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Things that I think will be important in the next decade

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Re: Things that I think will be important in the next decade

#191

Post by wavefunction »

Thorrez wrote: post #144

The section titles are pretty funny. It's almost as if they were chosen to specifically disappoint cypherpunks. > A New Private Social Platform Cypherpunk: Signal! Tor! Riot! Mark: Small groups of people who know each other. > Decentralizing Opportunity Cypherpunk: Bitcoin! Peertube! IPFS! Mastadon! Namecoin! Scuttlebutt! Mark: Products for small businesses. > The Next Computing Platform Cypherpunk: Ethereum! Urbit!…

Mark's definitely on his own augmented reality. Unfortunately the rest of us get to enjoy the Coriolis effects of it via his monetization of dishonesty.

Re: Things that I think will be important in the next decade

#192

Post by onion2k »

nikolay wrote: post #154

I think Zuck is too full of himself. People often get confused that their success means that they are wise, and that we should listen to them. Should we as well follow the thought leadership of drug cartels and the Saudi monarchs?

In the case of Zuckerberg specifically he's actually more likely to be right on this by virtue of being in a position to influence it. If Zuck persuades the board of Facebook that AR is the future then thousands of FB engineers could be tasked with building AR apps and libraries, and Facebook could invest billions in AR acquisitions. Those sorts of actions steer the future.

When a billionaire claims to predict the future they're not just making a prediction, they're really telling you what they plan to invest in.

Re: Things that I think will be important in the next decade

#193

Post by [deleted] »

quelltext wrote: post #168
mlurp wrote: post #158

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't have any love for Microsoft, but they at least have a handful of objectively useful products that probably make the world a little better. Pretty much all the research I've heard about social media indicates that it makes the world worse. So I think it is relevant.

That's interesting. I just don't think there has been any research into holistically evaluating social networks. AFAIK studies mostly focus on small parts often with the premise to find something negative (e.g. effect of seeing other feeds with success stories). Obviously a lot of people do in fact derive pleasure and some other benefits or they wouldn't keep using it.

[deleted]

Re: Things that I think will be important in the next decade

#194

Post by jcims »

rapnie wrote: post #148
cmdshiftf4 wrote: post #52

>"at some point in the 2020s, we will get breakthrough augmented reality glasses that will redefine our relationship with technology." Constant video surveillance, direct-to-eyes on-glass advertising, targeted advertising beamed on every approved spot, interests profiling via retina movements/focus and God knows what else will undoubtedly come about if AR glasses become "cool" and ubiquitous like mobile phones. Maybe…

Ah, you mean this future: Keiichi Matsuda http://hyper-reality.co/ (or https://youtube.com/watch?v=YJg02ivYzSs )

My youngest would love that future. Left to her own devices she'd have the TV going, phone going, laptop going, listening to music with one ear while creating critter number six in sculpey.

Re: Things that I think will be important in the next decade

#195

Post by jcims »

dannyw wrote: post #163

What sort of censorship is going on in the comments? If you look at the Twitter responses to any famous person's comment, you can see how polarising it tends to be. Everyone there is kissing Zuckerberg's ass, for the lack of a better expression (sorry). What's going on there?

That was the first thing I noticed, very creepy. What would Facebook minions be called?

Re: Things that I think will be important in the next decade

#197

Post by chillacy »

JDiculous wrote: post #150

Mark seems to be embracing remote work here citing how it can help alleviate skyrocketing housing costs, yet Facebook doesn't hire remote workers. He's in a position to start an industry trend here by putting his money where his mouth is, but instead we just get this blog post. Certainly better than nothing though, just like him previpusly bringing up universal basic income. Would be nice to see him again put his mon…

Zuckerberg said he supported UBI because he recognized that he was only able to start a business because he grew up well-off enough to know that he wouldn't starve if the business failed.

But... I always like to think of the Taleb quote: "Don't tell me what you think, tell me what you have in your portfolio"

So, still waiting (unlike Elon Musk and Sam Altman who have both come out in support of Yang right now)

Re: Things that I think will be important in the next decade

#198

Post by cheschire »

nickbauman wrote: post #177
nikolay wrote: post #154

I think Zuck is too full of himself. People often get confused that their success means that they are wise, and that we should listen to them. Should we as well follow the thought leadership of drug cartels and the Saudi monarchs?

"Full of himself"? Way too mild an indictment. In the last 24 hours Facebook bought a story in a publication, pretended it wasn’t sponsored, their COO posted it, then when they got caught, they denied knowing anything about it. And what was that ad/story about? Their commitment to stopping disinformation. All the while we've learned that they have utterly sold the company to international electioneers.

Citations to your references would be appreciated. It's the first step to overcoming the state of internet disinformation, as well as helping society overcome the fear of missing out just because someone doesn't already know your references.

Re: Things that I think will be important in the next decade

#199

Post by Aeolun »

bitexploder wrote: post #160
nikolay wrote: post #154

I think Zuck is too full of himself. People often get confused that their success means that they are wise, and that we should listen to them. Should we as well follow the thought leadership of drug cartels and the Saudi monarchs?

I did have a hard time taking any of what he wrote seriously. It was not thought provoking for me and I felt it wasn’t deep or interesting. It’s interesting in the sense that it is useful to know where FB may be headed, but when I think of Facebook all I see is another advertising company looking for more ways to put ads in front of captive eyeballs.

To be honest, I’m always a little bit happy to see him writing something and have it come off as a bit awkward. I don’t feel so bad about my own writing style when I think that the CEO of a multibillion dollar company is the same :)

Re: Things that I think will be important in the next decade

#200

Post by vl »

dang wrote: post #68
fourstar wrote: post #27

Earlier quoted context omitted.

HN is essentially a hive mind cult. Look at my join date. At some point, you could dissent with your own opinion. Nowadays it’s downvotes and outrage. Shields up — ready for the downvotes. Not a great model for FB to follow. You’ll start getting DMs from people like “dang” telling you to behave, LOL.

I'm always curious about claims that HN is degenerating. Where are those dissenting opinions of which you speak? I took a look, and didn't find any. I did see several early comments by your account, including its very first one, that were downvoted. Which comments were downvoted vs. not seemed consistent with what would get downvoted today, though today they'd probably get downvoted more—probably because there are ma…

It’s degenerating in multiple aspects:

Fewer constructive discussions due to aggressive downvoting based not on the quality of argument, but on the opinion expressed.

More junk on the front page, this is general trend in attention economy, so somewhat unavoidable.

One of the telling things is structure of the titles. Few years ago titles where more informative, now more clickbaity on average.

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