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The Next Six Months

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Re: The Next Six Months

#151

Post by seabee »

allenbrunson wrote: post #55
jbrennan wrote: post #35

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I don't think that's true. It might have been what they said , but it's February now and we haven't seen any glimpses of iPhone 5 (or whatever) from the FCC, and I'd be willing to bet it launches less than six months from now.

"Jobs unveiled the iPhone to the public on January 9, 2007 at Macworld 2007. Apple was required to file for operating permits with the FCC, but since such filings are made available to the public, the announcement came months before the iPhone had received approval." http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/IPhone I remember hearing this story at the time, as well. For all we know, the rules could be different for iPhone 5, sinc…

Given we've already had a few different iPhones, if the rules are different shouldn't we know already?

Re: The Next Six Months

#152

Post by unp3rs0n »

mjfern wrote: post #118
kenjackson wrote: post #19

Microsoft AND Intel being effectively missing from the tablet race is staggering. And there are a few reasons why its staggering: 1) Both have known it was coming, maybe longer than anyone else. But got the core requirements all wrong. 2) No one really seems to care. 3) Related to (2), there is no belief that they have anything up their sleeve. 4) Their existing ecosystem, probably a billion units strong, doesn't see…

> Microsoft AND Intel being effectively missing from the tablet race is staggering. The real staggering fact is that it's just not the tablet market. Both Microsoft and Intel are also absent or significantly behind in smart phones, eBook readers, portable media players, connected TVs, and almost every market that represents computing (devices) beyond the PC for consumers.

you are missing the xbox.

Re: The Next Six Months

#153

Post by jacabado »

whatusername wrote: post #124
podperson wrote: post #114

Earlier quoted context omitted.

I think the problem wasn't Microsoft entering the market too early so much as never really rethinking their approach to a platform. Their idea for PDAs/phones was a tiny version of desktop windows (compare that to Apple's Newton, with all its flaws). Their idea for tablets was a pen based version of desktop windows. Microsoft has NEVER really originated a UI paradigm or OS, they just copied/bought/stole stuff from ot…

Aside from Xerox, what large company has originated a UI paradigm or OS? Apple bought the multi-touch stuff, MS licenses Kinect, etc, etc. Nintondo maybe with the Wii?

Nokia S60?

Blackberry for mobile texting?

We're past them now but we still see lots of bad UIs that could learn with their success. I'm thinking about the heterogeneous button layouts on Android and previous generation Windows Mobile devices.

Re: The Next Six Months

#154

Post by gaiusparx »

My prediction:

* Apple will keep April as the refresh month for iPad. Putting iPad in the same iPod event will steal thunder and is no good. And component supplies is tighter for iPad thus it takes few months to meet the demand and September is too tight to the holidays season. When iPad 2 is launched in April, the rest of the world will get it by Jun-Aug which ensure Apple can manufacture enough to meet year end holiday demand.

* There will be no iOS 5 this year. At June WWDC, Lion will be the focus and Apple will give sneak peak of iOS 5 at the event, with beta available in early 2012, ship in June 2012. Aple needs to get its developers ready and it takes time. iOS 5 will share the code base of Lion and will ship after Lion. iOS 5 will include user interface elements changes. I think Apple is keeping two years release cycle for major OS release.

* There will be iOS 4.4/4.5 this year for: iPhone 5, NFC capability, AppleTV 3, App Store for AppleTV and App/Games on AppleTV.

Re: The Next Six Months

#155

Post by Helianthus16 »

stcredzero wrote: post #140
yakto wrote: post #127

Earlier quoted context omitted.

While riding your Segway? Just don't see it happening (average folks holding a tablet-size device in front of their face, running AR apps).

Sure, when stationary for a moment, looking up information. You see average folks looking dead tree/ink information device in public all the time. They're called tourists. They're called museum-goers. They're called audience. Those things they're holding are called guidebooks and programs. I think this would make for an awesome museum AR experience.

neat idea, long way away.

Re: The Next Six Months

#156

Post by brownleej »

Raphael wrote: post #68
gojomo wrote: post #18

Two iPads in one year is possible, and Gruber has better Apple-watching-skills than most. But I also think Apple is long overdue for a true "AppleTV", an all-in-one product with big screen , deeply integrated with everything else iOS/iTunes. That would also fit well with a late-in-year but in-time-for-Christmas release.

No need to waste working televisions and monitors.

The same argument could be made about the iMac. It's possible that Apple would say roughly the same thing they would about the iMac: That their goal is to create one device that does everything, without having discrete components that people have to manage, or cables that they have to deal with. It's Apple's style.

Re: The Next Six Months

#157

Post by ugh »

seabee wrote: post #147
philwelch wrote: post #126

Earlier quoted context omitted.

Apple bought the multi-touch stuff I didn't know that they bought or licensed the entire UI paradigm from someone else. Or do you just mean the low level parts? Because there's more to a UI paradigm than the input device. So, if it's just the screen tech that Apple bought and not the interaction software, I would count multi-touch as an Apple-originated UI paradigm, just as you credit the desktop GUI to Xerox, not St…

Well count yourself wrong: http://www.amazon.com/Fingerworks-IGESTURENUMPAD-iGesture-Pa... That thing even let you switch between apps with gestures. The iPod scroll wheel isn't an Apple paradigm either; jog dials for menu selection existed years before the iPod. I remember seeing it on the minidisc recorder in our school's music department.

Multi touch is not even the most important part of the iOS UI. It could have been done without it.

Re: The Next Six Months

#158

Post by ugh »

Roritharr wrote: post #93
imsky wrote: post #84

Earlier quoted context omitted.

It's the "end of PCs" for the mainstream market, which was overrun with them for the last 10 years. Now the mobile technology is good enough that bulky desktops are going to be used primarily by professionals. You're not going to edit video/render 3D on the iPad 2, but for 90% of the population that just needs to check their email, it's good enough.

I think that idea is overblown, simply because "Check their E-Mails" means someone has to write e-mails worth checking...

Input really is not that terrible. It’s disingenuous to act as though tablets don’t allow you to enter text.

Re: The Next Six Months

#159

Post by tesseract »

bergie wrote: post #148
kenjackson wrote: post #19

Microsoft AND Intel being effectively missing from the tablet race is staggering. And there are a few reasons why its staggering: 1) Both have known it was coming, maybe longer than anyone else. But got the core requirements all wrong. 2) No one really seems to care. 3) Related to (2), there is no belief that they have anything up their sleeve. 4) Their existing ecosystem, probably a billion units strong, doesn't see…

Intel is pretty heavily involved in MeeGo, an open source operating system targeting all sorts of post-PC environments.

It's looking like Nokia's about to get shaken up, which might possibly entail a jump to Android or Windows Mobile. Where does that leave MeeGo? Can Intel go it alone as the only major commercial sponsor? Whose devices will run it?

Re: The Next Six Months

#160

Post by tesseract »

usaar333 wrote: post #136
brownleej wrote: post #125

Earlier quoted context omitted.

His comment didn't say they have Macs, he said they have Apple products. The dominance of the iPod makes it more probable that everyone he knows has at least one Apple product. Also, you assume that market share is evenly distributed in all demographics. I think the preceding discussion was about Apple's market share among tech enthusiasts, which I have never seen solid numbers on, but which seems, anecdotally, to be…

What does "own iPod" have to do with "is gamer"?

Loose correlation, (probably) not causation. It's obviously anecdotal, but thinking about the tech habits of people I know, it seems plausible to me.
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