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Volkswagen exec admits full self-driving cars 'may never happen'

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Re: Volkswagen exec admits full self-driving cars 'may never happen'

#3
This strikes me as weird:

> "This is one of the hardest problems we have. This is like we are going to Mars," Hitzinger said in a comment. "Maybe it will never happen."

First of all, it seems obvious that we are going to go to Mars, eventually. Maybe not any time soon, but never? Seriously?

But the bigger thing is that there is about 1000 times more economic benefit to self driving cars than of going to Mars, at least in the near term. To think we'd just give up on it seems absurd.

Re: Volkswagen exec admits full self-driving cars 'may never happen'

#6
In the dot com era there was a self driving car startup that started with a simplifying assumption: don’t run the cars at grade.

If you go up or down, the number and kind of obstacles reduces. The location of interactions between the vehicles is reduced, and the interactions with other classes of vehicle are zero, so you can negotiate.

Solve a simpler problem, if you can.

Re: Volkswagen exec admits full self-driving cars 'may never happen'

#8
If we put a wire in the road or maybe rfid tags every 40 feet, we could easily have self driving cars.

However that would mean that everyone would have access to it.

The idea of self driving cars now is, a winner take all situation where whichever funded effort that succeeds, generates outsized profits from licensing or going public at a high valuation.

Re: Volkswagen exec admits full self-driving cars 'may never happen'

#9
Despite that, he's confident in VW's ability to make a Level 4 autonomous vehicle, saying that the upcoming I.D. Buzz electric van will be the first VW to receive the technology.

He's poo-pooing level 5 autonomous driving and says that they just about have a level 4 autonomous vehicle?

This article makes no sense.

Honestly, the CEO of my company has very little idea of the details of the technology that we produce. If you picked some cutting-edge technology that isn't key to our market-share yet, he'd have even less of a clue.

Re: Volkswagen exec admits full self-driving cars 'may never happen'

#10
post #9

Despite that, he's confident in VW's ability to make a Level 4 autonomous vehicle, saying that the upcoming I.D. Buzz electric van will be the first VW to receive the technology. He's poo-pooing level 5 autonomous driving and says that they just about have a level 4 autonomous vehicle? This article makes no sense. Honestly, the CEO of my company has very little idea of the details of the technology that we produce. I…

How does it make no sense? He’s saying we might never get past level 4. And they’re going to offer level 4. That statement is logically coherent.
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