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Things that I think will be important in the next decade

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Re: Things that I think will be important in the next decade

#221
No one in this thread has pointed out that Zuckerberg states that he is literally planning to bring how WeChat works in China (one marketplace for literally everything, sent through conventional apps and all fielded by a single company) to the entire world with Facebook.

That ambition is impressive, amazing, and terrifying, and everyone is completely ignoring it.

The 2020s are going to be interesting.

Re: Things that I think will be important in the next decade

#222

I think Zuck is too full of himself. People often get confused that their success means that they are wise, and that we should listen to them. Should we as well follow the thought leadership of drug cartels and the Saudi monarchs?

In the case of Zuckerberg specifically he's actually more likely to be right on this by virtue of being in a position to influence it. If Zuck persuades the board of Facebook that AR is the future then thousands of FB engineers could be tasked with building AR apps and libraries, and Facebook could invest billions in AR acquisitions. Those sorts of actions steer the future. When a billionaire claims to predict the fu…

Google+ comes to mind and the time when thousands of engineers couldn't stir the interest of public to turn to the service

Re: Things that I think will be important in the next decade

#223

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Huh, I just want my heads up life display because...why not? Maybe I won’t trust Facebook to give it to me, but if the tech becomes good enough, I’m definitely going to embrace it. Is it really a dystopian future? We’ve adjusted to the telegraph, camera, telephone, radio, TV, cell phone, smart phone and...why are AR glasses going to be the tech to bring society down?

Huh, I just want my heads up life display because...why not? Assuming that your heads-up live display contains a public facing camera here's: Why not! I don't like sitting in a bar (or a strip club, or in any other semi-public, or even public dodgy or non-dodgy place) and you hang there with your heads-up live display recording my image. I don't like the fact that it's uploaded to some tech behemoth' server for furth…

I thought Google Glass had some success within companies?

Re: Things that I think will be important in the next decade

#224
post #213
post #200

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It’s degenerating in multiple aspects: Fewer constructive discussions due to aggressive downvoting based not on the quality of argument, but on the opinion expressed. More junk on the front page, this is general trend in attention economy, so somewhat unavoidable. One of the telling things is structure of the titles. Few years ago titles where more informative, now more clickbaity on average.

The problem is that these perceptions are very much in the eye of the beholder. As the saying goes, things have always been getting worse. If anyone can come up with an objective measure for any of this, I'd be interested. As far as I can tell, though, these perceptions are strongly affected by the fact that the things that we dislike make a much stronger impression than the rest of what we see. From my perspective,…

All perceptions are in the eye of the beholder. Anyway, my unobjective measure is number of interesting articles and discussions I want to read after scanning the front page. It’s declining over the years.

It’s not really surprising since there are two contributing trends:

Online communities generally degrade as they increase in size.

Attention economy brings “heat death” of internet: amount of produced content is higher, quality is lower.

Re: Things that I think will be important in the next decade

#225

I think Zuck is too full of himself. People often get confused that their success means that they are wise, and that we should listen to them. Should we as well follow the thought leadership of drug cartels and the Saudi monarchs?

In the case of Zuckerberg specifically he's actually more likely to be right on this by virtue of being in a position to influence it. If Zuck persuades the board of Facebook that AR is the future then thousands of FB engineers could be tasked with building AR apps and libraries, and Facebook could invest billions in AR acquisitions. Those sorts of actions steer the future. When a billionaire claims to predict the fu…

Zuck is "not just making a prediction", he's not making any relevant statement about the future at all.

All he does is telling what he plans to invest in. But given his privileged position, that's almost as irrelevant as what he is going to have for dinner tonight, if his plans for the next decade do not address the urgent and burning issues that keep the rest of humanity awake at night in earnest.

I'm sure AR "is the future" in a decade. But then you'd have to ask to whose benefit and to what ends.

If a billionaire makes swiping statements about the social good, then I expect a proper argumentation that shows an understanding about the vast complexity involved, and their according responsibilities. Not vapid filler that reduce the issues to a mere generational conflict such as:

> Today, many important institutions in our society still aren't doing enough to address the issues younger generations face -- from climate change to runaway costs of education, housing and healthcare. But as millennials and more members of younger generations can vote, I expect this to start changing rapidly. By the end of this decade, I expect more institutions will be run by millennials and more policies will be set to address these problems with longer term outlooks.

Re: Things that I think will be important in the next decade

#226

Earlier quoted context omitted.

In the case of Zuckerberg specifically he's actually more likely to be right on this by virtue of being in a position to influence it. If Zuck persuades the board of Facebook that AR is the future then thousands of FB engineers could be tasked with building AR apps and libraries, and Facebook could invest billions in AR acquisitions. Those sorts of actions steer the future. When a billionaire claims to predict the fu…

Google+ comes to mind and the time when thousands of engineers couldn't stir the interest of public to turn to the service

Google+ failed because Google didn't know what they wanted it to be. I don't think that's down to engineering. That's a product and marketing problem.

AR is a little different because it's not a product; Facebook's AR apps might fail, but Zuck's vision could still succeed if Facebook create (or acquire) tools for creating an AR ecosystem.

Re: Things that I think will be important in the next decade

#227
post #148

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Ah, you mean this future: Keiichi Matsuda http://hyper-reality.co/ (or https://youtube.com/watch?v=YJg02ivYzSs )

Yes, I can't wait for that future. It looks amazing. Not being sarcastic either, I want this future.

I'm confused... Have you watched the video?

Re: Things that I think will be important in the next decade

#228

Earlier quoted context omitted.

They're invaluable for democracy. Right now, there are a number of anti government, pro democracy protests taking place in my country. All of them are being organized and spread via Instagram and WhatsApp

Why could those not be on Signal and be actually safe due to real end-to-end encryption and no spying from Facebook? https://www.forbes.com/sites/parmyolson/2018/09/27/facebook-...

You can't organize a protest if no one knows about it. In order to get the word out, you have to use platforms that everyone already has access to.

Re: Things that I think will be important in the next decade

#229
post #92

Earlier quoted context omitted.

They're invaluable for democracy. Right now, there are a number of anti government, pro democracy protests taking place in my country. All of them are being organized and spread via Instagram and WhatsApp

They are disastrous for democracy.

It's more nuanced than that.

Did WhatsApp and Facebook help elect right-wing autocrats? Yes.

Are WhatsApp and Facebook also helping protestors against right-wing autocrats organize and protest? Also yes.

Re: Things that I think will be important in the next decade

#230

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Mostly BoxVR but with some BeatSaber mixed in. BoxVR is super effective once you’ve learned its quirks and really commit to shadow kick boxing (putting a lot of force into your punches). BeatSaber is more fun and less of a grind, but its lack of a fitness mode means you fall out of zone too much inside and between songs. I want to try some more games with fitness potential like PistolWhip, and I’m still hoping for so…

You should get the "Thrill of the Fight". Better workout than BoxVR and truly feels like a real boxing match (except for the part where you don't end up with a black eye).

I have it and it seems to require way too much space. Would nice to have a tutorial or something, and also because it is like real boxing, it is much more difficult to grind. There really isn’t a rhythm you can easily get into, you have to keep thinking and reacting. Rhythm games have a huge advantage in the grinding department.

I’ve bangered up my hands with BoxVR enough by hitting my controllers against my headset. Really should wear glove or something.

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