to 20k. Maybe that's why. SARS killed approx 800 in span of 1.5 year. There are over 300 confirmed deaths from Corona roughly after 2 months. The numbers are growing quickly and I for one am starting to feel a bit uncomfortable about this. Edit: Its 360 deaths, that pretty much half od SARS now :/

Note that these are only the confirmed deaths, which is a lower bound. We know that the true number is much larger.

Probably true of SARS as well though, right?

Re: What's Happening with the Coronavirus

#18

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Growth still looks exponential and attempts at containment seem to have failed.

It's difficult to say whether attempts at containment are failing. For example, Wuhan has a population of 11 million. This leaves a lot of scope for the number of new cases to grow while still being contained geographically. Considering the incubation period, we need to wait until the end of the week or next week to see how things go. With the stringent measures they have taken there should be an inflection sooner or…

Roughly 4 million people left Wuhan over the new year. The stringent measures they are now taking are too little too late. See for example the very slow rate at which border crossing points in Hong Kong are being closed.

Re: What's Happening with the Coronavirus

#19
post #9

Earlier quoted context omitted.

There were 6 cases in China 2 months ago now its closing to 20k. Maybe that's why. SARS killed approx 800 in span of 1.5 year. There are over 300 confirmed deaths from Corona roughly after 2 months. The numbers are growing quickly and I for one am starting to feel a bit uncomfortable about this. Edit: Its 360 deaths, that pretty much half od SARS now :/

Note that these are only the confirmed deaths, which is a lower bound. We know that the true number is much larger.

Yes, but it is the same for total number infected. Outside estimates are that there are more than 100k infected. That would put the mortality rate ~= the flu.
Post reply on HN